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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 11.9

Home Win Probability

Air Force 74%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
0177024
Air ForceAir Force
71414742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-1728-1735-1735-2442-24
Air ForceNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMNMAFNMAFNMAFAFNMAFNMAFNMTD1075ydPUNT633ydPUNT515ydPUNT633ydTO460ydPUNT37ydTD468ydTD571ydDOWNS644ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT32ydTD545ydTD475ydFG671ydTO623ydTD994ydTO26ydTD421ydPUNT34ydTD1-1ydTO646ydPUNT38ydTD675ydPUNT611ydDOWNS1143ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Air Force
StatisticNew MexicoAir Force
Passing13-185-6
Pass Yards186145
Rush Yards119478
Total Yards305623
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-125-10
Penalties0-02-11
Possession23:5236:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Sheriron Jones
6/9, 114 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Daevon Vigilant
12 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Delane Hart-Johnson
3 REC, 83 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
5/6, 145 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Donald Hammond III
19 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Bennett
1 REC, 54 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Donald Hammond III run for 18 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the NMex 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the NMex 38

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.57

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 40

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.35

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Kadin Remsberg run for 19 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the NMex 16

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.84

Christian Mallard run for 16 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrone Owens run for 4 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for no gain to the NMex 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.94

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 38 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 1 yd to the AFA 32

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.41

Coltin Gerhart sacked by Parker Noren for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 42 Coltin Gerhart fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Coltin Gerhart run for 11 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 8 yds to the NMex 36

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Daevon Vigilant run for 7 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daevon Vigilant run for 5 yds to the NMex 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Daevon Vigilant run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Coltin Gerhart pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 1Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.79

Taven Birdow run for 50 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.35

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the NMex 21 Donald Hammond III fumbled, recovered by NMex Sitiveni Tamaivena

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 23

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the NMex 49

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Andrew Smith run for 12 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Donald Hammond III run for 37 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Zahneer Shuler run for 12 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Daevon Vigilant run for no gain to the NMex 41

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the NMex 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +5.12

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 56 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Zahneer Shuler run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

BIRDOW, Taven rush for 76 yards to the NM11 (ROSS, D'Angelo;SEWELL, Jr., M.), PENALTY AF personal foul (LANDRUM, Grif) 6 yards to the AF7, NO PLAY.

1st & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Garrett Amy run for 3 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 13Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.39

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the NMex 46

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Christian Mallard run for 1 yd to the NMex 44 Christian Mallard fumbled, recovered by AFA Christian Mallard

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the NMex 42

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.71

Taven Birdow run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Sheriron Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.35

Sheriron Jones sacked by Blake Dailey for a loss of 13 yards to the NMex 33

4th & 20Punt-5 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 52 yds , Andrew Smith returns for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 15

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.23

Geraud Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 12

4th & 8Punt+33 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 38 yds AIR FORCE Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Zahneer Shuler run for 4 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Daevon Vigilant run for 2 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.45

Daevon Vigilant run for 24 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Daevon Vigilant run for 11 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Donald Hammond III run for 18 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.34

Kadin Remsberg run for 54 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 41 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyrone Owens run for 29 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the AFA 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyrone Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Andrew Shelley 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Daevon Vigilant run for 9 yds to the NMex 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Daevon Vigilant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 4 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Lilly run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Sheriron Jones run for 8 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.99

Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Grant Theil return for no gain to the AFA 6

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the AFA 15

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 28

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Donald Hammond III run for 17 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.96

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.02

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 43 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Emmanuel Harris for 4 yds to the NMex 19

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Tyrone Owens for 1 yd Tyrone Owens fumbled, forced by Grant Theil, recovered by AFA Kyle Johnson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the NMex 17

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Joseph Saucier run for 6 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Joseph Saucier run for 2 yds to the NMex 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 9 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Daevon Vigilant run for 1 yd to the NMex 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Sheriron Jones pass complete to Marcus Williams for 7 yds to the NMex 19

3rd & 2Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.44

Sheriron Jones sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 15

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 84 yds, downed at the AFA 1

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.01

Donald Hammond III run for no gain Donald Hammond III fumbled, forced by Adebayo Soremekun, recovered by NMex Jalin Burrell for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Cole Fagan run for 13 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Andrew Smith run for 14 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.95

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the NMex 29 Cole Fagan fumbled, forced by Michael Sewell Jr., recovered by NMex Rhashaun Epting

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyrone Owens run for 5 yds to the NMex 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Coltin Gerhart run for 2 yds to the NMex 36

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the NMex 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andrew Smith at the AFA 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.45

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 54 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the NMex 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the NMex 12

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.07

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the NMex 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 9 yds to the NMex 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Coltin Gerhart pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for 4 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.58

Coltin Gerhart sacked by Micah Capra and Lakota Wills for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 45

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.68

Coltin Gerhart sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 36

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 64 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the NMex 49

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.14

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Colton Parton run for 2 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Colton Parton run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Colton Parton run for 2 yds to the NMex 38

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.97

Joshua Stoner run for 1 yd to the NMex 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Coltin Gerhart run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
24 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
86%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play