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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
NevadaNevada
28
-Final
25
Air ForceAir Force
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 11.3

Home Win Probability

Air Force 73%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
7147028
Air ForceAir Force
0710825

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1410-2117-2823-2825-28
Air ForceNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFTD1075ydPUNT724ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydPUNT614ydPUNT6-4ydPUNT35ydTO3-8ydTD1-20ydTD780ydPUNT36ydPUNT420ydPUNT3-4ydTD440ydEND1-1ydFG949ydTD575ydTO23ydTO1-14ydTD1258ydMISS1349ydTD1167ydDOWNS735ydDOWNS949ydSAF4-11ydEND20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and Air Force
StatisticNevadaAir Force
Passing24-338-19
Pass Yards25996
Rush Yards177154
Total Yards436250
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-153-14
Penalties13-1035-40
Possession31:0728:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Ty Gangi
24/33, 259 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Toa Taua
13 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Elijah Cooks
2 REC, 63 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
6/15, 71 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kadin Remsberg
13 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Marcus Bennett
4 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 10 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kelton Moore run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 3 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.75

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 42

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 43

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 12 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the AFA 44

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.15

Ty Gangi run for 4 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 40 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 34

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.24

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ronald Cleveland run for 6 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.69

Joseph Saucier run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 46

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 15

1st & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaxson Kincaide run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 10

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11

3rd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the Nevad 20

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 34 yds, downed at the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for a loss of 4 yards to the AIRFORCE 47 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.50

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 13 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Gangi pass complete to Toa Taua for 4 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Zane Lewis

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Toa Taua, broken up by Danny Highland

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 43 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for no gain to the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 35

2nd & 14Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.74

Arion Worthman sacked by Korey Rush for a loss of 10 yards to the AFA 25 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 24Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AFA 20

3rd & 29Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 37 yds, downed at the Nevad 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ty Gangi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44

4th & 5Punt+17 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 23 , Ronald Cleveland returns for 17 yds to the AFA 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 18

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the AFA 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland, broken up by Tyson Williams

3rd & 13Sack+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Arion Worthman sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 1 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by Nevad Lucas Weber , return for 0 yards , return for 14 yds to the AFA 1

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 6

1st & 6Penalty-15 yds

MOORE, Kelton rush for loss of 1 yard to the AF7 (CAPRA, Micah), PENALTY NEVADA personal foul (ROBERSON, R.) 15 yards to the AF21, NO PLAY.

1st & 21Interception Return Touchdown-99 ydsPPA -10.80

Ty Gangi pass intercepted for a TD Zane Lewis return for 99 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Ben Harris

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Ty Gangi run for 9 yds to the Nevad 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 10 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Gangi pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.38

Toa Taua run for 25 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.96

Ty Gangi pass complete to McLane Mannix for 29 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Arion Worthman run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Ronald Cleveland run for 1 yd to the AFA 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 23

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

McLane Mannix run for 16 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 7 yds to the Nevad 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 47 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for no gain to the AFA 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Joseph Saucier run for 2 yds to the AFA 12

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 11 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.12

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 6

4th & 14Punt+34 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 49 yds, downed at the AIRFORCE 45 AIR FORCE Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the AFA 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to McLane Mannix

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 4 yds to the AFA 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.36

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 6 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 30 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Ronald Cleveland run for 11 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CLEVELAND, Rona rush for 13 yards to the AF49 (RUFUS, Asauni;REED, Malik), PENALTY AF holding (WAGUESPACK, Kad) 10 yards to the AF26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Joseph Saucier run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 24

2nd & 22Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.62

Arion Worthman pass complete to Andrew Smith for 29 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.52

Ronald Cleveland run for 21 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 29

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Joseph Saucier run for 3 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Kade Waguespack

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Joseph Saucier

4th & 12Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.97

Jake Koehnke 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 13 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 4Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.81

Ty Gangi run for 29 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 4 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.78

Ty Gangi pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 23 yds for a TD (Ramiz Ahmed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.47

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the AFA 28 Arion Worthman fumbled, forced by Malik Reed, recovered by Nevad Malik Reed

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

NEVADA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Adam Lopez) to the AFA 43

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.65

Ty Gangi run for 1 yd to the AFA 42 Ty Gangi fumbled, recovered by AFA Brody Bagnall

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Andrew Smith

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.51

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 19 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Donald Hammond III run for 15 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 19

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Nevad 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 4 yds to the Nevad 7

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.96

Ronald Cleveland run for 6 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Cole Fagan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK) NEVADA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Ty Gangi pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 9 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kelton Moore for 4 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

GANGI, Ty pass incomplete to FOSSUM, Kaleb, dropped pass, PENALTY NEVADA personal foul (4) 15 yards to the NEVADA16, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 2 yds to the Nevad 18

2nd & 23Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.42

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 21 yds to the Nevad 39

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Gangi pass complete to Toa Taua for 4 yds to the Nevad 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.81

Ty Gangi pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 6 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Kelton Moore run for 12 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Ty Gangi pass complete to Romeo Doubs for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 34

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the AFA 33

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Toa Taua run for no gain to the AFA 33

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Ramiz Ahmed 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the AFA 46

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.53

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 42

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the Nevad 49

4th & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Kade Waguespack

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Nevad 35

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

NEVADA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Justin Brent) to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Ronald Cleveland run for 10 yds to the Nevad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Nolan Eriksen run for 1 yd to the Nevad 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty Gangi run for no gain to the Nevad 28

3rd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.52

Toa Taua run for 28 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the AFA 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Toa Taua run for no gain to the AFA 35

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 40

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Jaxson Kincaide

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Kadin Remsberg

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.90

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 12 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 19 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Jake Matkovich for 15 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Nevad 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett, broken up by Daniel Brown

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Kadin Remsberg

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.57

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Kade Waguespack

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kelton Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 10

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 6

3rd & 15Penalty-3 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-3 Yards) to the Nevad 3

3rd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 11

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 6

4th & 15Safety-6 ydsPPA -1.61

Nephi Sewell run for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett, broken up by Dameon Baber

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
0%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play