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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2019Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 4.7

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 58%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
06006
Ole MissOle Miss
10014731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-310-624-631-6
Ole MissVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMFG651ydPUNT3-1ydTD344ydPUNT1333ydDOWNS750ydFG766ydPUNT519ydPUNT411ydPUNT33ydPUNT37ydDOWNS942ydFG537ydPUNT515ydTD281ydPUNT532ydTD392ydPUNT69ydPUNT420ydPUNT31ydPUNT39ydPUNT731ydPUNT613ydPUNT30ydTD869ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydDOWNS839ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Ole Miss
StatisticVanderbiltOle Miss
Passing25-4610-18
Pass Yards20299
Rush Yards62413
Total Yards264512
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-174-14
Penalties3-235-54
Possession33:0226:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Riley Neal
18/30, 140 YDS
rushing
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
18 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Kalija Lipscomb
7 REC, 69 YDS
defense
Ole Miss
passing
John Rhys Plumlee
10/18, 99 YDS
rushing
John Rhys Plumlee
22 CAR, 165 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Moore
4 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Scottie Phillips run for 5 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 5Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.41

John Rhys Plumlee run for 54 yds to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.85

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Allan George for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 22

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 23

3rd & 17Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Andre Mintze for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 29

4th & 23Penalty+5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Vandy 24

4th & 18Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +1.46

Luke Logan 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-3 Yards) to the Vandy 4

1st & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 8

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 5

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 1 yd to the Vandy 6

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 44

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the Vandy 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

John Rhys Plumlee run for 33 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Riley Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Riley Neal pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 9 yds to the Vandy 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Riley Neal sacked by Benito Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 2 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Julius) to the Miss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Riley Neal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Riley Neal pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Riley Neal punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Elijah Moore run for no gain to the Miss 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Elijah Moore for 12 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.42

John Rhys Plumlee run for 30 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jason Pellerin for 5 yds to the Vandy 33

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the Vandy 33

4th & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -2.19

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Elijah Moore for 3 yds to the Vandy 30

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.75

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 43 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Miss 9

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ke'Shawn Vaughn) to the Miss 24

2nd & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Miss 20

3rd & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.33

Riley Neal run for 16 yds to the Miss 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Ryley Guay 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 6 yds to the Miss 31

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Scottie Phillips run for 17 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Andre Mintze for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 44

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Jonathan Mingo, broken up by Brendon Harris

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 18

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for no gain to the Vandy 32

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive offside (Charles Wiley) to the Vandy 37

3rd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.34

Riley Neal sacked by Lakia Henry for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 29

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 54 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 1 yd to the Miss 18

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

John Rhys Plumlee rush for no gain to the OM18 (Jaylen Mahoney;Kenny Hebert), PENALTY OM holding (Nick Broeker) 9 yards to the OM9, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 12

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 9 yds to the Miss 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete, broken up by Randall Haynie

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Mac Brown punt for 42 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 9 yds to the Vandy 46

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 44

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 9 yds to the Miss 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Riley Neal pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 6Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.84

Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the Miss 26 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (Royce Newman) to the Miss 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Elijah Moore for 12 yds to the Miss 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.90

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Elijah Moore for 13 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

John Rhys Plumlee run for 14 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Demarcus Gregory

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Octavious Cooley for 7 yds to the Vandy 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Octavious Cooley, broken up by Brendon Harris

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete, broken up by Randall Haynie

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 4 yds to the Vandy 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 14 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Riley Neal pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 19 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Keidron Smith

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA -0.85

Ryley Guay 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Armani Linton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the Miss 22

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.66

Jerrion Ealy run for 78 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 12 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 17 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 5 yds to the Miss 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Scottie Phillips run for 1 yd to the Miss 9

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the Miss 16

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +6.93

Snoop Conner run for 84 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 7 yds to the Vandy 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Jacquez Jones

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 15

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Jerrion Ealy run for 13 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 27

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the Miss 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Demarcus Gregory for 4 yds to the Miss 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 1 yd to the Vandy 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for no gain to the Vandy 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris Pierce VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 48 yds , Elijah Moore returns for 5 yds to the Miss 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Miss 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the Miss 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justice Shelton-Mosley at the Vandy 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 22

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Deuce Wallace pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 10 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Deuce Wallace pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, substitution infraction (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Deuce Wallace pass complete to Cam Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 46

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Quentin Bivens

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Scottie Phillips run for 2 yds to the Miss 22

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the Miss 22

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.51

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Scottie Phillips run for 4 yds to the Miss 35

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 34

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 43 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for no gain to the Vandy 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Chris Pierce

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Chris Pierce, broken up by Luke Knox

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds, downed at the Miss 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Miss 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the Miss 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.44

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 28 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Rhys Plumlee run for 5 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

John Rhys Plumlee run for 4 yds to the Vandy 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Scottie Phillips run for no gain to the Vandy 27

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Scottie Phillips run for 3 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Scottie Phillips run for 24 yds for a TD, (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James Bostic, broken up by Keidron Smith

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Keyon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Deuce Wallace run for no gain to the Vandy 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Elijah Moore at the Miss 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Miss 30

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the Miss 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 41 yds, downed at the Vandy 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Deuce Wallace pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 12 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Deuce Wallace pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 19 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete, broken up by Hal Northern

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Deuce Wallace pass complete to Chris Pierce for 17 yds to the Miss 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Chris Pierce

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Keyon Brooks

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.13

Deuce Wallace sacked by Austrian Robinson and Brenden Williams for a loss of 14 yards to the Miss 40

4th & 24Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 5 yds to the Miss 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 33

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
23%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play