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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2019Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 13.4

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 81%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
007815
Mississippi StateMississippi State
71471038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-031-731-1538-15
Mississippi StateSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSSMMSPUNT618ydTD561ydMISS1056ydTD980ydTO833ydPUNT38ydPUNT513ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT35ydTD652ydEND326ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-2ydTD958ydTD475ydFG1063ydPUNT43ydMISS931ydTD275ydPUNT39ydTO324ydTD222ydTO318ydEND27yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Mississippi State
StatisticSouthern MissMississippi State
Passing18-2616-21
Pass Yards234176
Rush Yards110210
Total Yards344386
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-93-9
Penalties1-52-10
Possession26:1433:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Jack Abraham
18/26, 234 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kevin Perkins
5 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Jordan Mitchell
6 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Tommy Stevens
9/10, 105 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kylin Hill
14 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Osirus Mitchell
2 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

De'Michael Harris run for 7 yds to the SoMis 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaylond Adams run for 2 yds to the SoMis 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Jack Abraham run for 4 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 4 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Cameron Dantzler

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 1 yd to the SoMis 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Bromell punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 12 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the SoMis 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 11 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.58

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 28 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kevin Perkins run for 7 yds to the SoMis 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 8 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 20 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

De'Michael Harris run for 8 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

De'Michael Harris run for 2 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Steven Anderson run for 11 yds to the MisSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Steven Anderson run for no gain to the MisSt 19

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylond Adams run for no gain to the MisSt 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Abraham pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Andrew Stein 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Dontea Jones for 3 yds to the MisSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Dontea Jones for 6 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 18 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Kylin Hill run for 22 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 6 yds to the SoMis 21

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Stevens run for 6 yds to the SoMis 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the SoMis 11

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.58

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 11 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 6 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 18 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Darius Maberry run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.99

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 25 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan Kempf run for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 29

2nd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Jack Abraham sacked by Brian Cole II for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 36

3rd & 22Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Abraham sacked by Marquiss Spencer for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 42 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by MisSt Tyler Williams , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Tommy Stevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Tommy Stevens pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 10 yds to the SoMis 49

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nick Gibson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ty Williams at the SoMis 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 3 yds to the SoMis 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jack Abraham pass complete to Trevor Terry for 7 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dee Baker run for 2 yds to the SoMis 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to De'Michael Harris

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 21

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Bromell punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Tommy Stevens sacked by Ty Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 42

2nd & 18Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Tommy Stevens sacked by Ty Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 37

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Stevens pass incomplete to Stephen Guidry

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 59 yds, downed at the SoMis 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kevin Perkins run for 5 yds to the SoMis 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the SoMis 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 9

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 43 yds, downed at the MisSt 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.12

Kylin Hill run for 16 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the SoMis 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 10 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Gibson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 13

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Nick Gibson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

De'Michael Harris run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

De'Michael Harris run for 10 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Kevin Perkins run for 12 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Tucker Day punt for 47 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Jack Abraham run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 18 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by SoMis Ray Ladner

2nd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 17

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Darius Maberry run for 8 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Zac Everett punt for 41 yds , Malik Dear returns for 8 yds to the MisSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the MisSt 46

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Kylin Hill run for 22 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the SoMis 14

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the SoMis 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the SoMis 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 18 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.42

Kevin Perkins run for 26 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 28 yds for a TD, (Andrew Stein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Austin Williams for 13 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Nick Gibson run for 10 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Kylin Hill for 15 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, delay of game (Garrett Shrader) to the SoMis 36

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Kylin Hill run for 16 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Geor'quarius Spivey

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lee Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the SoMis 16

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the SoMis 12

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.90

Jace Christmann 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Maberry run for no gain to the SoMis 12 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, offside defense (Leo Lewis) to the SoMis 17

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Darius Maberry run for 2 yds to the SoMis 19

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Abraham pass complete to Neil McLaurin for 1 yd to the SoMis 20

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Malik Dear at the MisSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Kylin Hill for 4 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Cameron Gardner, broken up by Ty Williams

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.21

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Cameron Gardner for 7 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.30

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 17 yds to the SoMis 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.51

Garrett Shrader sacked by Eriq Kitchen for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 33

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Lee Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Jace Christmann 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 10 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 65 yds for a TD, (Jack Abraham pass to Trevor Terry for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Lee Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Lee Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the MisSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Abraham run for 4 yds to the SoMis 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 20 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-45 ydsPPA -2.14

Jack Abraham pass intercepted Martin Emerson return for 45 yds to the SoMis 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Lee Witherspoon run for no gain to the SoMis 22

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Lee Witherspoon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

De'Michael Harris run for 18 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -1.38

Jack Abraham pass intercepted C.J. Morgan return for 9 yds to the MisSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Robert Rivers for 5 yds to the SoMis 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the SoMis 46

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play