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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2019Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
07007
Mississippi StateMississippi State
71471745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-728-731-738-745-7
Mississippi StateAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACMSACACMSACMSACMSACMSACPUNT734ydPUNT4-3ydPUNT511ydPUNT31ydTD535ydPUNT822ydTD1075ydPUNT421ydTD188ydTO748ydPUNT3-7ydTD847ydDOWNS836ydEND1-2ydDOWNS765ydTD690ydPUNT1341ydFG1270ydTO634ydTD1180ydPUNT35ydTD362ydEND612yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Mississippi State
StatisticAbilene ChristianMississippi State
Passing25-4216-30
Pass Yards255205
Rush Yards27372
Total Yards282577
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-157-12
Penalties5-257-60
Possession33:0626:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Luke Anthony
25/38, 255 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sema'J Davis
9 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Branden Hohenstein
4 REC, 115 YDS
defense
Jack Gibbens
1 TFL, 1 PD
Mississippi State
passing
Tommy Stevens
13/27, 165 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kylin Hill
16 CAR, 153 YDS
receiving
Kylin Hill
3 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.07

Kylin Hill run for 19 yds to the AblCh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Kylin Hill run for 11 yds to the AblCh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 1 yd to the AblCh 38

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas, broken up by Brandon Richmond

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AblCh 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Sema'J Davis run for 10 yds to the AblCh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Luke Anthony pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sema'J Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.22

Luke Anthony sacked by Chauncey Rivers for a loss of 13 yards to the AblCh 9

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AblCh 44

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 46

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Tommy Stevens run for 13 yds to the AblCh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon Richmond

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 30 yds, downed at the AblCh 3

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 2

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tracy James run for no gain to the AblCh 2

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Tracy James run for 2 yds to the AblCh 4

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AblCh 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Nick Gibson run for 13 yds to the AblCh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Nick Gibson run for 9 yds to the AblCh 13

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.04

Tommy Stevens run for 7 yds to the AblCh 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Gibson run for 2 yds to the AblCh 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Nick Gibson run for 4 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 4 yds to the AblCh 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Anthony pass complete to Justus Lee for 6 yds to the AblCh 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sema'J Davis run for 2 yds to the AblCh 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the AblCh 28

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Anthony,L. pass incomplete to Lee,J., QB hurry by Kobe Jones, PENALTY MS offside defense (M. Spencer) 5 yards to the ACU33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Sema'J Davis run for 3 yds to the AblCh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Luke Anthony pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Tracy James

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 1 yd to the AblCh 37

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 38 yds, downed at the MisSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.82

Kylin Hill run for 22 yds to the AblCh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Dontea Jones for 5 yds to the AblCh 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the AblCh 39

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Kylin Hill run for 10 yds to the AblCh 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to JaVonta Payton

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the AblCh 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Farrod Green for 13 yds to the AblCh 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 11 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Luke Anthony pass complete to Josh Fink for 18 yds to the AblCh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tracy James run for 3 yds to the AblCh 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Sema'J Davis pass incomplete to Josh Fink

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Josh Fink

4th & 7Punt-6 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 46 yds , Deddrick Thomas returns for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 12

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+88 ydsPPA +6.73

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Kylin Hill for 88 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyrese White run for 10 yds to the AblCh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Luke Anthony pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 18 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Luke Anthony pass complete to Josh Fink for 8 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Kobe Clark run for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 43

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (Josh Fink) to the MisSt 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.18

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 21 yds to the MisSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Kobe Clark, broken up by Tim Washington

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -3.77

Sema'J Davis pass intercepted Jaquarius Landrews return for 13 yds to the MisSt 14 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, illegal block (Tim Washington) to the MisSt 9

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 7

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.14

Tommy Stevens sacked by Jeremiah Chambers and Temisan Kuyatsemi for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 2

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kobe Clark at the MisSt 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyrese White run for 3 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 6 yds to the MisSt 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Sema'J Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.98

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 3 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.96

Luke Anthony pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 30 yds to the MisSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kobe Clark run for 2 yds to the MisSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tracy James pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 4 yds for a TD (Blair Zepeda KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 6 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 8 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Tommy Stevens run for 12 yds to the AblCh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Kylin Hill

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Dontea Jones for 4 yds to the AblCh 39

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.49

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas, broken up by Brandon Richmond

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.41

Luke Anthony pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 52 yds to the MisSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 7 yds to the MisSt 16

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Sema'J Davis run for 8 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.78

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 15

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (Kobe Clark) to the MisSt 20

2nd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 4 yds to the MisSt 16

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 6 yds to the MisSt 10

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.49

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Branden Hohenstein, broken up by Shawn Preston Jr.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Stevens run for 2 yds to the MisSt 12

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.68

Kylin Hill run for 22 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Farrod Green for 11 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the AblCh 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 16 yds to the AblCh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Tommy Stevens run for 30 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sema'J Davis run for 3 yds to the AblCh 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

3rd & 7Penalty+14 yds

Anthony,L. pass incomplete to Harmon,B. (Martin Emerson), PENALTY MS pass interference (Martin Emerson) 14 yards to the ACU42, 1ST DOWN ACU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kobe Clark run for 4 yds to the AblCh 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Anthony pass complete to Justus Lee for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.71

Kobe Clark run for 10 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Sema'J Davis run for 3 yds to the MisSt 37 ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, helping runner (Tanner Parker) to the MisSt 42

1st & 12Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.25

Luke Anthony sacked by Nathan Pickering for a loss of 13 yards to the MISSSTATE 45 ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, intentional grounding (Luke Anthony) to the AblCh 45

2nd & 25Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Luke Anthony pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 15 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 3 yds Kobe Clark fumbled, forced by Korey Charles, recovered by AblCh

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.83

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 17 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Tracy James

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Javorian Miller

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.25

Luke Anthony sacked by Kobe Jones and Aaron Odom for a loss of 14 yards to the MisSt 34

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 26 yds, downed at the MisSt 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 6

3rd & 12Penalty-2 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (Stewart Reese) to the MisSt 4

3rd & 14Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.93

Tommy Stevens run for 29 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Kylin Hill run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the MISSSTATE 42 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Cameron Gardner) to the MisSt 47

1st & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nick Gibson run for 6 yds to the AblCh 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Farrod Green for 6 yds to the AblCh 41

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.20

Kylin Hill run for 17 yds to the AblCh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Farrod Green

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Farrod Green, broken up by Jack Gibbens

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the AblCh 22

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.16

Jace Christmann 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Kobe Clark

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Luke Anthony pass incomplete to Josh Fink

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Anthony,L. pass incomplete to Clark,K. (J. Landrews), PENALTY MS offside defense (Chauncey Rivers) 5 yards to the ACU35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 2 yds to the AblCh 37

4th & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.06

Luke Anthony pass complete to Tracy James for 14 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyrese White run for 13 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -3.99

Luke Anthony pass intercepted Fred Peters return for 6 yds to the MisSt 30 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, illegal block (Leo Lewis) to the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the MisSt 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Gibson run for 7 yds to the MisSt 35 Nick Gibson fumbled, forced by Adonis Davis, recovered by MisSt Cameron Gardner for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Austin Williams for no gain to the MisSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the MisSt 37

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.37

Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the AblCh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Garrett Shrader run for 16 yds to the AblCh 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the AblCh 19

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.20

Lee Witherspoon run for 13 yds to the AblCh 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Austin Williams for 6 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the AblCh 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Luke Anthony run for 4 yds to the AblCh 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Luke Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Simon Laryea punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.19

Garrett Shrader pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 34 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.25

Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the AblCh 20 for a 1ST down ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, personal foul (Reynel Previlon) to the AblCh 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Anthony run for 3 yds to the AblCh 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sema'J Davis run for 4 yds to the AblCh 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Luke Anthony pass complete to Kobe Clark for 6 yds to the AblCh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Sema'J Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Luke Anthony pass complete to Josh Fink for 14 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -3.03

Luke Anthony sacked by Fred Peters for a loss of 11 yards to the AblCh 37 Luke Anthony fumbled, recovered by AblCh Tanner Parker , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 37

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
9%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
56%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play