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← Back to GamesDec 29, 2018Week 1
FloridaFlorida
41
-Final
15
MichiganMichigan

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 9.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan 74%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
310141441
MichiganMichigan
730515

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-610-1310-2010-2713-2713-3415-40
MichiganFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICFLOMICDOWNS530ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT627ydFG1071ydTD975ydFG1066ydPUNT39ydPUNT46ydFG40ydTD875ydMISS1041ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-2ydTO413ydTD644ydPUNT3-5ydTD863ydFG1167ydTD675ydPUNT518ydSAF35ydTD1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Michigan
StatisticFloridaMichigan
Passing14-2419-30
Pass Yards170206
Rush Yards24871
Total Yards418277
Turnovers02
3rd Down8-156-14
Penalties5-404-22
Possession29:1426:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Feleipe Franks
13/23, 173 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lamical Perine
6 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Van Jefferson
4 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
19/30, 206 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Christian Turner
7 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Nico Collins
5 REC, 80 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Shea Patterson run for 21 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Fla 46

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the Fla 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ben Mason run for no gain to the Fla 38

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.25

Ben Mason run for no gain to the Fla 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan Scarlett

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Jordan Scarlett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kylan Johnson) to the Fla 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 66 yds, downed at the Mich 5

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Nick Eubanks) to the Mich 3

1st & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.17

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 27 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.68

Shea Patterson sacked by CJ Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 32

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 8 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Feleipe Franks run for 9 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Lamical Perine run for 1 yd to the Fla 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 6 yds to the Fla 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.75

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 7 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.95

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 41 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Mich 3

2nd & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Feleipe Franks sacked by Josh Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Evan McPherson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.16

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 41 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Fla 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Shea Patterson pass complete to Chris Evans for 6 yds to the Fla 12

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 31 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kadarius Toney run for 6 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.49

Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Jordan Scarlett run for 13 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Mich 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Jordan Scarlett

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Mich 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.00

Evan McPherson 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 5 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Andrew Stueber) to the Mich 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tru Wilson for 2 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 33

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.74

Lamical Perine run for 19 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Lamical Perine run for 2 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Franks, Feleipe rush for 2 yards to the MICHIGAN44, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Perine, Lamical) 10 yards to the FLORIDA44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Kadarius Toney for no gain to the Fla 44

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Ventrell Miller) to the Fla 39

4th & 23Blocked Punt-9 yds

TEAM punt blocked by J'Marick Woods recovered by Jordan Glasgow at FLA 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Shea Patterson sacked by Kyree Campbell for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 34

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Shea Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 30, fumble forced by Polite, J, fumble by Patterson, Shea recovered by MICH Turner, Christian run for 7 yds to the Fla 30

4th & 10Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Moody 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.38

Feleipe Franks run for 30 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Jordan Scarlett run for 7 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.90

Feleipe Franks sacked by Devin Gil for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 35

2nd & 19Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.60

Feleipe Franks run for 15 yds to the Mich 20

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.03

Feleipe Franks run for 20 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 14 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 4 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Chris Evans run for 8 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 4 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.21

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 9 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Jake Moody 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Feleipe Franks run for 3 yds to the Fla 17

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Franks, Feleipe pass complete to Grimes, Trevon for 11 yards to the FLORIDA28, PENALTY FLORIDA illegal motion 5 yards to the FLORIDA12, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Fla 12

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

Tommy Townsend punt for 47 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 7 yds to the Mich 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 6 yds to the Fla 44

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-53 ydsPPA -3.86

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Chauncey Gardner-Johnson return for 53 yds to the Mich 44

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Lamical Perine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Van Jefferson for 8 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 4 yds to the Mich 35

4th & 1Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.58

Kadarius Toney run for 30 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Lamical Perine for 5 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Christian Turner run for no gain to the Mich 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Freddie Swain at the Fla 37

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trevon Grimes for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.98

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Josh Hammond for 30 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 8Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.88

Jordan Scarlett run for 30 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the Mich 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Mich 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan Scarlett run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Shea Patterson pass complete to Grant Perry for 8 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 2 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Fla 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.18

Shea Patterson pass complete to Tarik Black for 11 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Shea Patterson pass complete to Zach Gentry for 12 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Collins, Nico, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Dean III, Trey) 15 yards to the FLORIDA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 6Penalty-10 yds

Evans, Chris rush for 2 yards to the FLORIDA4, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Stueber, Andrew) 10 yards to the FLORIDA16, NO PLAY.

1st & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Fla 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 6 yds to the Fla 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Moody 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Lamical Perine run for 4 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.49

Feleipe Franks pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 28 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Feleipe Franks sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 17Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Van Jefferson pass complete to Feleipe Franks for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 47

3rd & 20Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +6.89

Lamical Perine run for 53 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Shea Patterson pass complete to Christian Turner for 16 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Shea Patterson sacked by Adam Shuler II for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 43

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Tru Wilson

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds , Freddie Swain returns for 3 yds to the Fla 15

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 12

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 12

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Feleipe Franks run for 8 yds to the Fla 20

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Khaleke Hudson for a SAFETY

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 25

1st & 15Interception Return Touchdown-30 ydsPPA -7.40

Shea Patterson pass intercepted for a TD Chauncey Gardner-Johnson return for 30 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays