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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
977023
CincinnatiCincinnati
7721035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-67-914-914-1621-1628-1635-23
CincinnatiSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINPUNT36ydTD273ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydTD39ydFG614ydPUNT511ydPUNT59ydTD860ydTD675ydMISS1149ydPUNT34ydPUNT66ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydEND112ydPUNT523ydTD678ydPUNT34ydTD437ydTD1073ydTD477ydPUNT3-5ydTO321ydPUNT36ydPUNT512ydPUNT715ydEND1558yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Cincinnati
StatisticSouth FloridaCincinnati
Passing14-3217-24
Pass Yards232194
Rush Yards81238
Total Yards313432
Turnovers02
3rd Down2-159-16
Penalties8-805-22
Possession22:5437:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Chris Oladokun
10/22, 165 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Johnny Ford
10 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Mitchell Wilcox
7 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ronnie Hoggins
1 TFL, 1 PD
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
17/24, 194 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Michael Warren II
28 CAR, 151 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Rashad Medaris
4 REC, 92 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 28

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.57

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 72 yds for a TD CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the Cincy 1 (Coby Weiss PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Cincy 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 64 yds, downed at the SFla 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Mitchell Wilcox

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.06

Chris Oladokun run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 1

4th & 10Punt+21 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 39 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 21 yds to the SFla 22 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Kirk Livingstone) to the SFla 9

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 11

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the SFla 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Chris Oladokun run for 9 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 6 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the Cincy 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Michael Pitts

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Chris Oladokun run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 19

4th & 11Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.21

Coby Weiss 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 28

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Desmond Ridder run for 11 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Desmond Ridder sacked by Juwuan Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 35

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 2 yds to the Cincy 39

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

James Smith punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 11 , Tyre McCants returns for 9 yds to the SFla 48 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the SFla 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 5 yds to the SFla 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 5 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris Oladokun sacked by Bryan Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 40 yds, downed at the Cincy 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 16 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the SFla 40

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 12 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 1 yd to the SFla 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 5 yds to the SFla 13

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brett Kean pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 7 yds to the SFla 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the SFla 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Brett Kean pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 18 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 38

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.40

Brett Kean pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 38 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Desmond Ridder run for 20 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Charles McClelland run for no gain to the SFla 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 7 yds to the SFla 19

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the SFla 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.01

Desmond Ridder sacked by Kelvin Pinkney Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 18 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by Cincy Jakari Robinson , return for 0 yards

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Cole Smith 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brett Kean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brett Kean pass complete to Tyre McCants for 4 yds to the SFla 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brett Kean pass incomplete to Tyre McCants

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Desmond Ridder sacked by Kevin Bronson for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 47

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the SFla 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris, broken up by Ronnie Hoggins

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brett Kean pass incomplete to Mitchell Wilcox

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Randall St. Felix) to the SFla 10

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Randall St. Felix) to the SFla 5

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Brett Kean pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon

3rd & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.09

Johnny Ford run for 13 yds to the SFla 18

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 41 yds , Aulden Knight returns for no gain to the Cincy 44 Aulden Knight fumbled, forced by Khalid McGee, recovered by SFla Greg Reaves

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brett Kean pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Kean pass incomplete to Tyre McCants

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 38 yds, downed at the Cincy 2

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.32

Michael Warren II run for 12 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Jordan Cronkrite run for 12 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Johnny Ford, broken up by Cameron Jefferies

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Tyre McCants, broken up by Michael Pitts

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 22

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Chris Ferguson) to the Cincy 30

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.44

Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds to the Cincy 43

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +5.39

Michael Warren II run for 57 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 17

2nd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Oladokun sacked by Kimoni Fitz for a loss of 14 yards to the SFla 3

3rd & 23Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.35

Johnny Ford run for 22 yds to the SFla 25

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 20

4th & 6Punt+17 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 32 yds, downed at the CINCINNATI 48 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, kick catching interference (Chris Barr) to the SFla 37

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to LEWIS, Kahlil, PENALTY USF pass interference (HAMPTON, Mike) 15 yards to the USF22, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the SFla 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the SFla 15

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 14 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 7 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 12 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 45

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.31

Chris Oladokun sacked by Bryan Wright and Michael Pitts for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 41

3rd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.91

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 24 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Randall St. Felix for no gain to the Cincy 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 9 yds to the Cincy 26

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 27

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Chris Oladokun pass complete to Tyre McCants for 25 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.27

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 43 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the SFla 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.35

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 31 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Chris Oladokun sacked by Michael Pitts for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 44

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Charles McClelland run for 17 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 11 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -4.24

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 35 Desmond Ridder fumbled, recovered by SFla Josh Black

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the SFla 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chris Oladokun run for no gain to the SFla 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Malik Clements

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Cincy 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 19

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara, broken up by Nick Roberts

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 4 yds to the Cincy 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren II

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 27

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Johnny Ford run for 8 yds to the SFla 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.38

Chris Oladokun run for 1 yd to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Tyre McCants, broken up by Cameron Jefferies

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Chris Oladokun pass incomplete to Ryeshene Bronson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 6 yds to the Cincy 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 45

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the SFla 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.90

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 13 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the SFla 32

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 35

3rd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.37

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Khalid McGee) to the SFla 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the SFla 13

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the SFla 9

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Michael Warren II run for 8 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 6

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the SFla 5

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 7

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
31 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play