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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 7.3

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 29%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
030710
TennesseeTennessee
733720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-313-313-1020-10
TennesseeMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSTENMSTENMSTENMSTENMSTENTENMSTENMSTENMSTENMSTENMSTENPUNT33ydTO434ydPUNT3-3ydTD860ydTO743ydPUNT36ydFG1359ydTO968ydTO417ydFG45ydPUNT618ydPUNT34ydFG756ydTO411ydPUNT30ydPUNT4-4ydPUNT621ydTD890ydTD991ydMISS1157ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Tennessee
StatisticMississippi StateTennessee
Passing11-2110-14
Pass Yards146167
Rush Yards121190
Total Yards267357
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-127-15
Penalties4-153-34
Possession26:5833:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Garrett Shrader
5/10, 79 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Garrett Shrader
13 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Osirus Mitchell
5 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Jarrett Guarantano
6/7, 106 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ty Chandler
16 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Tyler Byrd
3 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 8

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 6 yds to the MisSt 14

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Tommy Stevens sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 12

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 34 yds, downed at the MisSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.95

Brian Maurer pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 28 yds to the MisSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Maurer run for 5 yds to the MisSt 13

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the MisSt 12

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.18

Brian Maurer pass intercepted, touchback. Cameron Dantzler return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 23

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Tommy Stevens sacked by Matthew Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Tucker Day punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 40 , Marquez Callaway returns for 13 yds to the Tenn 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.83

Brian Maurer pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 16 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the MisSt 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tim Jordan run for no gain to the MisSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Brian Maurer pass complete to Josh Palmer for 16 yds to the MisSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the MisSt 15

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Tim Jordan run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the MisSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Farrod Green for 9 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 11 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Gibson run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Tommy Stevens run for 10 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -4.13

Tommy Stevens pass intercepted Kenneth George Jr. return for 24 yds to the Tenn 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Brian Maurer pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 1 yd to the Tenn 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 17 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.76

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 19 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Tommy Stevens run for 9 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Zuber run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.16

Tommy Stevens run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the Tenn 29

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.48

Tommy Stevens sacked by Bryce Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

4th & 12Field Goal Good+51 ydsPPA +1.64

Jace Christmann 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 21

3rd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Brian Maurer run for 23 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.43

Jauan Jennings run for 22 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Brian Maurer run for 13 yds to the MisSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tim Jordan run for no gain to the MisSt 18

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the MisSt 17

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.74

Brian Maurer pass intercepted, touchback. Brian Cole II return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.16

Tommy Stevens run for 10 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Tommy Stevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 42

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 37

2nd & 16Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Stevens pass intercepted Trevon Flowers return for 14 yds to the TENNESSEE 49 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the MisSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the MisSt 32

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the MisSt 32

4th & 5Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.71

Brent Cimaglia 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tim Jordan run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Tim Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 29

3rd & 6Rush+6 yds

Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dominick Wood-Anderson run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Farrod Green

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 39

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 37

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the Tenn 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.90

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 41 yds to the MisSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tim Jordan run for no gain to the MisSt 13

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the MisSt 12

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the MisSt 5

4th & 2Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.09

Brent Cimaglia 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the MisSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -1.85

Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Nigel Warrior return for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 35

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Tenn 35

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.91

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Lee Autry and Fabien Lovett for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 30

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

JaVonta Payton run for 11 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 34

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Gibson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 35

2nd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Garrett Shrader sacked by Aubrey Solomon for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 28 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Garrett Shrader) to the MisSt 28

3rd & 21Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the MisSt 29

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (Aaron Brule) to the MisSt 24

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.66

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Tim Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 4 yds to the MisSt 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.61

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 21 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, roughing passer (Henry To'o To'o) to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 41

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell, broken up by Nigel Warrior

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.82

Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the Tenn 48

4th & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +3.05

Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.42

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 18 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the Tenn 17

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 17 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Ty Chandler run for 15 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the Tenn 37

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Tim Jordan run for 12 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the MisSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.12

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tim Jordan for 9 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 39

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +4.07

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 39 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Garrett Shrader sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 37 Garrett Shrader fumbled, recovered by MisSt Darryl Williams , return for 0 yards

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 8 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.49

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 15 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell, broken up by Nigel Warrior

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.84

Garrett Shrader sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 20

2nd & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.62

Garrett Shrader sacked by Darel Middleton for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 25

3rd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Tenn 18

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Jace Christmann 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 18

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play