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← Back to GamesOct 13, 2018Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 11.9

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 77%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
270817
San Diego StateSan Diego State
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-27-914-921-17
San Diego StateAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFAFAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSAFSDSTD365ydPUNT939ydPUNT510ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydSAF2-7ydMISS42ydTO846ydTD980ydMISS745ydTD39ydEND1-2ydPUNT821ydPUNT740ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT1055ydPUNT3-3ydTD740ydTD894ydPUNT4-15ydPUNT3-11ydTO21ydEND55yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and San Diego State
StatisticAir ForceSan Diego State
Passing8-179-25
Pass Yards62213
Rush Yards21484
Total Yards276297
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-162-12
Penalties5-569-114
Possession34:2925:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Isaiah Sanders
7/15, 51 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Cole Fagan
16 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Kade Waguespack
2 REC, 31 YDS
defense
San Diego State
passing
Ryan Agnew
9/25, 213 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chase Jasmin
18 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Fred Trevillion
3 REC, 94 YDS
defense
Kyahva Tezino
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.16

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 55 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Kadin Remsberg run for 27 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Cole Fagan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 46

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Ronald Cleveland run for 1 yd to the SDSt 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 11 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the SDSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the SDSt 26

3rd & 2Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.46

Andrew Smith run for 1 yd to the SDSt 25 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 40

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 26 yds , Kobe Smith returns for no gain to the SDSt 10 Kobe Smith fumbled, recovered by SDSt Kobe Smith

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.82

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 11 yds to the SDSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion

4th & 12Punt+4 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 54 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 4 yds to the AFA 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 29

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 38

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds , Kobe Smith returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 40 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the SDSt 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the SDSt 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the AFA 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ronald Cleveland run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete, broken up by Ronley Lakalaka

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 44 yds, downed at the SDSt 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 5

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Ryan Agnew run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 4

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 6

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the SDSt 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the SDSt 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Kade Waguespack, broken up by Kyahva Tezino

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 30 yds, downed at the SDSt 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the SDSt 11

2nd & 6Safety-11 ydsPPA -2.09

Ryan Agnew sacked by TEAM for a loss of 11 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the SDSt 24

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Andrew Smith pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Jake Koehnke 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 8 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 24 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 46

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 11 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.95

Ryan Agnew pass intercepted, touchback. Jeremy Fejedelem return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 24 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the AFA 12

1st & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Joseph Saucier run for 7 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.54

Cole Fagan run for 42 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the SDSt 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 7 yds to the SDSt 26

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the SDSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the SDSt 18

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SDSt 13

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the SDSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Ronald Cleveland run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.42

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Fred Trevillion for 28 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Tim Wilson Jr. for 15 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the AFA 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+44 yds

John Baron II 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the AFA 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the AFA 36

4th & 1Blocked Punt+19 yds

Charlie Scott punt blocked by Kaelin Himphill blocked by Kaelin Himphill Trenton Thompson return for 19 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Sanders run for 7 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 43

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Kade Waguespack

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Joseph Saucier run for 3 yds to the AFA 46

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the SDSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Chase Jasmin run for 20 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Chase Jasmin run for 7 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Chase Jasmin run for 5 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Tim Wilson Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Fred Trevillion

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 39 yds, downed at the AFA 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Ronald Cleveland run for 1 yd to the AFA 7

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 1 yd to the AFA 8

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the AFA 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kahale Warring

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 36 yds, downed at the AFA 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds to the AFA 14

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SANDERS, Isaiah pass incomplete to MATKOVICH, Jake, PENALTY SDSU roughing passer 15 yards to the AF31, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Isaiah Sanders run for 8 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 2 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Joseph Saucier run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 47

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the SDSt 44

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the SDSt 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 34 yds, downed at the SDSt 6

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-3 Yards) to the SDSt 3

1st & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chase Jasmin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 1

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 3

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Tim Wilson Jr.

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the SDSt 40

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

REMSBERG, Kadin rush for 4 yards to the SDSU36 (BALDWIN, Parker), PENALTY AF holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.95

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kadin Remsberg for 1 yd to the SDSt 49

3rd & 19Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.86

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 20 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Joseph Saucier

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.19

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 20 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (4 Yards) to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ronald Cleveland run for 4 yds for a TD (Isaiah Sanders pass to Ronald Cleveland for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Chase Jasmin run for 1 yd to the SDSt 7

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kahale Warring SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.44

Ryan Agnew run for 32 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

BJ Busbee run for 5 yds to the SDSt 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith

3rd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.22

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 32 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 29

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.74

Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 29 yds for a TD (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the AFA 29 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 19

1st & 16Penalty-9 yds

SANDERS, Isaiah rush for 9 yards to the AF28 (LAKALAKA, R.), PENALTY AF holding 9 yards to the AF10, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the AFA 10

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

4th & 25Punt+3 yds

Jake Koehnke punt for 38 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 3 yds to the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the AFA 40

3rd & 5Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.83

Ryan Agnew sacked by Kyle Floyd for a loss of 16 yards to the SDSt 44

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Brandon Heicklen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 18

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Sanders pass intercepted Parker Baldwin return for no gain to the SDSt 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Kaegun Williams run for 10 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.30

Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the AFA 49

3rd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
17%
24 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
27%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th