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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2018Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 17.3

Home Win Probability

App State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
3310319
App StateApp State
7761030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-614-617-1320-1627-1930-19
App StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASFG955ydTD11ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT618ydPUNT514ydFG1141ydTD975ydTO511ydPUNT3-4ydEND2-2ydFG651ydTD436ydDOWNS49ydFG728ydFG1052ydTO313ydTD444ydFG1260ydFG750ydDOWNS526ydUncategorized49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and App State
StatisticLouisianaApp State
Passing10-226-13
Pass Yards8575
Rush Yards216225
Total Yards301300
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-153-12
Penalties5-354-35
Possession31:3028:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Andre Nunez
10/21, 85 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Trey Ragas
16 CAR, 101 YDS
receiving
Ja'Marcus Bradley
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
6/13, 75 YDS
rushing
Darrynton Evans
17 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Marcus Williams Jr.
1 REC, 34 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 13Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.44

Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Anthony Flory) to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Ryheem Malone run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 6 yds to the AppSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.69

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 20 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the AppSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 5 yds to the AppSt 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.55

Kyle Pfau 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Johnny Lumpkin

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.25

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

4th & 9Punt+48 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 48 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Johnny Lumpkin

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 6 yds to the LaLaf 16

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 3 yds to the AppSt 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.70

Zac Thomas sacked by Kris Moncrief for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 34

4th & 15Punt+7 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 55 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 22

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.34

Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Raymond Calais run for no gain to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 30

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Darrynton Evans run for 8 yds to the AppSt 17

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 46 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for no gain to the LaLaf 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Andre Nunez run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.71

Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.07

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the AppSt 28

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 30

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.81

Kyle Pfau 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zac Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Darrynton Evans run for 21 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 13 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Noah Hannon) to the LaLaf 25

2nd & 15Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.50

Zac Thomas run for 25 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.40

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 8 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -2.62

Andre Nunez pass intercepted Josh Thomas return for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 33

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.59

Zac Thomas sacked by LaDarrius Kidd for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 27

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 28

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Earnest Patterson at the LaLaf 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Trey Ragas

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

2nd & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +4.04

Darrynton Evans run for 48 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Zac Thomas sacked by Bennie Higgins and Garrald McDowell for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.22

Chandler Staton 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Trey Ragas run for 20 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the AppSt 9

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.61

Andre Nunez run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 34

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 39

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Rico Robinson) to the AppSt 44

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 49

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 19Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.68

Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds to the AppSt 30

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.19

Elijah Mitchell run for 19 yds to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the AppSt 10

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the AppSt 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.92

Kyle Pfau 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 15 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chaiziere Malbrue) to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dominique Heath run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Zac Thomas run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Papenheim) to the LaLaf 33

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 8 yds to the LaLaf 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

4th & 11Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.66

Chandler Staton 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Elijah Mitchell run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Andre Nunez run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Max Mitchell) to the LaLaf 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the LaLaf 35

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.47

Zac Thomas run for 35 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Trey Ragas run for 21 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Andre Nunez run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.26

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the AppSt 3

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.79

Kyle Pfau 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Zac Thomas pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 34 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 25

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaLaf 25

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Staton 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 20 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 6 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Trey Ragas

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 10 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 49

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 49

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
8%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play