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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2019Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 77%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
01071330
Texas A&MTexas A&M
141414749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-728-1035-1742-1742-2449-2449-30
Texas A&MMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTATAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAPUNT33ydPUNT521ydPUNT30ydTD551ydTO729ydTD955ydTD475ydTD765ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT39ydTO112ydTD319ydFG1663ydEND14ydTD470ydTD1074ydTD1175ydTD979ydPUNT3-3ydTO127ydTD942ydTD1275ydEND213yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Texas A&M
StatisticMississippi StateTexas A&M
Passing13-3017-23
Pass Yards194234
Rush Yards239207
Total Yards433441
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-118-11
Penalties5-255-45
Possession28:1231:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Garrett Shrader
13/30, 194 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kylin Hill
21 CAR, 150 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Stephen Guidry
2 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Kellen Mond
17/23, 234 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Isaiah Spiller
22 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Wydermyer
2 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete, broken up by Aaron Hansford

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Tucker Day punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 10 yds to the TexAM 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 2 yds to the MisSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kellen Mond pass incomplete, broken up by Jarrian Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 10

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Garrett Shrader rush for 25 yards to the MS35 (Andre White Jr.), PENALTY MS holding (Tommy Champion) 5 yards to the MS5, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 10

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.64

Isaiah Spiller run for 24 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 11 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

Isaiah Spiller rush for loss of 2 yards to the MS3 (M. Spencer), PENALTY MS offside defense (Tim Washington) 0 yards to the MS1, NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the MisSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete, broken up by Elijah Blades

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.37

Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Devin Morris return for no gain to the TexAM 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 46

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MisSt 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.77

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.85

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 21 yds to the MisSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the MisSt 18

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 6 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Kellen Mond run for 12 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Farrod Green for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.22

Kylin Hill run for 36 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the TexAM 32

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.19

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 32 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 7 yds to the MisSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 14 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-15 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MisSt 19

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.10

Kellen Mond run for 25 yds to the MisSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 19 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Chauncey Rivers

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 21

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.28

Garrett Shrader sacked by Devin Morris for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 14

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 6 yds to the TexAM 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 41 yds, downed at the MisSt 7

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 19 Nick Gibson fumbled, forced by Demani Richardson, recovered by TexAM Debione Renfro

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, broken up by C.J. Morgan

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.10

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 16 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.62

Kylin Hill run for 18 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete, broken up by Clifford Chattman

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the TexAM 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.77

Garrett Shrader sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 35 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.94

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Farrod Green for 19 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the TexAM 14

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 15

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Kylin Hill

4th & 9Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.27

Jace Christmann 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cordarrian Richardson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 15 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.15

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 52 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.00

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 25 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 14 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the TexAM 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell, broken up by Leon O'Neal Jr.

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 14 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 14 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Kellen Mond run for 16 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Dan Moore Jr.) to the MisSt 35

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 7 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 15 yds to the MisSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the MisSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MisSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.52

Kylin Hill run for 39 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the TexAM 20

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 4 yds to the TexAM 9

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.62

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the TexAM 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 30

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Carson Green) to the TexAM 29

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 29

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Braden Mann punt for 58 yds , Isaiah Zuber returns for no gain to the MisSt 15 Isaiah Zuber fumbled, recovered by MisSt Isaiah Zuber

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+25 ydsPPA -0.38

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 25 yds Stephen Guidry fumbled, forced by Myles Jones, recovered by TexAM Keldrick Carper

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 36

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the MisSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Cordarrian Richardson run for 13 yds to the MisSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cordarrian Richardson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Austin Williams, broken up by Clifford Chattman

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (LaQuinston Sharp) to the MisSt 33

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Austin Williams

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Austin Williams for 10 yds to the MisSt 43

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 6 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the TexAM 46

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Kylin Hill run for 12 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Austin Williams, broken up by Clifford Chattman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell, PENALTY MS holding (L. Sharp) 10 yards to the TAMU30, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.37

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 38

2nd & 28Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +5.90

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 38 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Connor Blumrick run for 11 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
21%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
83%
6 plays
33%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th