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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 20.4

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 88%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
00000
CincinnatiCincinnati
7217742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-035-042-0
CincinnatiNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINPUNT30ydTD660ydPUNT1026ydTD1489ydPUNT31ydTD1275ydDOWNS622ydTD547ydEND48ydTD676ydDOWNS950ydPUNT418ydDOWNS657ydPUNT42ydTO929ydTD140ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-11ydUncategorized629yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Cincinnati
StatisticNavyCincinnati
Passing3-414-20
Pass Yards47189
Rush Yards124262
Total Yards171451
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-136-10
Penalties3-314-30
Possession30:2625:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Zach Abey
3/4, 47 YDS
rushing
Zach Abey
28 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Malcolm Perry
1 REC, 32 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
13/17, 178 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Charles McClelland
6 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashad Medaris
4 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 22 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by Navy Malcolm Perry , return for 2 yds to the Navy 22

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Zach Abey run for 8 yds to the Navy 30

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Elan Nash) to the Navy 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 40

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 9 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.63

Desmond Ridder run for 28 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Navy 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Michael Warren II run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Anthony Gargiulo run for 14 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Zach Abey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 45

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (Cortez Broughton) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Mike Martin run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Cincy 44

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Zach Abey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 43

3rd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.27

Zach Abey sacked by Kimoni Fitz and Michael Pitts for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 13 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren II

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.26

Michael Warren II run for 14 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 7 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.34

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Navy 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

NAVY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Hudson Sullivan) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Zach Abey sacked by Cortez Broughton and Michael Pitts for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 19

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

4th & 9Punt-4 yds

Owen White punt for 45 yds , Aulden Knight returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 10 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 10 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.88

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 28 yds to the Navy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Navy 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Abey run for 9 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Charles McClelland for 9 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.55

Charles McClelland run for 26 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Hayden Moore pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 11 yds for a TD, (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Zach Abey sacked by Kimoni Fitz for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 32

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Mike Martin run for 1 yd to the Navy 33

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 4 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Javan Hawes for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jerron Rollins

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Kahlil Lewis) to the Cincy 45

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +6.51

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 55 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ABEY, Zach sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NAVY20 (BROUGHTON, C.;COPELAND, M.), PENALTY CIN face mask (PITTS, Michael) 15 yards to the NAVY40, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 26

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Cincy 26

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.17

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Charles McClelland run for 16 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris

4th & 8Punt+47 yds

James Smith punt for 47 yds , CJ Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.16

Zach Abey pass complete to Malcolm Perry for 32 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Tazh Maloy run for 16 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tre Walker run for 6 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Cincy 37

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Cincy 35

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.39

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Cincy 34

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Hayden Moore run for 13 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.14

Hayden Moore sacked by Anthony Villalobos for a loss of 16 yards to the Cincy 36

4th & 21Punt+9 yds

James Smith punt for 51 yds , CJ Williams returns for 9 yds to the Navy 45 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the Navy 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 18

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.68

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Zach Abey pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 10 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Tre Walker run for 5 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey pass complete to Tazh Maloy for 5 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Tazh Maloy run for 1 yd to the Navy 48

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.75

Zach Abey sacked by Malik Clements for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 40 Zach Abey fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ethan Tucky , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Charles McClelland run for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Mike Martin, broken up by Ethan Tucky

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Owen White punt for 35 yds , Aulden Knight returns for 2 yds to the Cincy 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Cincy 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 36 yds, downed at the Navy 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Tazh Maloy run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 20

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Abey sacked by Malik Vann and Ty Sponseller for a loss of 10 yards to the Navy 10

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aulden Knight at the Navy 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 39

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Tavion Thomas run for 16 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Navy 19

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
64%
22 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
59%
29 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play