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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 35%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
0311721
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
0771428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-614-1421-1421-2128-21
Georgia SouthernArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASDOWNS1237ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1069ydPUNT7-6ydFG1143ydPUNT910ydPUNT414ydTD582ydDOWNS947ydPUNT3-2ydTO553ydPUNT38ydFG526ydTD688ydTD975ydTD370ydPUNT616ydPUNT33ydTD1677ydTD1083ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Georgia Southern
StatisticArkansas StateGeorgia Southern
Passing38-511-3
Pass Yards37661
Rush Yards117348
Total Yards493409
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-184-10
Penalties5-398-96
Possession32:1027:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
Justice Hansen
38/50, 376 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marcel Murray
10 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Kirk Merritt
11 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Shai Werts
1/3, 61 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shai Werts
22 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wesley Fields
1 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr., broken up by Monquavion Brinson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 10 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Justice Hansen sacked by Logan Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 11 yds to the ArkSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Marcel Murray run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Justin McInnis, broken up by Kindle Vildor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31

4th & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.63

Justice Hansen sacked by Ty Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46

4th & 2Punt+9 yds

Tyler Bass punt for 46 yds , Warren Wand returns for 9 yds to the GASOUTHERN 45 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (9 Yards) to the ArkSt 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Marcel Murray run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 12 yds to the ArkSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 15 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 27 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 8 yds to the GeoSo 22

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.54

Marcel Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Monteo Garrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 32

2nd & 12Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.73

Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 32 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Monteo Garrett

3rd & 22Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 22

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 17

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 54 yds, downed at the ArkSt 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Marcel Murray run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Justice Hansen run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Marcel Murray

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Marcel Murray run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Armond Weh-Weh run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 11 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.91

Justice Hansen sacked by Logan Hunt and Todd Bradley for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 37

2nd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Justice Hansen run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 28

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.81

Blake Grupe 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Monteo Garrett run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.85

Shai Werts run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 49

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

S. Werts pass complete to W. Kennedy for no gain to the GS48 (Bingham, Ronhee;Jackson, Darreo), PENALTY GS holding (J. Edwards) 10 yards to the GS38, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.27

Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 29

3rd & 28Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 33

4th & 24Punt+6 yds

Tyler Bass punt for 37 yds , Warren Wand returns for 6 yds to the ArkSt 36

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Justice Hansen run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 47 Justice Hansen fumbled, forced by Joshua Moon, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.24

Justice Hansen sacked by Raymond Johnson III and Logan Hunt for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 18

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Wesley Kennedy III run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 48

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Murray run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 11Rush-13 ydsPPA -2.31

Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (Monteo Garrett) to the GeoSo 39

2nd & 24Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.97

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 61 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Justice Hansen pass complete to Armond Weh-Weh for 7 yds to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Bayless, Omar, PENALTY ASU holding (Bonner, Lanard) 10 yards to the ASU19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.86

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 16 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Armond Weh-Weh run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Bayless, Omar (M. Brinson), PENALTY ASU holding (Seidnaly, Nour) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.65

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 19 yds to the GeoSo 31

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Shai Werts sacked by Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Warren Wand at the ArkSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 11 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+24 ydsPPA -4.19

Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 24 yds Javonis Isaac fumbled, forced by Joshua Moon, recovered by GeoSo Rashad Byrd

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 4

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 13

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Monteo Garrett run for no gain to the GeoSo 13

4th & 2Punt+35 yds

Tyler Bass punt for 58 yds , Warren Wand returns for 35 yds to the GeoSo 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.47

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 23 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justice Hansen run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 8

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the GeoSo 8

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Justice Hansen sacked by Logan Hunt for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Grupe 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Logan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Shai Werts run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Wesley Fields run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.15

Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Shai Werts run for 36 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justice Hansen pass complete to Armond Weh-Weh for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Justice Hansen run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Armond Weh-Weh run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Justice Hansen run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Armond Weh-Weh run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Armond Weh-Weh run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.86

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 32 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 11 yds for a TD (Justice Hansen pass to Omar Bayless for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.50

Wesley Fields run for 64 yds to the ArkSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Monteo Garrett run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Justice Hansen run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 7 yds to the ArkSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Justice Hansen pass complete to Marcel Murray for 3 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr., broken up by Monquavion Brinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 5 yds to the ArkSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick Edwards

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.61

Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 21

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 26 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 51 yds , Jeremy Smith returns for no gain to the ArkSt 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Warren Wand run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 9 yds to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 1 yd to the ArkSt 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.53

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds to the ArkSt 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr., broken up by Monquavion Brinson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 9 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 14 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr., broken up by Monquavion Brinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.

4th & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Justice Hansen run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Marcel Murray run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 18

2nd & 2Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.79

Justice Hansen pass complete to Javier Carbonell for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Justice Hansen run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Justice Hansen run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 19

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Monteo Garrett run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.40

Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 47

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +5.35

Wesley Kennedy III run for 47 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Justice Hansen sacked by Joshua Moon and Ty Phillips for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 48

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
37 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th