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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1
DukeDuke
3
-Final
42
AlabamaAlabama

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 25

Home Win Probability

Alabama 94%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
03003
AlabamaAlabama
01421742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-321-335-342-3
AlabamaDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALADUKALAPUNT3-3ydPUNT33ydTO29ydDOWNS719ydMISS1262ydPUNT520ydTD1280ydPUNT3-6ydTD776ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydFG769ydEND1-2ydDOWNS940ydTD965ydTO13ydTD328ydPUNT35ydTD990ydTO325ydMISS1344ydPUNT36ydTD549ydTO835ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Alabama
StatisticDukeAlabama
Passing12-2230-36
Pass Yards97367
Rush Yards107145
Total Yards204512
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-126-12
Penalties8-528-88
Possession23:2336:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Quentin Harris
12/22, 97 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Brittain Brown
7 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Noah Gray
5 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
26/31, 336 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jerome Ford
10 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
10 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Alab 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerome Ford for 2 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Koby Quansah for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 19

4th & 13Punt+3 yds

Will Reichard punt for 39 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 3 yds to the Duke 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 44

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Deon Jackson

4th & 7Punt+35 yds

Austin Parker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the ALABAMA 12 DUKE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Alab 23

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.73

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Alab 26 Jerome Ford fumbled, forced by Edgar Cerenord, recovered by Duke Tre Hornbuckle

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Alab 21

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Alab 21

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.57

Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun, broken up by Patrick Surtain II

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Alab 7

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.10

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Alab 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 10 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 12

2nd & 15Penalty-6 yds

Tagovailoa, Tua pass complete to Waddle, Jaylen for 30 yards to the ALABAMA42, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Owens, Chris) 6 yards to the ALABAMA6, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 16 yds to the Alab 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 11 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 14 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 5 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.08

Tua Tagovailoa run for 10 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to John Metchie for 5 yds to the Duke 33

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Duke 31

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Will Reichard 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.98

Brittain Brown run for 16 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Alab 47

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Jacob Monk) to the Alab 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Scott Bracey

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Alab 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Tagovailoa, Tua pass complete to Harris, Najee for 54 yards to the DUKE15, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Neal, Evan) 10 yards to the ALABAMA21, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.54

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 4 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Duke 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Duke 49

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.14

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tua Tagovailoa run for 3 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.07

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 15 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Miller Forristall 27 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Deon Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Quentin Harris pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.36

Quentin Harris sacked by Terrell Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.09

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 39 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 9 yds to the Duke 28

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Duke 28

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.30

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.28

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 24 yds to the Duke 3 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Brian Robinson Jr. 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the Duke 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Quentin Harris run for no gain to the Duke 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 9 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.43

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 42

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Reichard punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the Duke 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Quentin Harris run for 8 yds to the Duke 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.65

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 37 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Harris, Quentin pass incomplete to Young, Aaron, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Jobe, Josh) 15 yards to the ALABAMA19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 3 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Quentin Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Noah Gray

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.84

AJ Reed 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Duke 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quentin Harris pass complete to Deon Jackson for 4 yds to the Duke 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.51

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 20 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Duke 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.67

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 10 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Aaron Young

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 2 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the Alab 37

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.06

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 2 yds to the Alab 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 8 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Miller Forristall for 6 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, Personal Foul (Edgar Cerenord) to the Duke 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.80

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 18 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 10 yds to the Duke 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

Robinson Jr., Brian rush for loss of 4 yards to the DUKE5, PENALTY DUKE 12 men on the field 0 yards to the DUKE1, NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Duke 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Major Tennison 1 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.92

Quentin Harris pass complete to Brittain Brown for 3 yds Brittain Brown fumbled, forced by Patrick Surtain II, recovered by Alab Trevon Diggs

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle, broken up by Leonard Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Najee Harris run for 15 yds to the Duke 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trevon McSwain) to the Duke 8

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.91

DeVonta Smith 8 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Harris pass incomplete to Aaron Young, broken up by Josh Jobe

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

Jackson, Deon rush for 2 yards to the DUKE27, PENALTY DUKE personal foul (Monk, Jacob) 12 yards to the DUKE13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Deon Jackson run for 12 yds to the Duke 25

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 30

4th & 5Punt+60 yds

Austin Parker punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the ALABAMA 19 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christopher Allen) to the Alab 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 14 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 21 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tua Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Duke 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.44

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 21 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Jerry Jeudy 21 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Harris, Quentin pass incomplete to Young, Aaron, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Jobe, Josh) 15 yards to the DUKE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Deon Jackson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Najee Harris run for 14 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Mac Jones pass complete to Major Tennison for 8 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 48

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mac Jones run for no gain to the Alab 48

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Duke 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 5 yds to the Duke 42

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Mac Jones run for 4 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jerome Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerome Ford for 9 yds to the Duke 30

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Will Reichard 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Quentin Harris pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 1 yd to the Duke 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Duke 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Duke 44

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Duke 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Jerome Ford run for 37 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the Duke 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 8 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.92

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 28

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Mataeo Durant run for 6 yds to the Duke 34

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Harris, Quentin pass incomplete to Philyaw-Johnson, Damond, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Carter, Scooby) 15 yards to the DUKE49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mataeo Durant run for 7 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Quentin Harris pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Battle return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 18

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
15%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
59%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
88%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays