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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 16.7

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
070714
Arkansas StateArkansas State
014141038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-721-728-738-738-14
Arkansas StateSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAPUNT33ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydDOWNS620ydPUNT69ydTD980ydTD1275ydMISS846ydPUNT621ydTD1083ydEND1-2ydTD969ydPUNT30ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT32ydDOWNS662ydTD381ydPUNT511ydFG864ydPUNT35ydTD1175ydTD1068ydPUNT32ydEND44yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Arkansas State
StatisticSouth AlabamaArkansas State
Passing12-2327-40
Pass Yards93354
Rush Yards167155
Total Yards260509
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-158-16
Penalties6-753-15
Possession30:5829:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Evan Orth
7/15, 63 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tra Minter
16 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Kawaan Baker
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Arkansas State
passing
Justice Hansen
26/37, 332 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Warren Wand
16 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin McInnis
7 REC, 177 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 2 yds to the SAlab 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Evan Orth pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 1 yd to the SAlab 24

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 21 yds, downed at the SAlab 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Marcel Murray

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 11

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.51

Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 7

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tra Minter run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 4

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Evan Orth pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 53 yds , Warren Wand returns for no gain to the ArkSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for no gain to the ArkSt 43

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 14

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Kawaan Baker run for 6 yds to the SAlab 20

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds , Warren Wand returns for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Justice Hansen run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcel Murray run for 5 yds to the SAlab 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.57

Warren Wand run for no gain to the SAlab 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Evan Orth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 45

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 47

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 45 Cephus Johnson fumbled, recovered by SAlab Cephus Johnson

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Evan Orth run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.25

Evan Orth sacked by Logan Wescott and Jarrod Chandler for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkSt 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 13 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.19

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 23 yds to the ARKST 39 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.59

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 14 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marcel Murray run for 6 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Kirk Merritt run for 10 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 26 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Evan Orth run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tywun Walters run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tywun Walters run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Evan Orth run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Evan Orth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cephus Johnson run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.27

Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 7 yds to the ArkSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tywun Walters run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Evan Orth pass complete to Maurice Mayo for 8 yds to the ArkSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 17

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.02

Evan Orth pass complete to Malik Stanley for 17 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 9 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the SAlab 47

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.13

Warren Wand run for 13 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Chris Henderson) to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the SAlab 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Warren Wand

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Blake Grupe 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 2 yds to the SAlab 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Evan Orth run for 7 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Tywun Walters run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Maurice Mayo run for 7 yds to the SAlab 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Evan Orth run for no gain to the SAlab 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Warren Wand at the ArkSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 6 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 6 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 9 yds to the ArkSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Warren Wand run for 12 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Justice Hansen run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 7 yds to the SAlab 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.28

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 39 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Tyree Turner) to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Warren Wand run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Marcel Murray run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

Marcel Murray run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.90

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 14 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.60

Darveon Brown pass complete to Justice Hansen for 22 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Warren Wand run for 7 yds to the SAlab 11

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.73

Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 11 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Jerry Jacobs

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 41 yds, downed at the ArkSt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 8 yds to the ArkSt 39

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.85

Evan Orth sacked by Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 20

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Tra Minter

4th & 14Punt+19 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 55 yds , Warren Wand returns for 19 yds to the ArkSt 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Warren Wand run for no gain to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 19

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Evan Orth run for 17 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.38

Tra Minter run for 36 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Jeremy Smith

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Cephus Johnson run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 19

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.69

Tywun Walters run for no gain to the ArkSt 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justice Hansen run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Justice Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 22

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +7.08

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 78 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jordan McCray for 9 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 35

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jordan McCray

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 20 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 7 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Justice Hansen run for 8 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.55

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 24 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the SAlab 9

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Warren Wand pass incomplete to Justin McInnis, broken up by Gus Nave

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.83

Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-11 ydsPPA -1.74

Cephus Johnson pass incomplete SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, intentional grounding (Cephus Johnson) to the SAlab 21

1st & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cephus Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 21Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.87

Cephus Johnson run for 16 yds to the SAlab 37

3rd & 5Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 52 yds , Warren Wand returns for no gain to the ArkSt 25 Warren Wand fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Warren Wand , return for 14 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Roberts run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 11 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 2 yds to the ArkSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.29

Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 17 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Justice Hansen pass complete to Reed Tyler for 4 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Warren Wand run for 12 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Tyler, Reed, PENALTY USA pass interference (Lawrence, Nigel) 12 yards to the USA8, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the SAlab 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the SAlab 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Cephus Johnson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Tra Minter run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cephus Johnson run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Cephus Johnson run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Kawaan Baker run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Cephus Johnson pass complete to Maurice Mayo for 5 yds to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 10

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cephus Johnson run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 5

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.58

Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jamarius Way for 5 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Roberts run for no gain to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Bubba Ogbebor, broken up by Travis Reed

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Bonner run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Cephus Johnson pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 13 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Cephus Johnson pass complete to Tra Minter for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 45

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.24

Cephus Johnson sacked by Ronheen Bingham and William Bradley-King for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 38

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
32 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play