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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 15.7

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 81%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
1470021
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
71414742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1414-2128-2135-2142-21
Miami (OH)Ball State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(PUNT35ydPUNT425ydTD887ydPUNT534ydTO31ydTD552ydTD675ydPUNT540ydPUNT830ydPUNT37ydTD639ydTD465ydPUNT32ydTO411ydPUNT3-2ydTD744ydEND1-2ydTD858ydTO642ydTD677ydPUNT826ydTD1295ydDOWNS636ydPUNT517ydDOWNS953ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Miami (OH)
StatisticBall StateMiami (OH)
Passing23-3611-17
Pass Yards239159
Rush Yards143364
Total Yards382523
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-147-13
Penalties3-303-40
Possession25:4234:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
17/29, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Malik Dunner
7 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Riley Miller
5 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Gus Ragland
11/16, 159 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Alonzo Smith
18 CAR, 207 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Luke Mayock
2 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Brad Koenig
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Patrick LeCorre punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 22 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma II

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Gus Ragland sacked by Ray Wilborn for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 19

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Drew Plitt pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 16 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

James Gilbert run for 13 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.23

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 18 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Justin Hall run for 22 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 13 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.76

Kenny Young run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

RAGLAND, Gus pass complete to YOUNG, Kenny for 16 yards to the BALL24 (UZODINMA, A.;COSBY, Bryce), PENALTY MIAMI personal foul (BECKER, Nate) 15 yards to the MIAMI45, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 49

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the BalSt 41

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.28

Drew Plitt pass intercepted Zedrick Raymond return for no gain to the MiaOh 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.27

Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 25 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.23

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 17 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jaylon Bester run for 8 yds to the BalSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the BalSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Gus Ragland run for 1 yd for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Drew Plitt pass complete to Nolan Givan for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Malik Dunner run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Drew Plitt run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.47

Corey Lacanaria pass complete to Drew Plitt for 21 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Drew Plitt run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.43

Alonzo Smith run for 46 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.81

Gus Ragland sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 44

2nd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the BalSt 38

3rd & 15Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 46

3rd & 23Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Kenny Young run for 7 yds to the BalSt 39

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 16 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Drew Plitt run for 4 yds to the BalSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Drew Plitt sacked by Bart Baratti for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 46

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 45

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Kyle Schrank

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Patrick LeCorre punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Kenny Young run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 18

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 16

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for no gain to the MiaOh 16

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Hall run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 7 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Malik Dunner run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.84

Drew Plitt pass complete to Malik Dunner for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 22

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

PLITT, Drew pass incomplete to MILLER, Riley, QB hurry by COSTIN, Doug, PENALTY BALL holding off-setting, PENALTY MIAMI holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.34

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 22 yds for a TD (Morgan Hagee KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Alonzo Smith, broken up by Shannon Hall

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.31

Alonzo Smith run for 56 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the BalSt 2

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 3

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Patrick LeCorre punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the BalSt 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gus Ragland run for no gain to the BalSt 48

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the BalSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.34

Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 9 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.95

Gus Ragland pass intercepted Bryce Cosby return for no gain to the BalSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Drew Plitt pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 6 yds to the BalSt 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Plitt sacked by Pasquale Calcagno for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 9

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Patrick LeCorre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Sorenson at the BalSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.85

Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 29 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 7 yds to the BalSt 8

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma II

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Gus Ragland pass complete to Dominique Robinson for 4 yds for a TD Samuel Sloman kickoff TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 23 (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 38

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 12 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the BalSt 30

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to SORENSON, Jack, PENALTY BALL pass interference (UZODINMA, A.) 15 yards to the BALL15, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the BalSt 11

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Gus Ragland run for 10 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the BalSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Gus Ragland run for 1 yd for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Drew Plitt run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.28

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 20 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-17 ydsPPA -4.10

Drew Plitt pass intercepted Mike Brown return for 17 yds to the MiaOh 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Maurice Thomas run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaylon Bester run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the BalSt 47

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.54

Alonzo Smith run for 47 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Hall run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Will Jones

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 8 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drew Plitt run for 6 yds to the BalSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 6 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Dunner run for no gain to the BalSt 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew Plitt pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 3 yds to the MiaOh 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Patrick LeCorre punt for 44 yds, downed at the MiaOh 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 12

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 21 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaylon Bester run for 33 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the BalSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.12

Malik Dunner run for 25 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.49

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Jaylon Bester run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the BalSt 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 10

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

John Paddock pass complete to Malik Dunner for 15 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Paddock pass complete to Malik Dunner for 6 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

John Paddock pass complete to Hassan Littles for 6 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.04

John Paddock pass complete to Hassan Littles for 12 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

John Paddock pass complete to Kyle Schrank for 4 yds to the MiaOh 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

John Paddock pass incomplete to Will Jones, broken up by Brad Koenig

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.63

John Paddock sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 35

4th & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.51

John Paddock sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 41

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 40

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
32 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
57%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play