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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2018Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Air Force 29%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
1414101048
Air ForceAir Force
7213738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-1414-1421-2128-2828-3131-3838-4138-48
Air ForceBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSAFBSTD575ydTD675ydTD975ydTD1175ydTD879ydTD575ydPUNT535ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS717ydTD460ydTD1179ydEND1-2ydPUNT423ydFG1067ydPUNT32ydTD25ydFG1155ydFG745ydTD1375ydTD575ydDOWNS725ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and Air Force
StatisticBoise StateAir Force
Passing22-3611-16
Pass Yards409242
Rush Yards121201
Total Yards530443
Turnovers00
3rd Down7-126-13
Penalties1-154-25
Possession25:0232:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
20/34, 399 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Alexander Mattison
22 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
John Hightower
8 REC, 182 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Isaiah Sanders
10/15, 210 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaiah Sanders
28 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joseph Saucier
2 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 17 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Khalil Shakir pass complete to John Hightower for 8 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 44 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.35

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 37 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Isaiah Sanders run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Cole Fagan run for 17 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Alexander Mattison run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 8 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 44

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Brett Rypien run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Brett Rypien pass complete to Robert Mahone for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 19 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

CT Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 18

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.05

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 18 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Kade Waguespack) to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.51

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 28 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 23

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.20

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 17

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 20

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.32

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 20 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.42

Brett Rypien sacked by Mosese Fifita for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 15 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.82

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 17 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Alexander Mattison run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.72

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 34 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Khalil Shakir run for 1 yd to the AFA 21

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.96

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 21 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.52

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Joseph Saucier for 51 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 5

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 7 yds to the BoiSt 26

2nd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Brody Bagnall) to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 4 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Akilian Butler, broken up by Kyle Floyd

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.72

Isaiah Sanders sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 14 AIR FORCE Penalty, intentional grounding (Isaiah Sanders) to the AFA 14

4th & 20Punt+1 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 48 yds , Avery Williams returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 43

3rd & 16Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Robert Mahone run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Alexander Mattison run for 14 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 32

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.38

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Brett Rypien

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Zane Lewis

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Isaiah Sanders run for 8 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Isaiah Sanders run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Joseph Saucier pass complete to Andrew Smith for 32 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Akilian Butler

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.95

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 14 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 18 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to John Hightower

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 12 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to John Hightower

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +5.60

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 35 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 23

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Alexander Mattison run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Khalil Shakir run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Alexander Mattison run for 13 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.18

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 27 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Bates for 3 yds to the AFA 13

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the AFA 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.87

Haden Hoggarth 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Brandon Lewis

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the AFA 27

4th & 8Punt+67 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 5 , Avery Williams returns for 67 yds to the AFA 5

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Isaiah Sanders run for 12 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Andrew Smith for 14 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.56

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 13 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Andrew Smith

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.55

Jake Koehnke 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Brett Rypien pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 27 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Alexander Mattison run for 18 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the AFA 18

3rd & 1Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.77

Brett Rypien sacked by Kyle Floyd for a loss of 12 yards to the AFA 30

4th & 13Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.47

Haden Hoggarth 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Isaiah Sanders run for 13 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cole Fagan run for no gain to the AFA 47

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Andrew Smith for 11 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.27

Kadin Remsberg run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Khalil Shakir pass complete to John Hightower for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +5.84

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 61 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Sanders sacked by Riley Whimpey for a loss of 10 yards to the AFA 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.70

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Joseph Saucier for 26 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Brandon Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for 5 yds to the AFA 46

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 48

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play