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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2018Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 49%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
14771543
LouisianaLouisiana
211031347

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-1428-1428-2134-2134-2840-3547-43
LouisianaArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUTD480ydTD975ydTO35ydPUNT5-2ydTD289ydTD775ydTD172ydPUNT39ydTD1277ydTD1077ydPUNT3-6ydTO1042ydFG525ydUncategorized00ydPUNT617ydFG935ydTD1173ydPUNT58ydPUNT33ydTO636ydTD173ydTD579ydTD772ydTD1155ydDOWNS40ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Louisiana
StatisticArkansas StateLouisiana
Passing17-3119-28
Pass Yards270319
Rush Yards208228
Total Yards478547
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-157-14
Penalties4-656-51
Possession30:4329:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
Justice Hansen
17/30, 270 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcel Murray
19 CAR, 121 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kirk Merritt
4 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisiana
passing
Andre Nunez
18/26, 295 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Raymond Calais
7 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jarrod Jackson
4 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ryheem Malone run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.35

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 64 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Hansen, Justice sacked for 57 yards to the LA18 (Riley,Andre), PENALTY LA holding (Garror,Eric) 10 yards to the ASU35, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.37

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 33 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Warren Wand run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Justice Hansen run for no gain to the LaLaf 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 27

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.62

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 6 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 20 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Warren Wand run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.15

Andre Nunez pass intercepted Brandon Byner return for no gain to the LaLaf 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 9 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.44

Justice Hansen sacked by Lorenzo McCaskill for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 17Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.95

Justice Hansen run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 37

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar Bayless

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.52

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 24 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Elijah Mitchell run for 65 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justice Hansen run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Justice Hansen run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Justice Hansen pass complete to Reed Tyler for 1 yd to the ArkSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.09

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 9 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hansen, Justice deep sideline pass incomplete to Merritt, Kirk, PENALTY LA pass interference (Solomon,Cameron) 15 yards to the LA29, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.59

Marcel Murray run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Marcel Murray run for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Raymond Calais run for 72 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 6 yds to the ArkSt 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Justice Hansen run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 46 yds, downed at the LaLaf 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Andre Nunez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 9 yds to the LaLaf 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 10 yds to the LaLaf 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.19

Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.66

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 43 yds to the ArkSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Andre Nunez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 10 yds to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the ArkSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Andre Nunez run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 8 yds to the ArkSt 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 8 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Marcel Murray run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Marcel Murray run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Marcel Murray run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Justice Hansen run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 12 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 4Penalty+11 yds

Hansen, Justice middle pass incomplete to Bayless, Omar, PENALTY LA pass interference (Garror,Eric) 11 yards to the LA2, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Trey Ragas

3rd & 13Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 23

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 68 yds, downed at the ArkSt 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 10

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Justice Hansen run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcel Murray run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Marcel Murray run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.93

Justice Hansen run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-35 ydsPPA -2.14

Justice Hansen pass intercepted for a 1ST down Koa Haynes return for no gain to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (35 Yards) to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Justin Clifton

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Raymond Calais run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA -1.52

Kyle Pfau 52 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 2 yds to the ArkSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Justice Hansen run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar Bayless, broken up by Ferrod Gardner

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Justice Hansen run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 28 yds, downed at the LaLaf 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Robert Hunt) to the LaLaf 45

2nd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.97

Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 24 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Levi Lewis run for no gain to the ArkSt 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Johnny Lumpkin

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 30

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.01

Kyle Pfau 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Marcel Murray run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.00

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 33 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis, broken up by Kendall Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 7 yds to the LaLaf 4

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis, broken up by Michael Jacquet III

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds for a TD ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Griffin Riggs) to the LaLaf 8 (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 10 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Andre Nunez run for no gain to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.85

Andre Nunez run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 21 Andre Nunez fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Elijah Mitchell

3rd & 22Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.09

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 10 yds to the LaLaf 31

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Warren Wand at the ArkSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Warren Wand run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 33 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 38 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for no gain to the LaLaf 28 Ryheem Malone fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Ryheem Malone

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 20 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 48

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 36

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.16

Andre Nunez pass intercepted Jerry Jacobs return for no gain to the ArkSt 27

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 73 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.53

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 8 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, targeting (Darreon Jackson) to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson, broken up by Justin Clifton

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ryheem Malone run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 47

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +6.11

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 53 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 19 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.35

Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 26 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Marcel Murray run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Marcel Murray run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 7

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +1.95

Marcel Murray run for 7 yds for a TD (Justice Hansen pass to Warren Wand for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Trey Ragas

4th & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.25

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 13 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Andre Nunez run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.81

Raymond Calais run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Cole Prudhomme) to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Raymond Calais run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 4

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Ragas,Trey rush off the right side for 4 yards to the ASU0, clock 01:33, PENALTY LA illegal formation 5 yards to the ASU9, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Darveon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar Bayless, broken up by Kendall Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar Bayless

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 33

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
63%
32 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
69%
13 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play