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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 14.6

Home Win Probability

San José State 18%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
077721
San José StateSan José State
606012

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-06-76-1412-1412-21
San José StateNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSPUNT35ydMISS956ydPUNT1241ydTO530ydTD11ydTO1239ydPUNT32ydTD1385ydTO30ydDOWNS633ydEND1-1ydTD675ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS48ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydTD743ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydTD785ydDOWNS528ydPUNT33ydPUNT639ydPUNT941ydEND330yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and San José State
StatisticNevadaSan José State
Passing19-3218-27
Pass Yards314170
Rush Yards14930
Total Yards463200
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-145-14
Penalties3-155-21
Possession35:1124:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Ty Gangi
19/32, 314 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Toa Taua
29 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Romeo Doubs
5 REC, 105 YDS
defense
San José State
passing
Michael Carrillo
17/26, 168 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Nevens
9 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Tre Walker
4 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 17

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryce Crawford punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 10 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 2 yds to the Nevad 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.49

Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 32 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the SJSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.28

McLane Mannix run for 10 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty Gangi sacked by Jamal Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 15

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the SJSt 11

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Toa Taua run for no gain to the SJSt 11

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Ramiz Ahmed 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 11 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 3 yds to the SJSt 35

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SJSt 39 Tyler Nevens fumbled, forced by Chris Green, recovered by SJSt Thai Cottrell

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Michael Carrillo pass complete to DeJon Packer for 6 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Austin Liles for 10 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Malike Roberson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Josh Oliver for 4 yds to the Nevad 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.04

Michael Carrillo pass complete to DeJon Packer for 5 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.61

Michael Carrillo sacked by Lucas Weber for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 43 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Michael Carrillo) to the Nevad 43

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Josh Oliver

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malike Roberson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 39

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brian Papazian punt for 38 yds, downed at the Nevad 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

TAUA, Toa rush for 6 yards to the NEVADA7 (HALL, Cade), PENALTY NEVADA holding 0 yards to the NEVADA1, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 5

2nd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.33

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 25 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ty Gangi pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA -0.06

Ty Gangi pass intercepted Ethan Aguayo return for 27 yds to the Nevad 1

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd for a TD (Bryce Crawford PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 46

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.05

Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the SJSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the SJSt 28

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Toa Taua run for no gain to the SJSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the SJSt 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-11 ydsPPA -4.30

Ty Gangi run for a loss of 11 yards to the SJSt 36 Ty Gangi fumbled, recovered by SJSt Christian Johnson

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.02

Michael Carrillo sacked by Lucas Weber for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 26

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Lachapelle run for 7 yds to the SJSt 33

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Chance Lachapelle run for 5 yds to the SJSt 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Crawford punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Toa Taua run for 11 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 21 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 7 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the SJSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the SJSt 32

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the SJSt 29

4th & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 17 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Jamal Scott) to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the SJSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Toa Taua run for no gain to the SJSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ty Gangi run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.13

Michael Carrillo pass intercepted Dameon Baber return for no gain to the SJSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 1 yd to the SJSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.55

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 36 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Toa Taua run for no gain to the SJSt 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ty Gangi pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by John Toussaint

4th & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -4.15

Ty Gangi run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.37

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 57 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the SJSt 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the SJSt 9

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.76

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 24

2nd & 11Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.49

Tre Hartley run for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 14

3rd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Chance Lachapelle run for 6 yds to the SJSt 20 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Bryce Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the Nevad 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 2 yds to the Nevad 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

CONAWAY, Q. punt 41 yards to the SJSU14, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SJSU roughing the kicker (MANIGO, Brendan) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chance Lachapelle pass complete to DeJon Packer for 2 yds to the Nevad 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Chance Lachapelle run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brian Papazian punt for 40 yds, fair catch by McLane Mannix at the Nevad 6

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the Nevad 12

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by John Toussaint

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum

4th & 4Punt+31 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSU 47 NEVADA Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Josh Oliver

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the Nevad 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.45

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 10 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

DeJon Packer run for 7 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the Nevad 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Michael Carrillo pass complete to DeJon Packer for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 8 yds to the Nevad 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Jaxson Kincaide

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tyler Nevens for no gain to the SJSt 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Tre Hartley

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce Crawford punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.34

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 30 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 19 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the SJSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 11 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the SJSt 9

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Toa Taua run for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Pettit KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Josh Oliver for 20 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Michael Carrillo run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Malike Roberson for 7 yds to the Nevad 48

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

DeJon Packer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Ty Gangi pass complete to Daiyan Henley for 8 yds to the SJSt 43

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Ty Gangi pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, downed at the SJSt 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Malike Roberson for 12 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Michael Carrillo pass complete to DeJon Packer for 1 yd to the SJSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 26 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Tre Walker

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 44

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Josh Oliver

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Michael Carrillo run for 5 yds to the SJSt 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Papazian punt for 45 yds, downed at the Nevad 6

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the Nevad 15

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 11 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Gangi run for 2 yds to the Nevad 35

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Nevad 49

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Kelton Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 47

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kelton Moore run for no gain to the Nevad 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the SJSt 13 to Thai Cottrell for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Carrillo pass incomplete to Thai Cottrell

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.90

Michael Carrillo pass complete to Tre Walker for 23 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
4 plays

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
22%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play