Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 26, 2019Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 47.9

Home Win Probability

Alabama 99%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
00077
AlabamaAlabama
17247048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-017-031-034-048-048-7
AlabamaArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAPUNT627ydFG1469ydTO429ydTD114ydTO521ydTD548ydPUNT38ydTD670ydPUNT32ydTD448ydPUNT516ydPUNT43ydTO32ydFG513ydTD751ydEND14ydTD564ydPUNT35ydPUNT617ydTD1385ydDOWNS1589ydPUNT31ydEND514yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Alabama
StatisticArkansasAlabama
Passing11-2624-30
Pass Yards107280
Rush Yards106179
Total Yards213459
Turnovers40
3rd Down3-128-13
Penalties0-06-60
Possession25:2634:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
Nick Starkel
5/19, 58 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Rakeem Boyd
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Rakeem Boyd
4 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
18/22, 235 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
13 CAR, 86 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
7 REC, 103 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Nick Starkel pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Devwah Whaley

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 14 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 6 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for no gain to the Ark 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 8 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ark 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mac Jones run for 1 yd to the Ark 13

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.46

Joseph Bulovas 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Nick Starkel pass complete to Treylon Burks for 15 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+37 ydsPPA -4.25

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Alab Christian Harris , return for 37 yds to the Ark 14

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Henry Ruggs III 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon Harris

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.45

Nick Starkel pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 15 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 46

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.27

Nick Starkel pass intercepted Anfernee Jennings return for no gain to the Ark 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Ark 41

3rd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Najee Harris run for 20 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Ark 14

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Jerry Jeudy 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon Harris

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.45

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 47 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.16

Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 13 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 4

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trey Knox

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Ark 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.00

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 24 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.63

Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 18 yds to the Ark 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Ark 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds to the Ark 35

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to O'Grady, Cheyenne, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the ARKANSAS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon Harris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon Harris

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Devwah Whaley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 38 yds, downed at the Alab 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Alab 27 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerry Jeudy) to the Alab 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 1 yd to the Alab 18

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 2 yds to the Alab 20

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ty Perine punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ark 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 30

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Treylon Burks run for 3 yds to the Ark 33

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -0.18

Nick Starkel pass intercepted Patrick Surtain II return for 24 yds to the Ark 25

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Ark 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for no gain to the Ark 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Ark 12

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.38

Joseph Bulovas 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Rakeem Boyd run for 12 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 47

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to Harris, De'Jon, PENALTY ALABAMA personal foul 15 yards to the ALABAMA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

T.J. Hammonds run for 7 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'Grady

3rd & 3Interception Return Touchdown-84 ydsPPA -10.91

Trevon Diggs 84 Yd Interception Return (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.79

Jerry Jeudy 40 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.12

John Stephen Jones sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 33

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.06

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 12 yds to the Ark 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 2 yds to the Alab 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Alab 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jahleel Billingsley

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ty Perine punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

John Stephen Jones run for 6 yds to the Ark 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 24

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 22

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.63

John Stephen Jones run for 12 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.36

John Stephen Jones run for 5 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 9 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.75

John Stephen Jones pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Devwah Whaley run for 10 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

John Stephen Jones run for 1 yd to the Alab 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Cheyenne O'Grady 8 Yd pass from John Stephen Jones (Connor Limpert Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to John Metchie for 5 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 6 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.92

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 37 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Ark 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 15 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ark 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Ark 13

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Ark 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 8

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 9

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.15

John Stephen Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 6

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 52 yds, downed at the Alab 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Alab 49

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.55

Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 44

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
11%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
4th

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays