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← Back to GamesOct 20, 2018Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 26.4

Home Win Probability

Boise State 94%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 20, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
0771428
Boise StateBoise State
211471456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-742-1449-1456-28
Boise StateColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSCSBSCSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSBSCSBSTD675ydPUNT625ydTD1280ydTD717ydPUNT3-4ydTD777ydTO563ydPUNT1142ydTO516ydTD332ydTD275ydPUNT615ydPUNT536ydTD687ydTD753ydTO1138ydTD541ydTD783ydTD00ydTD1175ydEND851yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Boise State
StatisticColorado StateBoise State
Passing31-4423-27
Pass Yards373322
Rush Yards116150
Total Yards489472
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-119-11
Penalties7-605-40
Possession28:4231:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
K.J. Carta-Samuels
19/30, 238 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Izzy Matthews
12 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Preston Williams
9 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
22/26, 308 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Alexander Mattison
20 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
A.J. Richardson
6 REC, 137 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 27 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Alexander Mattison run for 12 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.31

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 27 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 13

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

A.J. Richardson 13 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Warren Jackson for 9 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Izzy Matthews run for 13 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Trey McBride

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the BoiSt 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 12 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brett Rypien pass complete to Matt Pistone for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Rypien, Brett pass incomplete to Hightower, John, PENALTY COLOST pass interference (Ajayi, Rashad) 5 yards to the BOISEST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Khalil Shakir run for 15 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the ColSt 34

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 30

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to John Hightower

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Garrett Collingham) to the ColSt 35

3rd & 19Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +5.63

A.J. Richardson 35 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 8

3rd & 24Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Warren Jackson for 24 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Izzy Matthews run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Izzy Matthews run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the BoiSt 32

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Matthews, Izzy rush for 2 yards to the BOISEST30, PENALTY COLOST holding (McBride, Trey) 10 yards to the BOISEST42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.89

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Chase Hatada and Curtis Weaver for a loss of 15 yards to the ColSt 43

3rd & 35Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.06

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 42

4th & 36Punt Return Touchdown+74 ydsPPA -6.63

Kekaula Kaniho 74 Yd Punt Return (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Quinn Skillin kickoff for 59 yds , Anthony Hawkins return for 28 yds to the ColSt 34

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 29

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 27

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Cameron Butler for 5 yds to the ColSt 32

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.25

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 30

4th & 14Punt+11 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 58 yds , Avery Williams returns for 11 yds to the BoiSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 8 yds to the BoiSt 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 10 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 19 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.09

CT Thomas run for 29 yds to the ColSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Alexander Mattison 3 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Marvin Kinsey Jr. for 27 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.14

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 34 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Izzy Matthews

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -3.96

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass intercepted Kekaula Kaniho return for 6 yds to the BoiSt 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 15

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 1 yd to the BoiSt 16

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.99

Brett Rypien sacked by Ellison Hubbard for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 15

2nd & 17Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Rypien sacked by Darius Campbell for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 12

3rd & 20Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.42

Brett Rypien pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 26 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Alexander Mattison run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the ColSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the ColSt 43

3rd & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Brett Rypien run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 30 yds, downed at the ColSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Anthony Hawkins for 1 yd to the ColSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 5 yds to the ColSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 10 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Trey McBride

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -0.81

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass intercepted Avery Williams return for 24 yds to the ColSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds to the ColSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.42

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Sean Modster 17 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.02

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Preston Williams for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Avery Williams) to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Preston Williams 47 Yd pass from K.J. Carta-Samuels (Wyatt Bryan Kick)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Quinn Skillin kickoff for 65 yds , Anthony Hawkins return for 14 yds to the ColSt 14

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 12 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Warren Jackson for 6 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 6 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 41

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.01

K.J. Carta-Samuels sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 12 yards to the ColSt 29

4th & 19Punt+14 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 58 yds , Avery Williams returns for 14 yds to the BoiSt 43 BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Robert Lewis) to the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 25 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 11 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the ColSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the ColSt 42

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Brett Rypien sacked by Tre Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brenden Fulton at the ColSt 13

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.85

Izzy Matthews run for 56 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Cameron Butler for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Warren Jackson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 9 yds to the BoiSt 8

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Warren Jackson 8 Yd pass from K.J. Carta-Samuels (Wyatt Bryan Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brett Rypien run for 6 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.96

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 19 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 12 yds to the ColSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Garrett Collingham

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the ColSt 14

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.41

Brett Rypien run for 10 yds to the ColSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Garrett Collingham 4 Yd Run (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Quinn Skillin kickoff for 58 yds , Anthony Hawkins return for 2 yds to the ColSt 9 Anthony Hawkins fumbled, recovered by ColSt Anthony Hawkins

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 14

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 6 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Adam Prentice

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Olabisi Johnson) to the ColSt 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Warren Jackson for 14 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Marvin Kinsey Jr. for 9 yds to the ColSt 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

K.J. Carta-Samuels run for no gain to the ColSt 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.12

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Preston Williams

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 39

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.55

K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 8 yds Olabisi Johnson fumbled, forced by Avery Williams, recovered by BoiSt Kekoa Nawahine

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the ColSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the ColSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brett Rypien pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 1 yd to the ColSt 25

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.41

Sean Modster 25 Yd pass from Brett Rypien (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

3rd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Quinn Skillin kickoff for 63 yds , Darius Wise return for 15 yds to the ColSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 14 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Collin Hill pass complete to Warren Jackson for 8 yds to the ColSt 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 13 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Collin Hill pass complete to Cameron Butler for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.17

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 9 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.30

Collin Hill pass complete to Marcus McElroy for 20 yds to the BoiSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Warren Jackson 10 Yd pass from Collin Hill (Wyatt Bryan Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +2.61

Avery Williams 44 Yd Kickoff Return (Haden Hoggarth Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Collin Hill pass complete to Warren Jackson for 17 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 6 yds to the BoiSt 49

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Collin Hill pass complete to Trey McBride for 11 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 12 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Collin Hill pass complete to Preston Williams for 6 yds Preston Williams fumbled, forced by Tony Lashley, recovered by ColSt Preston Williams

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Preston Williams

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 12

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Izzy Matthews 5 Yd Run (Wyatt Bryan Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Akilian Butler for 14 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jamori Fox) to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the ColSt 18

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaylon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 14

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
62%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
57%
30 plays
2nd
25%
8 plays
100%
1 play
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th