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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2019Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 26%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
14213745
ArkansasArkansas
7001219

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-147-217-357-3813-3819-45
ArkansasWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKWKARKWKARKWKARKWKARKWKARKWKARKWKARKWKARKWKARKARKWKARKTO35ydTD942ydTD488ydTD1275ydPUNT38ydTD1659ydPUNT32ydTD273ydPUNT58ydTD1268ydEND1-2ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydFG767ydDOWNS1238ydPUNT823ydTD286ydPUNT519ydTD30ydTD970ydTO630ydEND617yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Arkansas
StatisticWestern KentuckyArkansas
Passing22-329-26
Pass Yards21387
Rush Yards265253
Total Yards478340
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-184-12
Penalties3-203-25
Possession36:5723:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Ty Storey
22/32, 213 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Gaej Walker
23 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jahcour Pearson
10 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
6/15, 60 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Rakeem Boyd
8 CAR, 185 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Treylon Burks
5 REC, 59 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Rakeem Boyd rush for 3 yards to the AR28 (A. Kincade), PENALTY AR holding (Chase Harrell) 10 yards to the AR15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

John Stephen Jones run for 4 yds to the Ark 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Mike Woods for 11 yds to the Ark 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.26

John Stephen Jones pass intercepted Antwon Kincade return for no gain to the Ark 42

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Ty Storey pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ty Storey pass incomplete, broken up by Greg Brooks Jr.

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.13

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 5 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 5 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the Ark 25

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the Ark 24

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.19

Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Jacquez Sloan run for 19 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.91

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Treylon Burks for 11 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.82

Rakeem Boyd run for 76 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for no gain to the WKent 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Ty Storey pass complete to Garland LaFrance for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Ty Storey run for 7 yds to the WKent 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.45

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 13 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Ark 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.88

Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 22 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the Ark 17

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ty Storey run for no gain to the Ark 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 8 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Ty Storey run for 9 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

John Stephen Jones run for 1 yd to the Ark 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 5 yds to the Ark 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Bumper Pool

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the Ark 40

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Gaej Walker

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 9 yds to the Ark 16

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.37

Gaej Walker run for 7 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the Ark 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the Ark 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ty Storey run for 1 yd for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Roger Cray

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete to Rakeem Boyd, broken up by Kyle Bailey

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 46 yds, downed at the WKent 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.06

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 69 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

K.J. Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

K.J. Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

K.J. Jefferson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Mike Woods

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Devwah Whaley

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 37 yds, downed at the WKent 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Micahh Smith

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Ty Storey run for 7 yds to the Ark 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for no gain to the Ark 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 41

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Gaej Walker run for 10 yds to the Ark 31

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.80

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 26 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Gaej Walker run for 1 yd for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

K.J. Jefferson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 5 yds to the WKent 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for no gain to the WKent 28

4th & 3Punt+18 yds

John Haggerty punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 31 , Treylon Burks returns for 18 yds to the Ark 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete to Mike Woods

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ty Storey run for 6 yds to the WKent 38

2nd & 4Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.47

Gaej Walker run for 39 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Ty Storey run for 22 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Ark 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua Simon, broken up by Jalen Catalon

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty Storey run for no gain to the Ark 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.21

Cory Munson 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 36

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

K.J. Jefferson run for 8 yds to the Ark 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

K.J. Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Dionte Ruffin

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the WKent 48

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.18

K.J. Jefferson run for 17 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the WKent 26

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

K.J. Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, delay of game (K.J. Jefferson) to the WKent 26

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 26 yards to the WKU0, clock 05:03, PENALTY AR holding (M. Cunningham) 10 yards to the WKU36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

K.J. Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.41

K.J. Jefferson sacked by Ricky Barber for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 40

3rd & 29Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

K.J. Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 13 yds to the WKent 27

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.48

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 35

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Ty Storey run for 3 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the Ark 49

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ty Storey run for no gain to the Ark 49

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Ark 45

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (Ty Storey) to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Treylon Burks pass incomplete to Chase Harrell

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+86 ydsPPA +7.08

Rakeem Boyd run for 86 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the WKent 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ark 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

K.J. Jefferson run for no gain to the Ark 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.26

K.J. Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for no gain to the Ark 20

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-25 ydsPPA -6.79

K.J. Jefferson pass intercepted for a TD Devon Key return for 25 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Rakeem Boyd run for 8 yds to the Ark 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

K.J. Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.52

K.J. Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

N/A pass incomplete to Chase Harrell

3rd & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.08

T.J. Hammonds run for 29 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Devon Key) to the WKent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

K.J. Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WKent 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

K.J. Jefferson run for no gain to the WKent 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

K.J. Jefferson run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

KeShawn McClendon run for 1 yd to the WKent 48

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.66

KeShawn McClendon run for 9 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Joshua Samuel run for 6 yds to the Ark 34

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

K. McClendon rush for no gain to the AR34 (Grant Morgan), PENALTY WKU holding (G. Nickelson) 10 yards to the AR44, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.80

Davis Shanley run for 16 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.24

Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the Ark 23 Joshua Samuel fumbled, forced by Jalen Catalon, recovered by Ark Micahh Smith

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Mike Woods

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

K.J. Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

K.J. Jefferson pass complete to T.J. Hammonds for 7 yds to the Ark 30

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.79

K.J. Jefferson pass complete to Mike Woods for 5 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.94

K.J. Jefferson sacked by Jaden Hunter for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 25

2nd & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.98

K.J. Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 15 yds to the Ark 40

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
22%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play