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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2018Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 6.3

Home Win Probability

Texas State 29%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
7217742
Texas StateTexas State
00131427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-210-286-2813-3520-3527-42
Texas StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUPUNT627ydPUNT36ydTO345ydPUNT33ydTD860ydPUNT614ydTD576ydPUNT32ydTD1161ydPUNT835ydTD1181ydEND850ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydTD136ydPUNT613ydTD677ydTD888ydTD775ydTD575ydTD875ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1357ydEND322yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Texas State
StatisticLouisianaTexas State
Passing14-2329-41
Pass Yards230301
Rush Yards327124
Total Yards557425
Turnovers10
3rd Down11-168-16
Penalties3-303-30
Possession32:1827:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Andre Nunez
9/18, 149 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Mitchell
20 CAR, 191 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Ja'Marcus Bradley
4 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas State
passing
Tyler Vitt
28/39, 296 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Vitt
17 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Keenen Brown
4 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Andre Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Andre Nunez run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

Byrns,Rhys punt 46 yards to the TXST24, downed, PENALTY TXST roughing the kicker (Taylor,AnthonyD) 15 yards to the LA45, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.62

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Robert Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Robert Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSt 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 45 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for no gain to the LaLaf 38 Ryheem Malone fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Ryheem Malone

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.36

Elijah Mitchell run for 44 yds to the TexSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the TexSt 17

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.14

Andre Nunez pass intercepted JaShon Waddy return for no gain to the TexSt 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Hutch White

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 3 yds to the TexSt 6

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 54 yds, downed at the LaLaf 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Raymond Calais run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Andre Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.18

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 34 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the TexSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the TexSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TexSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.55

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 18 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caleb Twyford run for 4 yds to the TexSt 45

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.22

Tyler Vitt sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 36

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Vitt run for 3 yds to the TexSt 39

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 42 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 5 yds to the LaLaf 24

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.99

Andre Nunez pass complete to Raymond Calais for 45 yds to the TexSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Elijah Mitchell run for 13 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hutch White pass incomplete to Tyler Vitt, broken up by Eric Garror

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Vitt run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 42 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 8 yds to the LaLaf 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.72

Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mitchell,Elijah rush over right tackle for 3 yards to the TXST37 (LondonII,Bryan;Griffin,Frankie), PENALTY LA illegal motion 5 yards to the TXST45, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the TexSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 11 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the TexSt 24

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.01

Trey Ragas run for 19 yds to the TexSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the TexSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Vitt run for 7 yds to the TexSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 6 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Twyford run for 5 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.43

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 13 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Hutch White

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Vitt run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Vitt run for no gain to the LaLaf 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 19

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.33

Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 29 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 6 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Andre Nunez pass complete to Raymond Calais for 9 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Andre Nunez pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Andre Nunez pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 10 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the TexSt 9

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for 6 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for 4 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 5 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for 4 yds to the TexSt 44

4th & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.96

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for 13 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Vitt run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for 4 yds to the TexSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 30

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 24 , Ryheem Malone returns for 8 yds to the LaLaf 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28

4th & 6Punt+27 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 36 , Hutch White returns for 27 yds to the LaLaf 36

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 36 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.07

Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 37 yds , Hutch White returns for 1 yd to the TexSt 32 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Auston Deason) to the TexSt 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Vitt run for 1 yd to the TexSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.99

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 27 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Caleb Twyford run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Vitt pass complete to T.J. Bedford for 18 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for 17 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Hutch White pass complete to Tyler Vitt for 5 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 14

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Levi Lewis run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 6 yds to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.06

Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 24 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.30

Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 37 yds to the TexSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 7 yds to the TexSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Tyler Vitt run for 10 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Vitt,Tyler sideline pass incomplete, PENALTY LA face mask (Manac,Chauncey) 15 yards to the LA41, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 9 yds to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Keenen Brown

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 27 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ragas,Trey rush over left end for 21 yards to the TXST43 (Daniels,Nikolas), PENALTY LA holding (Middleton,J.) 10 yards to the LA26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.36

Elijah Mitchell run for 64 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TexSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Calif Gossett

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Pfau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.79

Tyler Vitt run for 30 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Elijah Rogers for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyler Vitt run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 15 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Matt Barnes

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 12 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (T.J. Bedford) to the TexSt 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Robert Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Robert Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.42

Tyler Vitt sacked by Bennie Higgins for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 45

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Tyler Watts for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43

3rd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.37

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 21 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Tyler Watts

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 2 yds to the LaLaf 20

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyler Vitt run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Caleb Twyford run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 7

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Jeremiah Haydel run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 11

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Vitt run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 4

4th & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.02

Tyler Vitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 6

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
32%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play