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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 14.1

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 83%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
31401431
Mississippi StateMississippi State
0147324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-107-1014-1721-1724-2424-31
Mississippi StateKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSKSMSKSMSKSMSMSKSMSKSMSKSKSMSMSKSMSMSKSMSKSMSKSMSKSMSPUNT517ydDOWNS748ydTO536ydFG936ydPUNT31ydTD555ydTO3-10ydTD951ydPUNT36ydTO3-2ydTD530ydTD466ydEND1-2ydPUNT517ydTO31ydTD1279ydTO3-7ydTO3-8ydFG626ydTD00ydPUNT35ydPUNT520ydPUNT38ydTD653ydDOWNS855ydPUNT528ydEND220yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Mississippi State
StatisticKansas StateMississippi State
Passing10-1811-27
Pass Yards123151
Rush Yards146201
Total Yards269352
Turnovers33
3rd Down3-104-14
Penalties7-597-83
Possession26:5533:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Skylar John Thompson
10/18, 123 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
James Gilbert
17 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Dalton Schoen
3 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Tommy Stevens
7/15, 100 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kylin Hill
24 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Osirus Mitchell
5 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Leo Lewis
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Farrod Green for 13 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Stevens run for no gain to the MisSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 6 yds to the MisSt 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

4th & 4Punt+20 yds

Tucker Day punt for 49 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 20 yds to the KanSt 32

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Skylar Thompson run for 16 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Nick Kaltmayer) to the MisSt 34

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the MisSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Malik Knowles run for 7 yds to the MisSt 20

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.64

James Gilbert run for no gain to the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.56

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Tommy Stevens sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.96

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 17 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-16 ydsPPA -3.59

Tommy Stevens pass intercepted Denzel Goolsby return for 16 yds to the KanSt 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Harry Trotter run for 9 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.27

Harry Trotter run for 9 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the MisSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 6 yds to the MisSt 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Lynch 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+25 yds

Tucker Day punt for 44 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 25 yds to the MISSSTATE 49 KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 43

3rd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.68

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 23 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Fabien Lovett) to the MisSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Jordon Brown run for 12 yds to the MisSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jordon Brown run for 7 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (JaVonta Payton) to the MisSt 18

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the MisSt 19

2nd & 19Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Tommy Stevens sacked by Trey Dishon for a loss of 9 yards to the MisSt 10

3rd & 28Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Kylin Hill for 8 yds to the MisSt 18

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 31 yds , Jordon Brown returns for no gain to the MisSt 49 Jordon Brown fumbled, recovered by MisSt

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 8Penalty+4 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.79

Kylin Hill run for 22 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 15

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 13

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Stevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Tommy Stevens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Malik Dear at the MisSt 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Tommy Stevens run for 13 yds to the MisSt 30 Tommy Stevens fumbled, recovered by KanSt Daniel Green , return for 9 yds to the MisSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 3 yds to the MisSt 10

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordon Brown run for 17 yds to the MisSt 13 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the MisSt 8

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.87

James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.69

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Dontea Jones for 12 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 35 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Scott Goodman kickoff for 50 yds , Malik Knowles return for 2 yds to the KanSt 17 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 15 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the MisSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA +0.16

Tommy Stevens pass intercepted AJ Parker return for 23 yds to the MisSt 21 AJ Parker fumbled, recovered by MisSt Darryl Williams , return for 4 yds to the MisSt 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the MisSt 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.96

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Kylin Hill run for 11 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the KanSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down Dontea Jones for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the KanSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 57 yds , Malik Dear returns for 1 yd to the MisSt 26 Malik Dear fumbled, recovered by MisSt Malik Dear

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaquarius Landrews) to the MisSt 13

1st & 23Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the MisSt 14

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 18

4th & 18Punt+26 yds

Tucker Day punt for 26 yds , Seth Porter returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 45 Seth Porter fumbled, recovered by MisSt

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Kylin Hill for 12 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Kylin Hill run for 10 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Lee Witherspoon run for no gain to the KanSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 4 yds to the KanSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.55

Jace Christmann 47 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Scott Goodman kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Knowles return for 100 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Devin Anctil kickoff for 61 yds , JaVonta Payton return for 16 yds to the MISSSTATE 20 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MisSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the MisSt 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 55 yds, downed at the KanSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Wykeen Gill run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.70

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 24 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.34

Skylar Thompson sacked by Brian Cole II for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt Nick Kaltmayer , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brian Cole II at the MisSt 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the MisSt 14

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 16

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.92

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 20 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the MisSt 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Knowles run for 5 yds to the MisSt 15

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Garrett Shrader run for 16 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Kylin Hill run for 16 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 35

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.80

Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the KanSt 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.23

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 49

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40 Kylin Hill

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
40%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play