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← Back to GamesDec 28, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Vanderbilt by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 64%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 28, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
107141445
VanderbiltVanderbilt
14771038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-37-1014-1721-1721-2421-3128-3138-3838-45
VanderbiltBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYVANBAYTD365ydFG1269ydPUNT728ydTD973ydTD481ydTD875ydTD381ydMISS1667ydDOWNS1453ydTD675ydPUNT619ydTD1088ydTO473ydPUNT35ydTD354ydTO1159ydTD380ydTD175ydFG1359ydTD475ydDOWNS45ydUncategorized3-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Vanderbilt
StatisticBaylorVanderbilt
Passing21-3518-38
Pass Yards384286
Rush Yards284287
Total Yards668573
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-157-13
Penalties7-503-26
Possession36:0223:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
21/34, 384 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Charlie Brewer
16 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trestan Ebner
3 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Kyle Shurmur
18/37, 286 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
13 CAR, 243 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Khari Blasingame
3 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for no gain to the Vandy 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to LaDarius Wiley

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.86

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 65 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 31 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Charlie Brewer

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the Vandy 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 1 yd to the Vandy 35

3rd & 12Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.30

Charlie Brewer run for 24 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

John Lovett run for 7 yds to the Vandy 4

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

John Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Martin 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

C.J. Bolar run for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.90

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 13 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Bayl 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Donaven Tennyson, broken up by Derrek Thomas

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Verkedric Vaughns

4th & 6Punt+20 yds

Parker Thome punt for 35 yds, downed at the Bayl 12 VANDERBILT Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Bayl 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Bayl 35

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Blake Blackmar) to the Bayl 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.68

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 30 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.40

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 19 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Vandy 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 5 yds to the Vandy 12

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

John Lovett run for no gain to the Vandy 12

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.03

John Lovett run for 12 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 18

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (James Lynch) to the Vandy 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Donaven Tennyson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.49

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 9 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 68 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Charlie Brewer sacked by Andre Mintze for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 10 yds to the Vandy 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 11 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

JaMycal Hasty run for 15 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

JaMycal Hasty run for 18 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 26

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 5 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 69 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Bayl 39

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.54

Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Vandy 46

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.90

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 6 yds to the Vandy 43

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.10

Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.72

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 30 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Vandy 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Pooh Stricklin

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Connor Martin 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kyle Shurmur run for 8 yds to the Vandy 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey Ellis

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Bolar, broken up by Derrek Thomas

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.72

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Shurmur, Kyle pass incomplete to Bolar, C.J., PENALTY BAYLOR offside 5 yards to the BAYLOR45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari Blasingame

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Shurmur, Kyle pass incomplete to Bolar, C.J., PENALTY BAYLOR offside 5 yards to the BAYLOR36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trey Ellis

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 12 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Bayl 17

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 27

2nd & 15Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Ryley Guay 45 yd FG MISSED

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 7 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 5 yds to the Bayl 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 23 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Marques Jones

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.60

Trestan Ebner run for 34 yds for a TD (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the Vandy 32

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Khari Blasingame run for 10 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyle Shurmur run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Kyle Shurmur sacked by Blake Lynch for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Parker Thome punt for 44 yds, downed at the Bayl 12

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.89

Charlie Brewer run for 38 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brewer, Charlie pass complete to Lovett, John for 19 yards to the VANDERBILT31, PENALTY BAYLOR holding 10 yards to the BAYLOR40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.00

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 33 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to John Lovett

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Charlie Brewer sacked by Kenny Hebert for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 30

4th & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 15 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Trestan Ebner run for 13 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Joejuan Williams

2nd & 2Penalty+1 yds

Lovett, John rush for no gain to the VANDERBILT2, PENALTY VANDERBILT offside 1 yards to the VANDERBILT1, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shurmur, Kyle pass incomplete to Pinkney, Jared, PENALTY BAYLOR personal foul (Morgan, Christian) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 26 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+32 ydsPPA -2.51

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 32 yds Jared Pinkney fumbled, recovered by Bayl Blake Lynch

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 2

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Bayl 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Ellis at the Vandy 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.13

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 52 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.55

Charlie Brewer run for 18 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 7 yds to the Bayl 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 5 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris Platt

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds to the Vandy 39

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.98

JaMycal Hasty run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the Vandy 23

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.43

Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.41

Charlie Brewer pass intercepted, touchback. Randall Haynie return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

C.J. Bolar run for 13 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+66 ydsPPA +4.49

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 66 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 75 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Randall Haynie

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.09

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 15 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds to the Bayl 46

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 12 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Bayl 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.60

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 17 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.27

Donaven Tennyson run for a loss of 10 yards to the Bayl 24

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 9 yds to the Bayl 15

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Bolar

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryley Guay 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Bayl 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Marques Jones for 52 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 5 yds to the Vandy 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari Blasingame

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.21

Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Vandy 23

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Vandy 21

3rd & 8Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.53

Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 30

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
49%
35 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
37%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play