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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Coastal Carolina 37%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
141314344
Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
067316

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-146-146-206-276-3413-4113-4416-44
Coastal CarolinaArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASCCASCCASCCASCCASCCASCCASCCCCASCCASCCASCCASTD780ydPUNT727ydTD1295ydTD1284ydTD941ydTO615ydTD333ydPUNT38ydMISS343ydDOWNS730ydTD861ydPUNT630ydTD380ydPUNT3-9ydTD326ydPUNT33ydTO514ydFG723ydPUNT719ydPUNT33ydFG1043ydEND215yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Coastal Carolina
StatisticArkansas StateCoastal Carolina
Passing23-2916-31
Pass Yards281165
Rush Yards173128
Total Yards454293
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-98-16
Penalties10-719-86
Possession26:1933:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
Justice Hansen
18/20, 253 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Marcel Murray
9 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kirk Merritt
11 REC, 180 YDS
defense
Coastal Carolina
passing
Fred Payton
11/18, 146 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
CJ Marable
12 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Miller
3 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 9 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Fitz Wattley) to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.67

Marcel Murray run for 31 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Justice Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 26

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 31

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 6 yds to the CCaro 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.55

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 23 yds to the CCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the CCaro 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Fred Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 15 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Marable, CJ rush for 1 yard to the CCU42 (Emory, Dajon;Ahoia, Tukua), PENALTY ASU offside defense 5 yards to the CCU46, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.56

Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Alex James run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 42

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Payton, Fred rush for no gain to the ASU42 (Bingham, Ronheen;Chambers, Tajhea), PENALTY CCU holding (Carter, Trey) 10 yards to the CCU48, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.77

Marcel Murray run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.63

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 7 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justice Hansen run for 5 yds to the CCaro 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.73

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 6 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Warren Wand run for 12 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.25

Warren Wand run for 13 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the CCaro 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 1 yd to the CCaro 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.11

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 10 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Justice Hansen pass complete to Reed Tyler for 6 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 6 yds to the CCaro 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.57

CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jai Williams run for 1 yd to the CCaro 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the CCaro 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.34

Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 13 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

CJ Marable run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Fred Payton run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 39

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 36 Marcus Outlow fumbled, forced by Jerry Jacobs, recovered by CCaro CJ Marable for a 1ST down , return for 1 yd to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Fred Payton run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Alex James run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.18

Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 24 yds for a TD ARKANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense (Jerry Jacobs) to the ArkSt 1 (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Marcel Murray run for 8 yds to the CCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the CCaro 32

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Justice Hansen run for 4 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Merritt, Kirk rush for no gain to the CCU28 (Brown, Jave;Makins, Michael), PENALTY ASU illegal block 10 yards to the CCU38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justice Hansen run for 4 yds to the CCaro 34

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 9 yds to the CCaro 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 6 yds to the CCaro 19

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Logan Bonner run for 3 yds to the CCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the CCaro 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 14 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kilton Anderson pass complete to CJ Marable for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 8 yds to the CCaro 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 5 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marcus Outlow

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Kilton Anderson pass intercepted B.J. Edmonds return for 5 yds to the CCaro 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.58

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 25 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the CCaro 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Warren Wand run for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 9

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the CCaro 18

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 19

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 22

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 36 yds, downed at the ArkSt 42

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Warren Wand run for 19 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 24 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Blake Grupe 32 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the CCaro 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Shadell Bell

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.04

Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 20 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Alex James run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Fred Payton pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller, broken up by William Bradley-King

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marcel Murray run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 3 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Marcel Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.15

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 13 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Marcel Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (16 yards) (Fitz Wattley) to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 4 yds to the CCaro 20

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.71

Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 20 yds for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CCaro 3 (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 2 yds to the CCaro 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.64

Fred Payton pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 31 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

T'Qele Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Fred Payton pass incomplete to T'Qele Holmes

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 34 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.33

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 42 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, roughing passer (Jeffrey Gunter) to the CCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Kilton Anderson sacked by William Bradley-King and Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 27

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 48 yds , Nathan Page returns for no gain to the ArkSt 26 Nathan Page fumbled, recovered by CCaro CJ Marable

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 16 yds to the ArkSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Fred Payton sacked by Donovan Ransom for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 12

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.91

Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 12 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Logan Bonner pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 6 yds to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 2 yds to the ArkSt 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 41 yds , Marcus Outlow returns for no gain to the CCaro 30 Marcus Outlow fumbled, recovered by CCaro Marcus Outlow

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the CCaro 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Isaiah Likely

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.17

CJ Marable run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.10

Fred Payton sacked by Kevin Thurmon for a loss of 11 yards to the CCaro 44 Fred Payton fumbled, recovered by ArkSt William Bradley-King , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Armond Weh-Weh run for 7 yds to the CCaro 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds to the CCaro 35

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Armond Weh-Weh run for 7 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Logan Bonner pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds to the CCaro 21

4th & 3Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Grupe 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

3rd & 8Penalty+14 yds

Anderson, Kilton sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CCU16 (Bingham, Ronheen), PENALTY ASU personal foul (Bradley-King, Willia) 14 yards to the CCU36, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Alex James run for 6 yds to the CCaro 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 14 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Alex James run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.42

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete, broken up by Ronheen Bingham COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (T'Qele Holmes) to the CCaro 39

3rd & 27Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to CJ Marable

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 37 yds, downed at the ArkSt 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Bubba Ogbebor

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Bubba Ogbebor

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 40 yds , Jai Williams returns for no gain to the CCaro 34 Jai Williams fumbled,

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the CCaro 44

1st & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.79

Baden Pinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete, broken up by Noel Iwuchukwu

3rd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.61

Jacqez Hairston run for 22 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kilton Anderson run for no gain to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jacqez Hairston

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Trey Carter) to the ArkSt 45

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense (William Bradley-King) to the ArkSt 40

3rd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.49

Jacqez Hairston run for 24 yds to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 13

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.37

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Likely for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 18

4th & 12Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.23

Massimo Biscardi 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Donovan Marshall run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Donovan Marshall run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
54%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Coastal Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
32%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play