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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 1.3

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 53%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
00077
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
737724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-017-024-024-7
South CarolinaKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCKENSCKENKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCTD1175ydTO515ydPUNT59ydPUNT37ydDOWNS48ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydFG1062ydPUNT32ydPUNT732ydPUNT536ydPUNT725ydEND13ydTO3-9ydTD130ydPUNT34ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1242ydPUNT513ydPUNT412ydPUNT38ydPUNT514ydTD785ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT414ydTD584ydEND510yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and South Carolina
StatisticKentuckySouth Carolina
Passing13-3415-27
Pass Yards97140
Rush Yards115247
Total Yards212387
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-155-15
Penalties4-205-40
Possession26:1033:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Sawyer Smith
11/32, 90 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
6 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ahmad Wagner
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense
South Carolina
passing
Ryan Hilinski
15/27, 140 YDS
rushing
Tavien Feaster
15 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Bryan Edwards
6 REC, 37 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Rico Dowdle run for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.18

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Kent 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.73

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 22 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Asim Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 36

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 40

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.43

Sawyer Smith pass intercepted Ernest Jones return for no gain to the SCaro 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Rico Dowdle rush for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Quinton Bohanna), PENALTY UK encroachment (Joshua Paschal) 5 yards to the UK49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Kent 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Quandre Mosely

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for no gain to the Kent 40

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kent 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 10

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 49 yds , Darius Rush returns for no gain to the SCaro 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.25

Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

4th & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -1.65

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the SCaro 31

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for no gain to the SCaro 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 7 yds to the SCaro 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 48 yds, downed at the Kent 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Ali for 7 yds to the Kent 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 49 yds, downed at the SCaro 30

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the SCaro 39

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 4 yds to the Kent 49

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.01

Rico Dowdle run for 20 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the Kent 13

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Kent 10

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Kent 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.02

Parker White 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Jammie Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Ali for 2 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 62 yds, downed at the SCaro 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.15

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 15 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Tavien Feaster run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 12 yds to the SCaro 46

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the SCaro 49

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.55

Ryan Hilinski sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 47 yds, downed at the Kent 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 20 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 38

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCaro 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Hilinski run for 3 yds to the SCaro 13

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.03

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 23 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 41

1st & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.57

Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 35

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Kash Daniel

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Brandin Echols

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.91

Sawyer Smith sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 11 yards to the Kent 30 Sawyer Smith fumbled, recovered by SCaro Aaron Sterling , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Rico Dowdle run for 30 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 19

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin Rigg

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by DeAndre Square

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 6 yds to the Kent 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 20 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Jahmar Brown, recovered by Kent Lynn Bowden Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the SCaro 41

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.40

Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 36

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 33

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Lynn Bowden Jr. at the Kent 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Israel Mukuamu

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 9 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Landon Young) to the Kent 26

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Jaycee Horn

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 21

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

3rd & 20Penalty+15 yds

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas, QB hurry by K. Enagbare, PENALTY SC personal foul (K. Enagbare) 15 yards to the UK36, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Asim Rose, broken up by Jaycee Horn

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.66

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 26 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin Rigg, broken up by T.J. Brunson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner

4th & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Sawyer Smith sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 41

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, PENALTY UK offside (T.J. Carter) 5 yards to the SC46, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Jamari Brown

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Kent 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico Dowdle

4th & 10Punt+41 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 46 yds for a touchback SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Sawyer Smith sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 26

3rd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.23

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Asim Rose for 11 yds to the Kent 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 7

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick Muse, broken up by Kash Daniel

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 14

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 60 yds, downed at the Kent 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Jammie Robinson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, downed at the SCaro 15

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.16

Tavien Feaster run for 28 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Mon Denson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Kent 37 Mon Denson fumbled, forced by Calvin Taylor Jr., recovered by SCaro Bryan Edwards

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.03

Ryan Hilinski run for 11 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Tavien Feaster run for 7 yds to the Kent 19

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Tavien Feaster run for 19 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin Rigg, broken up by Damani Staley

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.29

Sawyer Smith sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 19

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 22

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Joseph Charlton punt for 57 yds , Josh Ali returns for 9 yds to the Kent 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 9 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 1Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.74

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 44 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28

2nd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.81

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 26 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Kent 41

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Kent 34

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 36

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
18%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
9%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
38%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play