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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2018Week 12
CincinnatiCincinnati
13
-Final
38
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 15.1

Home Win Probability

UCF 83%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
600713
UCFUCF
71471038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-614-621-628-635-1338-13
UCFCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINUCFUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINPUNT836ydTD1-7ydPUNT3-9ydMISS714ydTD979ydMISS1050ydTD322ydPUNT420ydDOWNS661ydPUNT519ydTD1081ydTO1548ydEND14ydPUNT422ydTO512ydMISS4-5ydDOWNS621ydTD553ydTO829ydTD633ydTD975ydFG859ydPUNT32ydPUNT39ydUncategorized224yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and UCF
StatisticCincinnatiUCF
Passing11-2613-25
Pass Yards127268
Rush Yards252134
Total Yards379402
Turnovers31
3rd Down10-207-13
Penalties9-705-45
Possession37:1222:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
11/26, 127 YDS
rushing
Michael Warren II
18 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Kahlil Lewis
5 REC, 75 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
McKenzie Milton
13/25, 268 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Taj McGowan
6 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Tre Nixon
2 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (Desmond Ridder) to the Cincy 20

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Chris Ferguson) to the Cincy 15

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Cincy 23

3rd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.43

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 20 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the UCF 40

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the UCF 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 7

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.31

McKenzie Milton sacked by Malik Clements for a loss of 7 yards McKenzie Milton fumbled, forced by Malik Clements, recovered by Cincy Kimoni Fitz , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Cole Smith PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

McKenzie Milton sacked by Cortez Broughton for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 5

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 30 yds, downed at the UCF 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 5 yds to the UCF 28

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the UCF 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Cole Smith 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel Davis

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 15 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.95

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 28 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.34

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Greg McCrae for 27 yds to the Cincy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

McKenzie Milton run for 3 yds to the Cincy 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

McKenzie Milton run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 37

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Cincy 43

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Ridder, Desmond pass incomplete to Lewis, Kahlil, PENALTY UCF roughing passer (Hill, Trysten) 15 yards to the UCF42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Desmond Ridder sacked by Joey Connors for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 46

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the UCF 43

3rd & 11Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.79

Desmond Ridder run for 19 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Charles McClelland run for no gain to the UCF 24

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the UCF 24

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+53 yds

Cole Smith 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joey Connors Brandon Moore return for 53 yds to the Cincy 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

McKenzie Milton run for 5 yds to the Cincy 17

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.01

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Michael Warren II run for 14 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Bruno Labelle

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+17 yds

James Smith punt for 61 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 17 yds to the UCF 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.46

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 47 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the Cincy 23

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Milton, McKenzie pass incomplete, PENALTY CINCINNATI offside (Brooks, Curtis) 5 yards to the CINCINNATI18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Greg McCrae run for no gain to the Cincy 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the Cincy 17

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael Colubiale

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Cincy 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 19

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 16

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.38

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 11 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.89

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 12 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Miller) to the UCF 49

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the Cincy 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 13 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre Nixon

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis Anderson

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.67

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 36 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Michael Warren II run for 8 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Charles McClelland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 41

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 39

3rd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.72

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 22 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ridder, Desmond pass sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UCF41 (Connors, Joey), PENALTY CINCINNATI holding (Ferguson, Chris) 10 yards to the UCF49, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 11 yds to the UCF 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 10 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Chris Ferguson) to the UCF 33

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Charles McClelland run for 10 yds to the UCF 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 11 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Dino Boyd) to the UCF 17

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.79

Desmond Ridder sacked by Titus Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 19

3rd & 17Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.42

Desmond Ridder sacked by Titus Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 27 Desmond Ridder fumbled, forced by Titus Davis, recovered by UCF Brendon Hayes , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the UCF 32

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.59

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 31

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Greg McCrae run for 17 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.64

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 2 yds Gabriel Davis fumbled, forced by Tyrell Gilbert, recovered by UCF Greg McCrae

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis Anderson

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 32 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 24

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 27 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by UCF Joey Connors

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Otis Anderson run for no gain to the Cincy 27

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.08

McKenzie Milton sacked by Kimoni Fitz for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 34

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Jake Brown) to the Cincy 39

3rd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Matthew Wright 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Cincy 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the UCF 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the UCF 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 5 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

McKenzie Milton run for 6 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.05

McKenzie Milton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 42

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +5.26

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 42 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.29

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 15 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCF 42

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.06

Desmond Ridder sacked by Titus Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 47

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 yds

Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds to the UCF 37 fumbled, forced by Pat Jasinski, recovered by UCF Keenan Johnson for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chris Ferguson) to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the Cincy 31

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the Cincy 28

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

McKenzie Milton run for 11 yds to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael Colubiale

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the Cincy 9

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Greg McCrae run for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tavion Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 21 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 9 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.10

Charles McClelland run for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the UCF 36

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.39

Tavion Thomas run for 28 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taj McGowan run for 7 yds to the UCF 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Taj McGowan run for 22 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 20 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

McKenzie Milton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 24

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Taj McGowan run for 8 yds to the Cincy 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.52

Matthew Wright 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Charles McClelland

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris

4th & 8Punt+62 yds

James Smith punt for 52 yds , Dredrick Snelson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 18 UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (Jacob Harris) to the UCF 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Bentavious Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCF 25

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bentavious Thompson run for no gain to the UCF 27

4th & 1Punt-4 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 45 yds , Aulden Knight returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.04

Tavion Thomas run for 19 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play