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← Back to GamesOct 20, 2018Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 18.4

Home Win Probability

App State 86%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 20, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
730717
App StateApp State
7107327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-710-1017-1024-1027-1027-17
App StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOULOUASPUNT38ydPUNT34ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1049ydTO2-3ydTD425ydTD875ydFG741ydFG949ydTO10ydPUNT3-3ydTD1073ydPUNT37ydPUNT31ydEND215ydTD373ydPUNT36ydPUNT730ydPUNT730ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS720ydPUNT634ydPUNT617ydFG1147ydTD769ydDOWNS628ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and App State
StatisticLouisianaApp State
Passing17-2710-20
Pass Yards188106
Rush Yards140258
Total Yards328364
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-164-13
Penalties6-605-42
Possession27:2232:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Andre Nunez
14/23, 108 YDS
rushing
Trey Ragas
18 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryheem Malone
3 REC, 47 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
10/20, 106 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darrynton Evans
26 CAR, 183 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Henry Pearson
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Akeem Davis
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 28 , Clifton Duck returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Terik Miller

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40 Elijah Mitchell fumbled, forced by Anthony Flory, recovered by LaLaf Ken Marks

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Jarrod Jackson) to the LaLaf 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Raymond Calais

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 11 yds to the AppSt 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 10 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 39

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T., PENALTY LA personal foul (Garror,Eric) 15 yards to the LA46, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the LaLaf 44

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 28

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -2.89

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaLaf 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Akeem Davis-Gaither

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jordan Fehr

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Darrynton Evans run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Evans, D. rush for 1 yard to the LA7 (Turner,Corey), PENALTY APP illegal block (Reed, Collin) 15 yards to the LA23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.99

Zac Thomas run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 9

3rd & 9Penalty+7 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Virgil, Jalen, PENALTY LA pass interference (Jacquet,Michael) 7 yards to the LA2, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Levi Lewis sacked by Demetrius Taylor and Akeem Davis-Gaither for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.61

Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 20 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Matt Barnes, broken up by Anthony Flory

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +4.08

Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 38 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 4Penalty+23 yds

Williams, Marc. rush for 8 yards to the 50 yardline (Mapieu,Masry;Wallace,Deuce), PENALTY LA personal foul (McCaskill,L.) 23 yards to the LA35, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.56

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 11 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Pearson, Henry, PENALTY APP holding off-setting, PENALTY LA pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Bennie Higgins

4th & 12Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.68

Chandler Staton 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.67

Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Elijah Mitchell run for 15 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jamal Bell for 3 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 31

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26

4th & 3Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyle Pfau 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zac Thomas pass intercepted Eric Garror return for no gain to the LaLaf 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 33

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Matt Barnes

3rd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Andre Nunez pass complete to Andre Nunez for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 38 yds, downed at the AppSt 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Chandler Greer) to the AppSt 48

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 14 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.79

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 20 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

D'Andre Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Dominique Heath, broken up by Eric Garror

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 43 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Raymond Calais run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+65 ydsPPA +4.37

Darrynton Evans run for 65 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson, broken up by Tae Hayes

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Andre Nunez pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds, downed at the AppSt 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 17

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive offside (Chaiziere Malbrue) to the AppSt 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Zac Thomas run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Zac Thomas punt for 39 yds, downed at the LaLaf 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.71

Levi Lewis sacked by Caleb Spurlin for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 13

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.05

Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 22 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Levi Lewis run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Levi Lewis sacked by Akeem Davis-Gaither and Okon Godwin for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 18

3rd & 4Penalty-9 yds

Thomas, Zac pass complete to Virgil, Jalen for 11 yards to the APP29, PENALTY APP holding (Johnson, Victor) 9 yards to the APP9, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 11

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Matt Barnes

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 8 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Andre Nunez run for 4 yds to the AppSt 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 12

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the AppSt 12

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.90

Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the AppSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.59

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.82

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 26 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

Thomas, Zac pass complete to Sutton, Corey for 4 yards to the LA43 (Garror,Eric), PENALTY APP holding (Reed, Collin) 8 yards to the APP45, NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 46

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Michael Jacquet III

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 53 yds, downed at the LaLaf 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Andre Nunez pass complete to Matt Barnes for 4 yds to the LaLaf 5

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 5 yds to the LaLaf 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Demetrius Taylor

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 42

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Darrynton Evans run for 24 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the LaLaf 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

D'Andre Hicks run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

D'Andre Hicks run for no gain to the LaLaf 12

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 11

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.50

Chandler Staton 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Andre Nunez sacked by Noel Cook for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 9 yds to the LaLaf 47

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.87

Andre Nunez pass complete to Calif Gossett for 20 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Trey Ragas run for 27 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Andre Nunez run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 14 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 7 yds to the AppSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Andre Nunez run for no gain to the AppSt 35

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.26

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Calif Gossett

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 31

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
41%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play