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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 32.2

Home Win Probability

App State 96%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
703717
App StateApp State
143141445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-717-724-731-1038-1045-17
App StateGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSGSASGSASGSASTD1075ydTD475ydPUNT39ydTD864ydPUNT3-1ydMISS772ydPUNT1038ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydFG1275ydEND1-1ydTD1175ydTD34ydFG1241ydTD775ydTO446ydTD256ydTD775ydEND1357yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and App State
StatisticGeorgia StateApp State
Passing10-2122-26
Pass Yards132296
Rush Yards197228
Total Yards329524
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-126-12
Penalties6-610-0
Possession28:3331:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
10/21, 132 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dan Ellington
19 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Penny Hart
2 REC, 50 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
20/24, 282 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Darrynton Evans
15 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Corey Xavier Sutton
4 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Dan Ellington run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 12 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Tra Barnett run for 12 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Clifton Duck

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Dan Ellington run for 11 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 10 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tamir Jones for 7 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 21 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 39 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 35

4th & 1Punt+14 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 43 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 14 yds to the AppSt 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 11 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.60

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (DeAndre Applin) to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 10

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 10 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 62 yds , Clifton Duck returns for no gain to the AppSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.12

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 40 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 5 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.89

Darrynton Evans run for 26 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Zac Thomas sacked by Blake Carroll for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 15

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 14

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Chandler Staton 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tucker Gregg run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Darius Stubbs run for no gain to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ellington, Dan rush for 13 yards to the APP42 (Cook, Noel), PENALTY GSU holding (Atkinson, H.) 10 yards to the GSU35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.78

Dan Ellington pass complete to Darius Stubbs for 21 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the AppSt 37

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Demarcus Kirk run for no gain to the AppSt 37

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 40 yds, downed at the AppSt 2

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 1

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 3

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Chase Middleton

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 56 yds , Penny Hart returns for 7 yds to the GeoSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan Ifedi

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tra Barnett run for 8 yds to the AppSt 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the AppSt 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 21 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Zac Thomas sacked by Terry Thomas and Marterious Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 37

3rd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.29

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 15 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds to the GeoSt 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.68

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 19 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Sutton, Corey (Lazarus, Remy), PENALTY GSU personal foul (Lazarus, Remy) 11 yards to the GSU11, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for no gain to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the GeoSt 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Michael Shaw

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.99

Chandler Staton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 13 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the GeoSt 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34

4th & 4Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.84

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 33 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-26 ydsPPA -7.16

Dan Ellington pass intercepted for a TD Desmond Franklin return for 26 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Ellington, Dan pass complete to Hart, Penny for 38 yards to the APP33 (Franklin, D.;Flory, Anthony), PENALTY GSU illegal helmet contact (Jackson, Jalen) 15 yards to the GSU14, NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.27

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 33 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 41

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Dan Ellington run for 11 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tamir Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 34

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Josh Thomas

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Roger Carter, broken up by Desmond Franklin

4th & 14Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA +1.94

Brandon Wright 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 5 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Zac Thomas run for 24 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Zac Thomas sacked by Javonte Lain for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Zac Thomas run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.78

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 21 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.96

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 40 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the AppSt 29

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-38 ydsPPA -3.68

Dan Ellington pass intercepted Desmond Franklin return for 38 yds to the AppSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.53

Darrynton Evans run for 56 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Tucker Gregg run for 26 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the AppSt 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the AppSt 44

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Darius Stubbs run for 14 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Dan Ellington run for 22 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Jacob Huesman pass complete to Brad Absher for 10 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacob Huesman pass complete to Collin Reed for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the GeoSt 27

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 18

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays