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← Back to GamesNov 22, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 20

Home Win Probability

Air Force 87%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
0130619
Air ForceAir Force
71001027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-617-1320-1320-1927-19
Air ForceColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFCSAFAFCSAFCSAFCSAFPUNT733ydTD1380ydPUNT624ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTD474ydTD1092ydFG1263ydTD575ydMISS438ydDOWNS1374ydTO684ydFG1876ydTD975ydTD1175ydTO753ydEND533yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Air Force
StatisticColorado StateAir Force
Passing19-328-16
Pass Yards37381
Rush Yards64393
Total Yards437474
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-119-15
Penalties8-751-15
Possession21:2938:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Collin Hill
13/23, 284 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Izzy Matthews
10 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Preston Williams
12 REC, 248 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Tre Thomas
1 TFL, 1 PD
Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
8/16, 81 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cole Fagan
34 CAR, 260 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Bennett
3 REC, 34 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for no gain to the ColSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams, broken up by Lakota Wills

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Collin Hill pass complete to Warren Jackson for 21 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MATTHEWS, I. rush for 7 yards to the 50 yardline (MEEKS, Demonte), PENALTY CSU illegal formation 5 yards to the CSU38, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.27

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 18 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Andrew Smith for 12 yds to the AFA 25

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 46

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.63

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Taven Birdow for 9 yds to the ColSt 37

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.14

Taven Birdow run for 12 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Kadin Remsberg run for 14 yds to the ColSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the ColSt 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds for a TD COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the ColSt 1 (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Adam Prentice run for 8 yds to the ColSt 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Adam Prentice run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Izzy Matthews run for 11 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Collin Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the AFA 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 37 yds, downed at the AFA 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the AFA 15

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.57

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Anthony Hawkins at the ColSt 49

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 44

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Marcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the ColSt 45

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Collin Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 47

3rd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.81

Collin Hill sacked by Nakoa Pauole and Demonte Meeks for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 42

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Andrew Smith at the AFA 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 14

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for no gain to the AFA 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Cole Fagan

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 56 yds, downed at the ColSt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Collin Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams, broken up by Zane Lewis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andrew Smith at the AFA 26

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.41

Cole Fagan run for 56 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the ColSt 17

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the ColSt 16

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 16 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the ColSt 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 9 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Collin Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.49

Izzy Matthews run for 12 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.52

Collin Hill sacked by Micah Capra for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 28

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson, broken up by Jordan Jackson

3rd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.11

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 34 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.01

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 34 yds for a TD (Wyatt Bryan PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Joseph Saucier run for 7 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Joseph Saucier run for 10 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Cole Fagan for 9 yds to the ColSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the ColSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the ColSt 12

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Mallard run for no gain to the ColSt 12

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.84

Jake Koehnke 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 10 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HILL, C. rush for 18 yards to the AF45 (WILLS, Lakota), PENALTY CSU holding (MATTHEWS, I.) 10 yards to the CSU27, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.89

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 15 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.94

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 58 yds for a TD (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Joseph Saucier run for 33 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the ColSt 37

3rd & 5Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Jake Koehnke 54 yd FG MISSED

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Cole Fagan run for 14 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the ColSt 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the ColSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the ColSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the ColSt 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Donald Hammond III run for no gain to the ColSt 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the ColSt 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.27

Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 47 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Collin Hill pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 22 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 14 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the AFA 15

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.12

Collin Hill pass intercepted Jeremy Fejedelem return for no gain to the AFA 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Andrew Smith

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 10 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Cole Fagan run for 10 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 8 yds to the ColSt 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Cole Fagan, broken up by Tre Thomas

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the ColSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Andrew Smith

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.16

Jake Koehnke 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus McElroy run for 5 yds to the ColSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Trey McBride for 5 yds to the ColSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 13 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 9 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus McElroy run for no gain to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Micah Capra) to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.50

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Demonte Meeks for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 31

2nd & 18Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.16

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 31 yds for a TD (Wyatt Bryan PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.49

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Andrew Smith for 13 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (Emmanuel Jones) to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the ColSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Cole Fagan run for 16 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the ColSt 16

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Taven Birdow run for no gain to the ColSt 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for 4 yds to the ColSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the ColSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the ColSt 4

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Izzy Matthews run for 13 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Warren Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.90

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Cameron Butler for 11 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.59

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 19 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.35

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass intercepted Kyle Floyd return for no gain to the AFA 3

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Fagan run for 10 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 23

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, player disqualification (Tre Thomas) to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 36

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
36 plays
2nd
50%
10 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play