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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2018Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 3.3

Home Win Probability

California 38%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
10301023
CaliforniaCalifornia
060713

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-103-106-106-136-1613-23
CaliforniaStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALCALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTAFG1275ydPUNT515ydTD473ydPUNT726ydPUNT616ydFG1136ydPUNT32ydFG775ydPUNT3-3ydTO521ydFG953ydEND1-1ydPUNT527ydPUNT618ydPUNT36ydPUNT520ydPUNT518ydPUNT3-7ydTO646ydTO13ydMISS44ydFG1377ydTO514ydTD13ydTD1375ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and California
StatisticStanfordCalifornia
Passing18-2922-39
Pass Yards237197
Rush Yards92155
Total Yards329352
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-147-18
Penalties5-403-30
Possession32:4227:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
K.J. Costello
18/29, 237 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bryce Love
22 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
5 REC, 109 YDS
defense
California
passing
Chase Garbers
22/39, 197 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Patrick Laird
19 CAR, 116 YDS
receiving
Jordan Duncan
5 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Bryce Love run for 13 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 25

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 8 yds to the Stanf 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.59

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 4 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

K.J. Costello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.79

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 22 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 15 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

K.J. Costello pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 10 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Cal 12

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

K.J. Costello run for 4 yds to the Cal 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.86

Jet Toner 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 11 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Cal 43

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Chase Garbers sacked by Michael Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hawkins, broken up by Kendall Williamson

4th & 13Punt+21 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 54 yds , Michael Wilson returns for 21 yds to the Stanf 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.24

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 17 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Bryce Love run for 8 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.26

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 46 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Jeremiah Hawkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.12

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hawkins for 16 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Chase Garbers run for 10 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Stanf 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside, broken up by Chris Palmer

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 43 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 10 yds to the Cal 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Malik McMorris run for 3 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Stanf 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 8 yds to the Stanf 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Chase Garbers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 9 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Garbers pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 5 yds to the Stanf 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the Stanf 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA -0.17

Greg Thomas 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 28

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 23

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trevor Speights run for 4 yds to the Stanf 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 45 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for no gain to the Cal 27 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Elijah Hicks) to the Cal 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton III

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Chase Garbers run for 8 yds to the Cal 26

3rd & 2Rush+62 ydsPPA +4.11

Patrick Laird run for 62 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Stanf 12

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Stanf 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.89

Greg Thomas 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael Wilson, broken up by Camryn Bynum

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 20

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 20

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 37

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Chase Garbers sacked by Bobby Okereke and Gabe Reid for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 33

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 36

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Chase Garbers run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chase Garbers run for 6 yds to the Stanf 44

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.50

Chase Garbers pass complete to Malik McMorris for 4 yds Malik McMorris fumbled, forced by Bobby Okereke, recovered by Stanf Sean Barton , return for 4 yds to the Stanf 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Connor Wedington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Trevor Speights

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.14

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 15 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

K.J. Costello pass complete to Trevor Speights for 8 yds to the Cal 31

2nd & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.98

K.J. Costello sacked by Lone Toailoa for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.57

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 31 yds to the Cal 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 6

3rd & 1Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.55

Jet Toner 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.53

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hawkins for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hawkins

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 31 yds, downed at the Stanf 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

K.J. Costello pass complete to Michael Wilson for 5 yds to the Stanf 26

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

K.J. Costello run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Colby Parkinson, broken up by Camryn Bynum

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Michael Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

K.J. Costello pass complete to Bryce Love for 4 yds to the Stanf 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Cal 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Patrick Laird run for 5 yds to the Cal 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton III, broken up by Paulson Adebo

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.39

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for 11 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.80

K.J. Costello sacked by Tevin Paul for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 41

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Dorian Maddox run for 7 yds to the Stanf 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Patrick Laird run for 8 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Vic Wharton III, broken up by Paulson Adebo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 2 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Cal 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 41 yds , Michael Wilson returns for no gain to the Stanf 23 Michael Wilson fumbled, recovered by Stanf Michael Wilson

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.87

K.J. Costello pass complete to Cameron Scarlett for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 20

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.22

K.J. Costello sacked by Alex Funches for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 16 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jake Bailey punt for 84 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 5 yds to the Cal 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Patrick Laird run for 2 yds to the Cal 27

3rd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.01

Chase Garbers run for 10 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Stanf 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 11 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.06

Chase Garbers pass intercepted, touchback. Paulson Adebo return for no gain

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 23 Bryce Love fumbled, forced by Jordan Kunaszyk, recovered by Cal Siulagisipai Fuimaono

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick Laird run for no gain to the Stanf 19

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chase Garbers run for no gain to the Stanf 19

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Greg Thomas 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

K.J. Costello pass complete to Colby Parkinson for 9 yds to the Stanf 29

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

K.J. Costello pass complete to Connor Wedington for 5 yds to the Stanf 35

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryce Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 34

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Costello, K.J. pass incomplete to Arcega-Whiteside, JJ, PENALTY CAL roughing passer (Paul, Tevin) 15 yards to the STAN49, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Cal 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.41

K.J. Costello pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 24 yds to the Cal 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Cal 21

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Cal 16

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.30

K.J. Costello run for 4 yds to the Cal 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Cal 11

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 13

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Bryce Love run for 10 yds to the Cal 3

4th & 1Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.18

Jet Toner 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Patrick Laird

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 9 yds to the Cal 33

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-43 ydsPPA -2.05

Chase Garbers pass intercepted Paulson Adebo return for 43 yds to the Cal 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 15 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 5 yds to the Cal 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Maurice Ways

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.25

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 12 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, false start (Ryan Gibson) to the Stanf 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 13 yds to the Stanf 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hawkins

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 6 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 4 yds to the Stanf 25

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Chase Garbers sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 29

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.47

Chase Garbers pass complete to Ray Hudson for 12 yds to the Stanf 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for 6 yds to the Stanf 11

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.40

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 11 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 49

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
46%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
69%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays