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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 53%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
770014
Georgia StateGeorgia State
141661046

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-020-727-1430-1436-1446-14
Georgia StateUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMGSUMUMGSUMGSUMGSTD875ydTO325ydTD860ydTD772ydTD1275ydPUNT33ydTD182ydTO366ydTO122ydTD342ydPUNT34ydTO736ydFG622ydPUNT55ydEND10ydPUNT37ydTD1590ydPUNT33ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydFG43ydTD33ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS49ydTO518ydPUNT617ydPUNT34ydEND46yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and Georgia State
StatisticUL MonroeGeorgia State
Passing20-3415-18
Pass Yards137179
Rush Yards125308
Total Yards262487
Turnovers41
3rd Down2-119-16
Penalties3-117-70
Possession21:4838:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Caleb Evans
19/32, 136 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Kayin White
1 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Marcus Green
2 REC, 33 YDS
defense
Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
15/18, 179 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Seth Paige
9 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sam Pinckney
2 REC, 74 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +4.76

Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 55 yds to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the LaMon 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 18 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 7 yds to the GeoSt 38

2nd & 3Uncategorized+10 yds

Victor Heyward return for 10 yds to the GeoSt 40

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Destin Coates run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.57

Dan Ellington pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the LaMon 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Tra Barnett run for 10 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the LaMon 24

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the LaMon 23

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.95

Tra Barnett run for 23 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus Green run for 1 yd to the LaMon 29

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Austin Vaughn run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Caleb Evans pass complete to Zachari Jackson for 9 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Caleb Evans pass complete to D'Marius Gillespie for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Pederson, Josh, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Jones, Jaylon) 15 yards to the GSU21, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Caleb Evans run for 21 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 19 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ellington, Dan pass complete to Hart, Penny for no gain to the GSU45 (Hubbard, M.), PENALTY GSU ineligible downfield on pass (Pinckney, Sam) 5 yards to the GSU40, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 6 yds to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Dan Ellington run for 14 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Dan Ellington sacked by Donald Louis Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 47

2nd & 17Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.80

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 20 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.19

Dan Ellington sacked by Mason Husmann for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 37

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the LaMon 30

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Jamal Paxton) to the LaMon 35

3rd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Tra Barnett run for 12 yds to the LaMon 23

4th & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 18 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the LaMon 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. Turner

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaMon 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jared Porter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 18

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +6.49

Seth Paige run for 82 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Marcus Green run for 11 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Caleb Evans pass complete to Kayin White for 9 yds to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+43 ydsPPA -3.96

Kayin White run for 43 yds Kayin White fumbled, forced by Quavian White, recovered by GeoSt Quavian White

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.61

Dan Ellington run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 42 Dan Ellington fumbled, forced by Chase Day, recovered by LaMon Cortez Sisco Jr.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Green, Marcus, PENALTY GSU pass interference (Applin, DeAndre) 15 yards to the GSU27, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Markis McCray run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 8 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Caleb Evans run for 12 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 61 yds, downed at the LaMon 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 9 yds to the LaMon 19

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.50

Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Caleb Evans run for 13 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 6 yds to the LaMon 43

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.35

Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 3 yds Sloan Spiller fumbled, forced by DeAndre Applin, recovered by GeoSt Victor Heyward

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 11 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Dan Ellington run for 16 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the LaMon 15

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the LaMon 14

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.19

Dan Ellington sacked by Collin Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 24

4th & 15Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.12

Brandon Wright 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.98

Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 15 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 1 yd to the LaMon 38

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.29

Caleb Evans sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 30

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Evans pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jared Porter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSt 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Austin Vaughn run for 2 yds to the LaMon 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Caleb Evans pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 7 yds to the LaMon 26

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Caleb Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 24

4th & 3Punt-10 yds

Jared Porter punt for 46 yds , Penny Hart returns for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 14 GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the GeoSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+19 ydsPPA +1.52

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 22 Dan Ellington fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Dan Ellington for a 1ST down , return for 19 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 38 Dan Ellington fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Dan Ellington for a 1ST down , return for 21 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Demarcus Kirk run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Seth Paige run for 9 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Seth Paige run for 7 yds to the LaMon 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the LaMon 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 3 yds to the LaMon 31

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 33

3rd & 9Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.34

Seth Paige run for 31 yds to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, face mask (1 yards) (Austin Hawley) to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Seth Paige run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Wright PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green, broken up by Jaylon Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 3 yds to the LaMon 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. Turner

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jared Porter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the LaMon 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 4 yds to the LaMon 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the LaMon 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 36 yds, downed at the LaMon 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus Green, broken up by Remy Lazarus

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 5

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 2 yds to the LaMon 7

4th & 5Punt+28 yds

Jared Porter punt for 42 yds , Penny Hart returns for 28 yds to the LaMon 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the LaMon 18

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the LaMon 18

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the LaMon 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.24

Brandon Wright 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus Green run for 3 yds to the LaMon 10

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Vaughn run for no gain to the LaMon 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Caleb Evans pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+49 yds

Jared Porter punt for 39 yds , Penny Hart returns for 49 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Zachari Jackson) to the LaMon 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius Gillespie

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

Markis McCray run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 18 UL MONROE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Caleb Evans pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jared Porter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Seth Paige run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 44

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Seth Paige run for 10 yds to the LaMon 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.48

Seth Paige run for no gain to the LaMon 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 2 yds to the LaMon 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 7 yds to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Derrick Gore run for no gain to the GeoSt 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.38

Caleb Evans pass complete to D'Marius Gillespie for 14 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Caleb Evans pass intercepted Chris Bacon return for no gain to the GeoSt 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Aaron Winchester run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Destin Coates run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 21

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Dawson Hill run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dawson Hill run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 50 yds , Perry Carter Jr. returns for no gain to the LaMon 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

J.T. Jackson pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 1 yd to the LaMon 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

J.T. Jackson pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr.

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Javin Myers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 23

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jared Porter punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Dawson Hill run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dawson Hill run for 2 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Jack Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 48 Jack Walker fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jack Walker

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 46

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play