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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
NavyNavy
24
-Final
35
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 35.6

Home Win Probability

UCF 97%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
0371424
UCFUCF
1477735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-321-1028-1735-1735-24
UCFNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFNAVUCFNAVUCFNAVUCFNAVUCFNAVNAVUCFNAVUCFNAVUCFNAVUCFPUNT39ydPUNT411ydTD1186ydTO437ydTD1162ydTO1341ydTD666ydFG1058ydTO1073ydEND11ydTD1175ydTD1275ydTD1075ydTD1085ydPUNT510ydPUNT38ydTD851ydEND723yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and UCF
StatisticNavyUCF
Passing0-217-21
Pass Yards0200
Rush Yards374297
Total Yards374497
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-137-11
Penalties4-303-25
Possession35:4124:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Zach Abey
0/2, 0 YDS
rushing
Zach Abey
26 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
defense
UCF
passing
McKenzie Milton
17/21, 200 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Greg McCrae
17 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dredrick Snelson
5 REC, 72 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 3 yds to the UCF 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.49

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 19

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

McKenzie Milton run for 8 yds to the UCF 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 44 yds, downed at the Navy 29

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Connors) to the Navy 34

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Abey run for 8 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Zach Abey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 41

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Navy 40

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Owen White punt for 54 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 8 yds to the UCF 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Otis Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the UCF 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Greg McCrae for 10 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the UCF 28

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the UCF 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.66

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 9 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 11 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.80

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 21 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 6 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Greg McCrae run for 7 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Greg McCrae run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

CJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Tre Walker run for 15 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -2.90

Zach Abey run for 15 yds to the UCF 38 Zach Abey fumbled, forced by Richie Grant, recovered by UCF Pat Jasinski

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 8 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 18 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 6 yds to the Navy 23

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Navy 13

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the Navy 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 31

3rd & 4Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.08

Tre Walker run for 8 yds to the Navy 39 NAVY Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Navy 24

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Tre Walker run for 8 yds to the Navy 32

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.83

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the UCF 41

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tazh Maloy run for 2 yds to the UCF 39

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Zach Abey run for 6 yds to the UCF 33

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -2.72

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Navy Zach Abey Zach Abey run for no gain to the UCF 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.26

Greg McCrae run for 18 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Otis Anderson run for 5 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 34 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tazh Maloy run for 5 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 40

3rd & 5Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.65

Tre Walker run for 46 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Anthony Gargiulo run for 8 yds to the UCF 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the UCF 5

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.80

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the UCF 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tre Walker run for 1 yd to the UCF 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Andrew Wood) to the UCF 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the UCF 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Taylor Jackson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.79

Bennett Moehring 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the UCF 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the UCF 21

3rd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.32

McKenzie Milton run for 21 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Adrian Killins Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

McKenzie Milton run for 9 yds to the Navy 49

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.82

McKenzie Milton run for 14 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.41

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 20 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 17

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.98

Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the Navy 13 Taj McGowan fumbled, recovered by Navy Taylor Heflin

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Navy 14

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Malcolm Perry run for 16 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.95

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.04

Mike Martin run for 23 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Zach Abey run for no gain to the UCF 26

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.59

Zach Abey sacked by Nate Evans for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 31

3rd & 15Penalty+10 yds

Abey, Zach pass complete to Mitchell, Ryan for 14 yards to the UCF17, PENALTY UCF holding 10 yards to the UCF21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.43

CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the UCF 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Zach Abey run for 5 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Otis Anderson run for 12 yds to the UCF 41 UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dredrick Snelson) to the UCF 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Otis Anderson run for 12 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Otis Anderson run for 3 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 9 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre Nixon

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 14 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 9 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.27

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 8 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Anthony Gargiulo run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Zach Abey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 33

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.69

Anthony Gargiulo run for 17 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

CJ Williams run for 7 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.19

Malcolm Perry run for 16 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mike Martin run for 4 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Mike Martin run for 14 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 12 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 41

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+24 ydsPPA +3.46

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 24 yds Marlon Williams fumbled, recovered by UCF Alex Swenson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

McKenzie Milton pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Greg McCrae run for 11 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Navy 12

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Zach Abey run for 9 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Peter Nestrowitz) to the Navy 32

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Tre Walker run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 54 yds, downed at the UCF 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the UCF 19

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Otis Anderson run for no gain to the UCF 19

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mac Loudermilk punt for 32 yds, downed at the Navy 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zach Abey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.97

Tre Walker run for 10 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Zach Abey run for 6 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tazh Maloy run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 31

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.08

Malcolm Perry run for 13 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Mike Martin run for 10 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Zach Abey run for 8 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Greg McCrae run for 11 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Greg McCrae run for no gain to the Navy 34

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the Navy 29

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the Navy 23

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 26

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays