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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Penn State 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
10017027
Penn StatePenn State
0701724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-107-177-2014-2721-2724-27
Penn StateKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSKENPSKENPSKENPSPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSKENPSDOWNS48ydFG524ydPUNT31ydPUNT39ydMISS1032ydPUNT36ydTD3-3ydTD575ydPUNT636ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydPUNT632ydPUNT3-3ydMISS734ydPUNT38ydEND1-3ydTD665ydPUNT58ydFG1165ydTO312ydTD266ydTD1075ydPUNT39ydTD660ydPUNT32ydFG1261ydPUNT825ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Penn State
StatisticKentuckyPenn State
Passing9-1516-34
Pass Yards121228
Rush Yards176161
Total Yards297389
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-144-14
Penalties3-273-24
Possession30:4229:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
9/15, 121 YDS
rushing
Benny Snell Jr.
26 CAR, 144 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lynn Bowden Jr.
5 REC, 84 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
16/32, 228 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Trace McSorley
19 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
DeAndre Thompkins
3 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles Sanders

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Johnathan Thomas run for no gain to the PnSt 33

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Benny Snell Jr. run for 16 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the PnSt 17

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 8 yds to the PnSt 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -1.00

Miles Butler 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 71 yds, downed at the Kent 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 11

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 12

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.50

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 23 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the Kent 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 9 yds to the Kent 22

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Kent 15

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.68

Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 22

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Jake Pinegar 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 23

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Kent 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 67 yds, downed at the PnSt 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the PnSt 5

2nd & 10Penalty-2 yds

McSorley, Trace pass complete to Johnson, Juwan for 15 yards to the PENNST20, PENALTY PENNST ineligible downfield on pass (Gonzalez, Steven) 2 yards to the PENNST3, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Trace McSorley pass complete to Nick Bowers for 6 yds to the PnSt 9

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.17

Trace McSorley sacked by Kash Daniel for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 2

4th & 13Punt+58 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 56 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for 58 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.28

Trace McSorley run for 20 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.73

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 41 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Trace McSorley pass complete to Nick Bowers for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.36

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 21 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 37

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Benny Snell Jr. run for 14 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the PnSt 49

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Terry Wilson sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Journey Brown run for 4 yds to the PnSt 18

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.24

Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 14

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Asim Rose run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.71

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the 50 yard line Terry Wilson fumbled, forced by Micah Parsons, recovered by Kent Adrian Middleton , return to the 50 yard line

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 10

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Miles Sanders run for 11 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.49

Trace McSorley run for 12 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 10 yds to the PnSt 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 17

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 13

2nd & 14Penalty-7 yds

Wilson, Terry pass complete to Bowden Jr., Lynn for 11 yards to the KENTUCKY24, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Wolfe, Mason) 7 yards to the KENTUCKY6, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.30

Terry Wilson run for 15 yds to the Kent 21

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Terry Wilson sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 14

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Max Duffy punt for 39 yds , KJ Hamler returns for 1 yd to the PnSt 48

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Participation (5 Yards) to the Kent 47

1st & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.21

Trace McSorley run for 12 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Ricky Slade run for 12 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 5 yds to the Kent 18

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the Kent 18

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+36 yds

Jake Pinegar 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Josh Allen

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 4 yds to the Kent 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 65 yds, downed at the PnSt 7

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.34

Benny Snell Jr. run for 32 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.27

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 8 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Targeting (Cam Brown) to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST down. Cam Brown Ejected

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the PnSt 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Miles Sanders run for no gain to the PnSt 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Clifford sacked by T.J. Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 33

4th & 14Punt+10 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 52 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for 10 yds to the Kent 25

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Terry Wilson sacked by Tariq Castro-Fields for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 33

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Terry Wilson run for 10 yds to the Kent 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Terry Wilson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 4 yds to the PnSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 8 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 yds

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 18 yds to the PnSt 23 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Micah Parsons) to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the PnSt 6

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the PnSt 4

3rd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.81

Tavin Richardson run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.55

Miles Butler 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 8 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -3.59

Trace McSorley pass intercepted Lonnie Johnson Jr. return for 24 yds to the Kent 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.81

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 54 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

KJ Hamler run for 11 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Trace McSorley pass complete to Justin Shorter for 12 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Ricky Slade run for 7 yds to the Kent 42

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.28

Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.72

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 24 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ricky Slade run for 4 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 23

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 32 yds, downed at the PnSt 40

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Trace McSorley sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 32

3rd & 18Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.79

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 24 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 20 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the Kent 18

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 18 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Terry Wilson sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 48 yds, downed at the PnSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trace McSorley pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ricky Slade run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Trace McSorley run for 17 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Trace McSorley sacked by DeAndre Square for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.31

Trace McSorley pass complete to Nick Bowers for 25 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Miles Sanders run for 13 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Kent 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.48

Jake Pinegar 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 40

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 47

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 33 yds , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 17

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
27%
30 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
40%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play