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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 27.9

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 95%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
06006
CincinnatiCincinnati
21217756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-042-649-656-6
CincinnatiEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINECCINECCINECCINECCINECCINECCINECCINECECCINECCINECCINECECCINECTD875ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS835ydPUNT3-8ydTD556ydPUNT33ydTD262ydTO537ydTD155ydTO49ydTD534ydTD375ydTD975ydDOWNS532ydDOWNS832ydEND232ydTO844ydTD1298ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydTO652ydPUNT612ydTD34ydPUNT59ydTO1158ydEND832yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and Cincinnati
StatisticEast CarolinaCincinnati
Passing10-2825-40
Pass Yards220394
Rush Yards83247
Total Yards303641
Turnovers51
3rd Down4-1510-16
Penalties3-309-90
Possession24:1035:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
8/22, 184 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Trace Christian
6 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Mydreon Vines
1 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
20/29, 335 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Charles McClelland
8 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kahlil Lewis
9 REC, 203 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 12 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

THOMAS, Tavion rush for 5 yards to the CIN42 (SUTTON, Devon), PENALTY CIN illegal formation 5 yards to the CIN32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 10 yds to the Cincy 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.96

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 20 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.55

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 24 yds to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the ECaro 7

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 5

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 10

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.89

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 10 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Xavier Smith, broken up by Malik Clements

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 7Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.46

Holton Ahlers sacked by Marquise Copeland for a loss of 13 yards to the ECaro 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Cincy 42

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Cincy 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 10 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 11 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 2 yds to the ECaro 26

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.27

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.12

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 16

2nd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.39

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Leroy Henley for 12 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.51

Holton Ahlers sacked by Marquise Copeland for a loss of 12 yards to the ECaro 16

4th & 18Punt+1 yds

Jonn Young punt for 41 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Cincy 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.28

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 20 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.89

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 30 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Cameron Jefferies

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Arquon Bush

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.84

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 57 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 9 yds to the ECaro 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Trace Christian for 16 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trace Christian, broken up by Jarell White

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.85

Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the Cincy 45 Holton Ahlers fumbled, forced by James Wiggins, recovered by Cincy Arquon Bush , return for 8 yds to the Cincy 45

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Charles McClelland run for 55 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

AHLERS, Holton rush for 4 yards to the ECU32 (FITZ, Kimoni), PENALTY ECU holding (WINSTEAD, Peytn) 10 yards to the ECU18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 24

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Holton Ahlers run for 10 yds to the ECaro 34

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for no gain to the ECaro 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy Cameron Jefferies

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.40

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 27 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the ECaro 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 5 yds to the ECaro 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Hussein Howe

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.84

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 71 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Charles McClelland run for 15 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.53

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 17 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick Mbodj

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the ECaro 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 9 yds to the ECaro 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 20 yds to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the ECaro 13

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

RIDDER, Desmond pass complete to DEGUARA, Josiah for 4 yards to the ECU9, out-of-bounds (CHARLES, Daniel), PENALTY CIN pass interference (ROLLINS, Jerron) 15 yards to the ECU28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 24Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +4.52

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 28 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Leroy Henley for 28 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Trevon Brown) to the ECaro 48

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the Cincy 43

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy Henley, broken up by Arquon Bush

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

RIDDER, Desmond rush for loss of 2 yards to the CIN46, out-of-bounds (HOLTON, Marcus), PENALTY CIN holding (ROBINSON, J.) 10 yards to the CIN38, PENALTY ECU unsportsmanlike conduct (ROBINSON, Dvndr) 15 yards to the ECU47, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Yanez Rogers for 4 yds to the ECaro 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 10 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 9 yds to the ECaro 24

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.41

Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the ECaro 15 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Malick Mbodj) to the ECaro 25

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.24

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Terrell Green for 32 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Hussein Howe run for 8 yds to the ECaro 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 35

4th & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.82

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Xavier Smith for 13 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Leroy Henley

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

AHLERS, Holton pass incomplete to BROWN, Trevon, PENALTY CIN pass interference (WIGGINS, James) 15 yards to the CIN37, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Hussein Howe run for 8 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.79

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Arquon Bush return for no gain to the Cincy 2

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.97

Tavion Thomas run for 24 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.97

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Charles McClelland run for 16 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.22

Hayden Moore pass complete to Hayden Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 44

3rd & 16Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.58

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 34 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the ECaro 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Xavier Smith for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Cameron Jefferies

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 43 yds, downed at the Cincy 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 4 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ECaro 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tyler Snead

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 10 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.78

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 26 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, tripping (James Wiggins) to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Reid Herring pass intercepted Cameron Jefferies return for no gain to the Cincy 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Cincy 21

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 23

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 30

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-36 ydsPPA -7.19

Reid Herring pass intercepted for a TD Arquon Bush return for 36 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Anthony Scott run for 9 yds to the ECaro 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 38

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.12

Reid Herring sacked by Ty Sponseller for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 32

3rd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 34

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 49 yds, downed at the Cincy 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Cincy 18

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.99

Hayden Moore run for 20 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Tavion Thomas run for 9 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the ECaro 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hayden Moore run for no gain to the ECaro 40

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY CIN unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY ECU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 45

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the ECaro 39

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the ECaro 35

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.00

Charles McClelland run for 7 yds to the ECaro 25 Charles McClelland fumbled, forced by Chance Purvis, recovered by ECaro Gerard Stringer

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trace Christian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Trace Christian run for 9 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 47

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.50

Trace Christian run for 5 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Trace Christian run for 3 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Reid Herring pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
32 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
58%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play