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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 11.8

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 78%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
13020740
Georgia StateGeorgia State
7302030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-1310-1310-2610-3317-3324-40
Georgia StateTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSTSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTD975ydTD675ydPUNT30ydTD744ydDOWNS1142ydPUNT36ydTO1075ydPUNT315ydFG717ydMISS573ydPUNT628ydEND13ydPUNT726ydTD318ydPUNT32ydTD297ydPUNT33ydTD964ydTD1175ydPUNT1128ydDOWNS45ydTD334ydTD1075ydPUNT36ydUncategorized649yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Georgia State
StatisticTexas StateGeorgia State
Passing21-2621-40
Pass Yards325224
Rush Yards164221
Total Yards489445
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-147-16
Penalties5-322-13
Possession26:3233:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Willie Jones III
21/26, 325 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Caleb Twyford
8 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Haydel
2 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia State
passing
Aaron Winchester
10/18, 112 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dan Ellington
13 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Roger Carter
4 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Dan Ellington run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Dan Ellington run for 8 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Tra Barnett run for 8 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the TexSt 29

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Tra Barnett run for 29 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Willie Jones III pass complete to Tyler Watts for 3 yds to the TexSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Willie Jones III run for 11 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for 13 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Willie Jones III run for 48 yds for a TD (James Sherman PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Paige run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 34 yds , Hutch White returns for 15 yds to the GeoSt 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Robert Brown Jr. run for no gain to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Keenen Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.80

Willie Jones III pass complete to Mason Hays for 14 yds to the GeoSt 36

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.80

Willie Jones III run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 11 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.43

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for 20 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Anthony D. Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD (James Sherman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Dan Ellington run for 12 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the TexSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Dan Ellington pass complete to Seth Paige for 12 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the TexSt 34

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Tra Barnett

4th & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -1.20

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 3 yds to the TexSt 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Willie Jones III run for 3 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Willie Jones III run for no gain to the TexSt 36

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Robert Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSt 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 58 yds, downed at the GeoSt 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Dan Ellington run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 12 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ellington, Dan rush for no gain to the GSU30, out-of-bounds (LondonII,Bryan), PENALTY GSU holding (Gilmore, S.) 10 yards to the GSU20, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.30

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 20 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Seth Paige run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 13 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Seth Paige run for 1 yd to the TexSt 39

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -2.69

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 17 yds Cornelius McCoy fumbled, forced by Frankie Griffin, recovered by TexSt JaShon Waddy , return for 11 yds to the TexSt 33

4th & 6Punt+48 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 38 yds , Penny Hart returns for 48 yds to the TexSt 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 3 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the TexSt 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Roger Carter

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Dan Ellington run for 13 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the TexSt 10

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Seth Paige run for no gain to the TexSt 10

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the TexSt 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.73

Brandon Wright 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+69 ydsPPA +4.03

Willie Jones III pass complete to Tyler Watts for 69 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Caleb Twyford run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Willie Jones III run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 2

4th & 2Blocked Field Goal+19 yds

James Sherman 19 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Javonte Lain

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Roger Carter

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Dan Ellington run for 19 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan Ifedi

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 51 yds, downed at the TexSt 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Willie Jones III run for 3 yds to the TexSt 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for 15 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Robert Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Keenen Brown

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Willie Jones III pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 10 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Willie Jones III run for no gain to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.77

Willie Jones III sacked by Marterious Allen for a loss of 14 yards to the GEORGIAST 42 TEXAS STATE Penalty, intentional grounding (Willie Jones III) to the TexSt 42

3rd & 24Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Willie Jones III pass complete to Robert Brown Jr. for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 33 yds , Penny Hart returns for 1 yd to the GeoSt 18 Penny Hart fumbled, recovered by TexSt Mason Hays

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Willie Jones III pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 5 yds to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.73

Willie Jones III pass complete to Javen Banks for 11 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

4th & 8Punt-9 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 58 yds , Hutch White returns for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 18 TEXAS STATE Penalty, IB (Josh Newman) to the TexSt 3

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Robert Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSt 7

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+93 ydsPPA +6.99

Willie Jones III pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 93 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Demarcus Kirk run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 36 yds, downed at the TexSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for 13 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Willie Jones III pass complete to Javen Banks for 4 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

JonesIII,Willie pass complete to Banks,Javen for 30 yards to the GSU17 (Jones, Jaylon), PENALTY TXST IH off-setting, PENALTY GSU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Willie Jones III pass complete to Elijah Rogers for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Willie Jones III run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.26

Caleb Twyford run for 34 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Willie Jones III run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 6

3rd & 6Penalty+3 yds

JonesIII,Willie rush for loss of 5 yards to the GSU11 (Hunter, Jontrey), PENALTY GSU holding (Applin, DeAndre) 3 yards to the GSU3, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Keenen Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 4 yds Cornelius McCoy fumbled, forced by Jarron Morris,

3rd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.55

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, targeting (Bryan London II) to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Tra Barnett run for 8 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tra Barnett for 4 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Tra Barnett run for 12 yds to the TexSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the TexSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the TexSt 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tamir Jones for 10 yds to the TexSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Seth Paige run for no gain to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 9 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 4 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Willie Jones III run for 2 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hutch White run for 4 yds to the TexSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Willie Jones III pass complete to Keenen Brown for 5 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Willie Jones III run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.29

Willie Jones III pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 13 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 9Penalty-9 yds

JonesIII,Willie rush for 11 yards to the GSU29 (Curney, Ed), PENALTY TXST holding (Rogers,Elijah) 9 yards to the GSU49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Caleb Twyford run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Willie Jones III run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 47

4th & 16Punt+19 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 37 yds , Penny Hart returns for 19 yds to the GeoSt 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tra Barnett for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Anthony J. Taylor

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.02

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Penny Hart

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Caleb Twyford run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Caleb Twyford run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Caleb Twyford run for 13 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tamir Jones for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Aaron Winchester run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41

4th & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.25

Aaron Winchester run for 14 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Jonathan Ifedi, broken up by Jarron Morris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 14 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.15

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Devin Gentry for 27 yds to the TexSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylin Nelson run for 2 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaylen Gipson run for 4 yds to the TexSt 17

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylen Gipson run for no gain to the TexSt 17

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tra Barnett for 14 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Roger Carter for 2 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Tamir Jones

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Aaron Winchester run for 10 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Devin Gentry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.54

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tamir Jones for 23 yds to the TexSt 4 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
39%
18 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play