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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2018Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 11.3

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 78%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
7013020
Arkansas StateArkansas State
676827

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-06-713-719-719-2027-20
Arkansas StateUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLUNLASASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLASUNLASTD780ydTO734ydPUNT69ydTD676ydPUNT38ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydTO437ydTD1192ydPUNT32ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1132ydPUNT31ydPUNT433ydTD12ydDOWNS627ydDOWNS514ydTD570ydTO211ydTD435ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydTD353ydPUNT35ydPUNT436ydTO513ydMISS819ydDOWNS7-2ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and Arkansas State
StatisticUNLVArkansas State
Passing5-2119-27
Pass Yards23199
Rush Yards310197
Total Yards333396
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-173-13
Penalties6-4011-87
Possession28:4231:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Armani Rogers
5/21, 23 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Armani Rogers
26 CAR, 181 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mekhi Stevenson
1 REC, 13 YDS
defense
Arkansas State
passing
Justice Hansen
19/27, 199 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Marcel Murray
8 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin McInnis
3 REC, 39 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Justin Clifton
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt, broken up by Evan Austrie

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Warren Wand run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Warren Wand run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 5 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Justice Hansen pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 26 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Warren Wand run for 6 yds to the UNLV 16

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 16 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 33

3rd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.17

Armani Rogers run for 18 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 13 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the ArkSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-13 ydsPPA -2.95

Armani Rogers pass intercepted Jerry Jacobs return for 13 yds to the ArkSt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Justice Hansen sacked by Gabe McCoy for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 18

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Bayless, Omar, PENALTY UNLV offside defense 5 yards to the ASU23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Armond Weh-Weh run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hansen, Justice rush for 4 yards to the ASU36 (WILY,S.;GUZMAN,Nathan), PENALTY ASU HL 10 yards to the ASU22, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 7 yds to the ArkSt 29

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 2 yds to the ArkSt 31

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Presley at the UNLV 24

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Armani Rogers run for 14 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 39

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Evan Owens run for no gain to the UNLV 39

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.14

Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 41

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.59

Evan Owens run for 41 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Justice Hansen run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 19 Justice Hansen fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Justice Hansen

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Javonis Isaac) to the ArkSt 14

3rd & 21Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Kendrick Edwards) to the ArkSt 9

3rd & 26Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.50

Marcel Murray run for 24 yds to the ArkSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brandon Presley at the UNLV 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Armani Rogers pass complete to Evan Owens for 1 yd to the UNLV 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Lexington Thomas, broken up by Darreon Jackson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hayes Hicken punt for 53 yds, downed at the ArkSt 8

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Justice Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 7

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 10

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Presley at the UNLV 45

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.68

Lexington Thomas run for 37 yds to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon Presley

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -3.63

Armani Rogers pass intercepted Jerry Jacobs return for 6 yds to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 10 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 10

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 8 yds to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 7 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Andre Harris Jr.) to the ArkSt 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.03

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 15 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justice Hansen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Armond Weh-Weh run for 4 yds to the UNLV 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Armond Weh-Weh run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 20 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Justice Hansen pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 24 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Armani Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 15

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Armani Rogers run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hayes Hicken punt for 49 yds, downed at the ArkSt 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 34

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.18

Justice Hansen sacked by Jameer Outsey for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Justice Hansen pass complete to Warren Wand for 3 yds to the ArkSt 31

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Armani Rogers run for 9 yds to the UNLV 25

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.02

Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 5 yds to the UNLV 36

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Armani Rogers sacked by Ronheen Bingham and Kevin Thurmon for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 39

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Armani Rogers pass complete to Drew Tejchman for 5 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Drew Tejchman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 41

4th & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.30

Armani Rogers sacked by William Bradley-King and Ronheen Bingham for a loss of 11 yards to the UNLV 48

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal Keys

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hayes Hicken punt for 56 yds, downed at the ArkSt 18

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Hansen, Justice pass complete to McInnis, Justin for 20 yards to the ASU38 (AUSTRIE,Evan), PENALTY ASU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ASU13, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Justice Hansen run for 31 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 8 yds to the UNLV 48

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kirk Merritt

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Lanard Bonner) to the ArkSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justice Hansen pass complete to Bubba Ogbebor for 4 yds to the UNLV 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 40 yds , Brandon Presley returns for no gain to the UNLV 2 Brandon Presley fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Brandon Byner

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Justice Hansen pass complete to Javonis Isaac for 2 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 18

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Armani Rogers run for 16 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 43

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Marcel Murray run for 12 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Justice Hansen sacked by Javin White for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 34

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the UNLV 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick Edwards

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.11

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Omar Bayless

1st & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +3.64

Armani Rogers run for 64 yds to the ArkSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Armani Rogers run for no gain to the ArkSt 8

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Justice Hansen run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.18

Justice Hansen run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 35 Justice Hansen fumbled, forced by Javin White, recovered by UNLV Dalton Baker

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Armani Rogers run for no gain to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (16 Yards) to the ArkSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 10

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, false start (Nathan Jacobson) to the ArkSt 8

1st & 8Penalty+6 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Justin Clifton) to the ArkSt 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Lexington Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Kendrick Edwards

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Justice Hansen run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 39

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 14

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 20

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 15

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Hayes Hicken punt for 41 yds , Warren Wand returns for 3 yds to the ArkSt 47

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Marcel Murray run for 10 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kirk Merritt for 4 yds to the UNLV 39

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.46

Marcel Murray run for 39 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 31

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Armani Rogers pass complete to Tyleek Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 25

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Armani Rogers run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hayes Hicken punt for 66 yds , Warren Wand returns for no gain to the ArkSt 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.83

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 34 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Justice Hansen run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 37

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Marvis Brown) to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendrick Edwards for 2 yds to the ArkSt 34

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cody Grace punt for 33 yds, downed at the UNLV 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 31

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.62

Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS,C. rush for loss of 1 yard to the ASU49 (Merrill, Forres), PENALTY UNLV HL 10 yards to the UNLV42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UNLV 42

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA +0.05

Armani Rogers pass intercepted Darreon Jackson return for 25 yds to the UNLV 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Justice Hansen run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 2 yds to the UNLV 37

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.67

Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Armond Weh-Weh run for 3 yds to the UNLV 23

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Blake Grupe 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.83

Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Armani Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROGERS,Armani pass incomplete, PENALTY UNLV HL (JACOBSON,Nathan) 10 yards to the UNLV24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 25

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo

4th & 19Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA +0.36

Armani Rogers sacked by William Bradley-King for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 21 Armani Rogers fumbled, recovered by UNLV Nathan Jacobson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 24

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
31%
13 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play