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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 20.1

Home Win Probability

Texas State 9%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
71471038
Texas StateTexas State
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-217-287-317-38
Texas StateApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTO542ydTD367ydPUNT933ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS617ydTD1370ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT34ydTO854ydTD1395ydEND22ydTD279ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT34ydTD743ydFG1768ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1347ydTD972ydTO21ydEND24yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Texas State
StatisticApp StateTexas State
Passing25-3619-30
Pass Yards247132
Rush Yards22186
Total Yards468218
Turnovers03
3rd Down9-163-12
Penalties5-503-19
Possession33:3626:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Zac Thomas
25/36, 247 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Darrynton Evans
9 CAR, 86 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Collin Reed
3 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas State
passing
Tyler Vitt
17/28, 106 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Caleb Twyford
11 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Keenen Brown
7 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keenen Brown run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for 15 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Willie Jones III pass complete to Tyler Watts for 11 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Robert Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -2.75

Willie Jones III run for 10 yds to the AppSt 33 Willie Jones III fumbled, forced by Josh Thomas, recovered by AppSt Austin Exford

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.75

Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 43 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 16 yds to the TexSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 8 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Caleb Twyford run for 8 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the TexSt 37

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 8 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 6 yds to the AppSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Vitt run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.85

Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Vitt run for 6 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Keenen Brown, broken up by Okon Godwin

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 21

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Zac Thomas sacked by Frankie Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Darrynton Evans

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Caleb Twyford run for 7 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Vitt run for 7 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the AppSt 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Caleb Twyford

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.23

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 5 yds to the AppSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+4 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, Defensive offside (Frankie Griffin) to the AppSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Zac Thomas run for 15 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the TexSt 44

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexSt 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zac Thomas pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 2 yds to the TexSt 30

4th & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 24 yds to the TexSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 3 yds to the TexSt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 5 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Mason Hays, broken up by Tae Hayes

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.35

Tyler Vitt sacked by Okon Godwin for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for no gain Corey Sutton fumbled, forced by Hal Vinson,

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Thomas, Zac PASS COMPLETE IN THE FLAT pass complete to Virgil, Jalen for 5 yards to the APP26, out-of-bounds (Taylor, Anthony J;Newman,Josh), PENALTY APP pass interference 10 yards to the APP11, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 10 yds to the AppSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 3 yds to the AppSt 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 34 yds, downed at the TexSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for 9 yds to the TEXSTATE 49 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Fehr) to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the AppSt 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 7 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 5 yds to the AppSt 16

2nd & 5Penalty+14 yds

Vitt,Tyler pass incomplete to White,Hutch, PENALTY APP pass interference (Thomas, Josh) 14 yards to the APP2, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Jalen Momerelle) to the AppSt 7

1st & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 2 yds to the AppSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 1 yd to the AppSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -4.30

Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Noel Cook return for 2 yds to the AppSt 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 6

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 14

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 10 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 34

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.48

Zac Thomas run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 49

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.40

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 20 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Jarron Morris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.25

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 25 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 31

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Caleb Twyford run for 4 yds to the TexSt 35

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Brad Absher, broken up by Ishmael Davis

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.92

Darrynton Evans run for 79 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Vitt run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.27

Tyler Watts run for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 48 Tyler Watts fumbled, recovered by TexSt Tyler Vitt

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 3 yds to the AppSt 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 44 yds, downed at the AppSt 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 4

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Jarron Morris

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 5

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the AppSt 43

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Caleb Twyford run for 11 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 15 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Vitt run for 8 yds to the AppSt 9

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Keenen Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 10

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Anthony J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Kessler KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 20

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 20

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.51

Zac Thomas run for 10 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 11 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.47

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 12 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 3 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Jalen Smith

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.80

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Zac Thomas run for 6 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the TexSt 23

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.12

Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 8 yds to the TexSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Henry Pearson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 4 yds to the TexSt 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.65

Chandler Staton 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Keenen Brown, broken up by Austin Exford

4th & 11Punt+6 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 39 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Mock Adams

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 30

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Elijah Rogers for 11 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 12 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Robert Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the AppSt 49

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.48

Robert Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Keenen Brown

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyler Vitt run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Anthony J. Taylor

4th & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.62

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Anthony J. Taylor for 9 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the AppSt 19 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Anthony D. Taylor) to the AppSt 29

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Keenen Brown

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Tyler Watts

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Anthony J. Taylor for 6 yds to the AppSt 23

4th & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.65

Tyler Vitt sacked by Chris Willis for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zac Thomas pass complete to Clifton Duck for 5 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.57

Camerun Peoples run for 27 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 13 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

DeMarcus Harper run for 3 yds to the TexSt 22

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Zac Thomas run for 13 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds for a TD APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Henry Pearson) to the TexSt 9 (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaylen Gipson run for no gain to the TexSt 35

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaylen Gipson run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 36 Jaylen Gipson fumbled, recovered by AppSt MyQuon Stout

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

DeMarcus Harper run for 2 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

DeMarcus Harper run for 2 yds to the TexSt 32

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
56%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays