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← Back to GamesDec 27, 2018Week 1
CaliforniaCalifornia
7
-Final
10
TCUTCU

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 4.7

Home Win Probability

TCU 60%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 27, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
700007
TCUTCU
0070310

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407140-77-7
TCUCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUCALTCUPUNT832ydPUNT615ydPUNT618ydTO20ydTD234ydPUNT30ydTO430ydTO615ydTO23ydTO21ydPUNT35ydPUNT612ydPUNT62ydDOWNS840ydTO211ydEND10ydTO512ydPUNT627ydPUNT644ydPUNT641ydTD733ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT513ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydTO525ydDOWNS48ydPUNT427ydDOWNS863ydTO33ydFG1015yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and TCU
StatisticCaliforniaTCU
Passing17-338-21
Pass Yards16428
Rush Yards100262
Total Yards264290
Turnovers54
3rd Down4-145-17
Penalties3-203-30
Possession25:1234:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Chase Garbers
12/19, 93 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Christopher Brown Jr.
14 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Kanawai Noa
2 REC, 43 YDS
defense
TCU
passing
Grayson Muehlstein
7/20, 27 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Sewo Olonilua
32 CAR, 194 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaelan Austin
1 REC, 15 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Chase Garbers pass complete to Patrick Laird for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 32

2nd & 13Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.76

Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 1 yd to the TCU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.08

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 13 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.75

Chase Garbers sacked by Arico Evans for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 6 yds to the TCU 33

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 28 yds, downed at the TCU 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 10

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Grayson Muehlstein run for 2 yds to the TCU 12

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Grayson Muehlstein run for 4 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Reagor run for 4 yds to the TCU 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 48 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for no gain to the Cal 32 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Cal 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chase Garbers pass complete to Ian Bunting for 4 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the Cal 41

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Garbers sacked by L.J. Collier for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 46 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 3 yds to the TCU 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TCU 17

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.02

Grayson Muehlstein pass intercepted Jaylinn Hawkins return for no gain to the TCU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.25

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 30 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Ni'Jeel Meeking for no gain to the TCU 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete to Keenan Reed

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete to Ni'Jeel Meeking

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 6 yds to the Cal 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Garbers pass complete to Maurice Ways for 9 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Chase Garbers pass complete to McCallan Castles for 15 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -3.59

Chase Garbers pass intercepted Julius Lewis return for 3 yds to the TCU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Derius Davis for 1 yd to the TCU 39

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 4 yds to the Cal 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Grayson Muehlstein run for no gain to the Cal 47

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-29 ydsPPA -1.78

Grayson Muehlstein pass intercepted Jaylinn Hawkins return for 29 yds to the TCU 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Patrick Laird run for 3 yds to the TCU 14

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-45 ydsPPA -4.31

Chase Garbers pass intercepted Niko Small return for 45 yds to the TCU 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 46

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -1.80

Grayson Muehlstein pass intercepted Jordan Kunaszyk return for 7 yds to the Cal 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Patrick Laird run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Patrick Laird run for 4 yds to the TCU 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TCU 15

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Sewo Olonilua run for 9 yds to the TCU 24

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.53

Grayson Muehlstein run for 1 yd to the TCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 44 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for no gain to the Cal 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Patrick Laird run for 7 yds to the Cal 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.48

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Chase Garbers sacked by Ty Summers for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 39

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Garbers sacked by Ben Banogu for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 36

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 31

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 39

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.82

Sewo Olonilua run for 25 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the Cal 28

4th & 2Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.01

Grayson Muehlstein sacked by Evan Rambo for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 40

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Chase Garbers run for 16 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 49

1st & 15Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA -2.55

Chase Garbers pass intercepted Jeff Gladney return for 27 yds to the Cal 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TCU 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Sewo Olonilua run for 12 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TCU 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete to Jaelan Austin

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Grayson Muehlstein pass intercepted Jaylinn Hawkins return for no gain to the Cal 32

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Chase Forrest pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 8 yds to the TCU 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Chase Forrest pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the TCU 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the TCU 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 10

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds to the TCU 18

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Emari Demercado run for 10 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Emari Demercado run for 17 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the Cal 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Grayson Muehlstein run for 3 yds to the Cal 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Grayson Muehlstein run for no gain to the Cal 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 43 yds, downed at the Cal 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 6

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.47

Chase Forrest pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 33 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Jeremiah Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Forrest pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the Cal 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Forrest pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+58 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 47 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 58 yds to the Cal 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Grayson Muehlstein run for 3 yds to the Cal 16

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Cal 14

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Chase Forrest sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 17

2nd & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.11

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 15

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Jordan Duncan

4th & 20Punt+9 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 44 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 9 yds to the TCU 24 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Reagor run for 3 yds to the TCU 43

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.35

Grayson Muehlstein run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Taye Barber for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 48

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Cal 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Grayson Muehlstein pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 12

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 42

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Justin Rogers sacked by Zeandae Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Rogers pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 1 yd to the TCU 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Adam Nunez punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Cal 17

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cal 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.85

Chase Forrest pass intercepted Vernon Scott return for no gain to the Cal 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Taye Barber run for 4 yds to the Cal 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the Cal 33

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -2.58

Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the Cal 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Chase Forrest pass complete to Maurice Ways for 22 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Malik McMorris

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the TCU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Chase Forrest pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 13

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Sewo Olonilua run for 9 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.80

Sewo Olonilua run for 33 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the Cal 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.46

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 15 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Emari Demercado run for no gain to the Cal 29

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Reagor run for 2 yds to the Cal 27

3rd & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Cole Bunce 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TCU 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Forrest pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-84 ydsPPA -3.66

Chase Forrest pass intercepted Jawuan Johnson return for 84 yds to the Cal 5

1st & 5Penalty-15 yds

TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Cal 40

1st & 40Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Grayson Muehlstein pass complete to Ni'Jeel Meeking for 4 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 36Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Cal 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Cal 15

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.19

Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the Cal 12

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 13

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the Cal 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.67

Jonathan Song 27 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
41%
17 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play