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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2019Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 25.4

Home Win Probability

Alabama 94%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
07007
AlabamaAlabama
141414749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-028-735-742-749-7
AlabamaSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMALASMALASMALASMALASMALASMALASMALASMALASMALASMALASMPUNT30ydTD354ydPUNT931ydTD391ydTO513ydTD1191ydPUNT31ydTD456ydPUNT722ydPUNT519ydTD674ydPUNT32ydEND1-2ydTD677ydTO855ydTD768ydPUNT521ydTO943ydPUNT819ydTD943ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Alabama
StatisticSouthern MissAlabama
Passing17-2620-25
Pass Yards174338
Rush Yards52176
Total Yards226514
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-116-10
Penalties6-551-15
Possession32:5527:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Jack Abraham
17/26, 174 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
De'Michael Harris
8 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
De'Michael Harris
3 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
17/21, 293 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
14 CAR, 110 YDS
receiving
Henry Ruggs III
4 REC, 148 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to De'Michael Harris

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 12 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 45

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.87

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 45 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Jack Abraham run for 11 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

De'Michael Harris run for 21 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the Alab 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan Mitchell

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 7 yds to the Alab 39

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.98

De'Michael Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylond Adams run for 2 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

3rd & 8Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.73

Jack Abraham sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 14 yards to the Alab 48 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jack Abraham) to the Alab 48

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.10

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 74 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds to the SoMis 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 9 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

De'Michael Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -1.77

Jack Abraham pass intercepted Trevon Diggs return for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 8

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 12

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Tagovailoa, Tua pass incomplete to Waddle, Jaylen, PENALTY SOUMISS pass interference (Gunn, Ernest) 15 yards to the ALABAMA27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 3 yds to the Alab 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 15 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy, broken up by Rachuan Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the SoMis 42

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the SoMis 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.61

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 25 yds to the SoMis 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 5 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

De'Michael Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 22

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylond Adams run for 4 yds to the SoMis 26 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (Tim Jones) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Bromell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 17 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 18 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 17 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Steven Anderson run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 17 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the SoMis 48

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Steven Anderson run for 7 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Steven Anderson run for no gain to the Alab 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan Mitchell

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.58

Jack Abraham sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 47

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Miller Forristall for 1 yd to the Alab 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy, broken up by Ky'el Hemby

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 36 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

De'Michael Harris run for 3 yds to the SoMis 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+52 yds

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 37 yds to the ALABAMA 32 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Xavier McKinney) to the Alab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 14 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tua Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.84

Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Swayze Bozeman for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to John Metchie for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.66

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 36 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 20 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham run for no gain to the SoMis 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 12 yds to the SoMis 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Anfernee Jennings

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.06

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 25 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Jack Abraham pass complete to Steven Anderson for 9 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

De'Michael Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.96

De'Michael Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 32 De'Michael Harris fumbled, forced by Phidarian Mathis, recovered by Alab Jordan Battle , return for 4 yds to the Alab 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 3 yds to the Alab 40

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 14 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tua Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the SoMis 38

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.16

Najee Harris run for 17 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SoMis 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for no gain to the SoMis 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 15 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 3 yds to the SoMis 46

4th & 4Punt+28 yds

Zac Everett punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALABAMA 11 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Alab 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.25

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 17 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 39 Najee Harris fumbled, recovered by Alab Najee Harris for a 1ST down Najee Harris run for 20 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 8 yds to the SoMis 33

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jerome Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 29

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Jerome Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 31

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.33

Mac Jones pass intercepted D.Q. Thomas return for no gain to the SoMis 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Perkins run for 4 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 8 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Quez Watkins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Darius Maberry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 45

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Bromell, Matt punt 32 yards to the ALABAMA18, Waddle, Jaylen return 0 yards to the ALABAMA18, PENALTY SOUMISS substitution infraction 5 yards to the SOUMISS45, NO PLAY.

4th & 14Punt+41 yds

Matt Bromell punt for 39 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 41 yds to the SoMis 43

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the SoMis 36

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Chadarius Townsend run for 1 yd to the SoMis 35

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Chadarius Townsend run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 38

4th & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.70

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Slade Bolden for 20 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the SoMis 16

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the SoMis 9

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the SoMis 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the SoMis 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jerome Ford run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Darius Maberry run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Darius Maberry run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 21

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Darius Maberry run for 1 yd to the SoMis 22

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
44%
16 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play