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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 23.5

Home Win Probability

App State 91%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
70007
App StateApp State
21213752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-728-735-742-745-752-7
App StateSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASTD669ydPUNT423ydPUNT513ydTD870ydTD238ydPUNT33ydTD225ydPUNT524ydTD686ydPUNT31ydTD1269ydPUNT36ydTD237ydMISS764ydEND225ydPUNT38ydTO319ydPUNT77ydPUNT31ydTO3-4ydTO10ydPUNT738ydFG786ydDOWNS1375ydTD1395ydPUNT3-2ydEND328yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and App State
StatisticSouth AlabamaApp State
Passing20-3310-20
Pass Yards225169
Rush Yards83348
Total Yards308517
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-174-8
Penalties9-914-45
Possession31:0828:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Evan Orth
20/33, 225 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tra Minter
9 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Kawaan Baker
4 REC, 89 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
8/18, 146 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jalin Moore
19 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Akeem Davis
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Darrynton Evans

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 35

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton, broken up by Darian Mills

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.86

Zac Thomas run for 54 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 16 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 5 yds to the SAlab 44

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 8 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 37 yds, downed at the SAlab 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Kawaan Baker run for 7 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Evan Orth pass complete to Jahmmir Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.49

Evan Orth pass complete to Collier Smith for 13 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.49

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 41 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the AppSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Deonta Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.90

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 31 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Evan Orth run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 23

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Deonta Moore run for 5 yds to the SAlab 28

4th & 7Punt+52 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 49 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 52 yds to the SAlab 25

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Taji Stewart) to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Zac Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kawaan Baker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 12 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Orth, Evan sacked for loss of 10 yards to the USA28 (Willis, Chris;Doublin, Logan), PENALTY APP holding (Hayes, Tae) 10 yards to the USA48, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius Way

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 14

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.72

TEAM run for no gain to the SAlab 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SAlab Evan Orth

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.77

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 44 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thomas, Zac pass intercepted by Moss, Tobias at the USA22, Moss, Tobias return to the USA22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USA roughing passer (Beaton, Jordon) 15 yards to the USA26, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T., PENALTY USA personal foul (Beaton, Jordon) 7 yards to the USA6, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the SAlab 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the SAlab 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 2 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Evan Orth sacked by Noel Cook for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 22

2nd & 13Penalty-10 yds

Orth, Evan rush for 5 yards to the USA27 (Diarrassouba, E), PENALTY USA holding (Merchant, Hadon) 10 yards to the USA12, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 6 yds to the SAlab 18

3rd & 17Penalty+5 yds

Orth, Evan pass intercepted by Duck, Clifton at the USA37, Duck, Clifton return to the USA37, PENALTY APP offside (Taylor, D.) 5 yards to the USA23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 3 yds to the SAlab 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds , Clifton Duck returns for no gain to the AppSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalin Moore run for 13 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the SAlab 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 17 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Collin Reed, broken up by Nigel Lawrence

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the SAlab 16

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the SAlab 16

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the SAlab 4

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the SAlab 4

3rd & 3Penalty+2 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Bull Barge) to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jalin Moore run for 2 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker, broken up by Desmond Franklin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 4 yds to the SAlab 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Evan Orth pass complete to Deonta Moore for 2 yds to the SAlab 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 9 yds, downed at the SAlab 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Zac Thomas pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 34 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Evan Orth run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.77

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 21 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Deonta Moore, broken up by Desmond Franklin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jordan McCray, broken up by Tae Hayes

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 5 yds to the AppSt 11

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Gavin Patterson 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Clifton Duck return for 16 yds to the AppSt 0 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the AppSt 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Evan Orth run for 5 yds to the SAlab 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Evan Orth pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 23 , Clifton Duck returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 23

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Jalin Moore run for 17 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Zac Thomas pass intercepted Gus Nave return for 17 yds to the APPALCHAN 41 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Noah Hannon) to the AppSt 46

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Maurice Mayo run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 11 yds to the AppSt 37

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Kawaan Baker run for 5 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Khameron Taylor, broken up by Akeem Davis-Gaither

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Tra Minter

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Alexander) to the AppSt 47

3rd & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Sam Harris run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 28 yds, downed at the AppSt 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil, broken up by Jalen Thompson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 53 yds , Tra Minter returns for no gain to the SAlab 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius Way

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 31

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA +0.13

Evan Orth pass intercepted Tae Hayes return for 24 yds to the SAlab 34

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -4.06

Zac Thomas pass intercepted Travis Reed return for 10 yds to the SAlab 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Maurice Mayo run for 5 yds to the SAlab 23

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Maurice Mayo run for 1 yd to the SAlab 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 15 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Evan Orth pass complete to Sam Harris for 15 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jordan McCray, broken up by Tae Hayes

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kawaan Baker run for 7 yds to the AppSt 39

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.13

Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 9

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.64

Jalin Moore run for 37 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 49

2nd & 7Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.18

Darrynton Evans run for 42 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the SAlab 9

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the SAlab 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil, broken up by Tobias Moss

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.95

Chandler Staton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Maurice Mayo run for no gain to the SAlab 20

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kawaan Baker run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Evan Orth pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 5 yds to the SAlab 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Maurice Mayo run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.49

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 15 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Tra Minter run for 13 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Davyn Flenord

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Tra Minter run for 13 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Orth, Evan pass incomplete to Way, Jamarius, PENALTY APP pass interference (Thomas, Josh) 15 yards to the APP6, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the AppSt 3

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Evan Orth run for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 6 Evan Orth fumbled, recovered by SAlab Evan Orth

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Sam Harris run for 1 yd to the AppSt 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Evan Orth pass incomplete to Davyn Flenord

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 18

2nd & 8Rush+7 yds

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 25 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the AppSt 25

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.88

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.65

Peyton Derrick run for 6 yds to the APPALCHAN 48 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (DJ Daniels) to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

D'Andre Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.31

Peyton Derrick pass complete to A'Darius Purifoy for 20 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

D'Andre Hicks run for 7 yds to the SAlab 8

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

D'Andre Hicks run for 5 yds to the SAlab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Collin Reed for 3 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Cade Sutherland run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 20

2nd & 15Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.24

Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 12

3rd & 23Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.06

John Tank Miller run for 11 yds to the SAlab 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 36

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

D'Andre Hicks run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

D'Andre Hicks run for 10 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
48%
33 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play