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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2018Week 6
NavyNavy
7
-Final
35
Air ForceAir Force

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 1.1

Home Win Probability

Air Force 48%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
07007
Air ForceAir Force
01414735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-714-721-728-735-7
Air ForceNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVPUNT30ydDOWNS49ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydPUNT36ydTD934ydPUNT638ydPUNT39ydTD365ydPUNT3-7ydTD263ydMISS950ydEND2-11ydTD775ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD1475ydDOWNS49ydTD844ydDOWNS522ydDOWNS1026ydEND634yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Air Force
StatisticNavyAir Force
Passing3-126-10
Pass Yards49142
Rush Yards129257
Total Yards178399
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-135-12
Penalties4-403-32
Possession27:0332:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Malcolm Perry
2/6, 36 YDS
rushing
Malcolm Perry
19 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Mychal Cooper
1 REC, 27 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
6/10, 142 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Joseph Saucier
3 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ronald Cleveland
2 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 32 yds, downed at the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cole Fagan run for no gain to the AFA 43

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the Navy 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Cole Fagan run for no gain to the Navy 48

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 44

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tre Walker run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 4

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the AFA 6

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

HAMMOND III, DJ rush for 5 yards to the AF11 (HEFLIN, Taylor;NASH, Elan), PENALTY AF illegal block off-setting, PENALTY NAVY personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the AFA 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 37 yds, downed at the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 47

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the AFA 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 42 yds, downed at the AFA 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the AFA 4

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the AFA 7

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the AFA 8

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 26 yds, downed at the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the AFA 33

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the AFA 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.54

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Tre Walker run for 10 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the AFA 5

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the AFA 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Garret Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Kadin Remsberg run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Navy 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 17

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 20

4th & 1Punt+12 yds

Owen White punt for 57 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 12 yds to the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.37

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 61 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 19

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 14

3rd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 18

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Owen White punt for 54 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 9 yds to the AFA 37

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HAMMOND III, DJ pass incomplete to SAUCIER, Joseph (WILLIAMS, Sean), PENALTY NAVY pass interference (WILLIAMS, Sean) 15 yards to the NAVY48, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Andrew Smith

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.76

Joseph Saucier run for 48 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

CJ Williams run for 4 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.29

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 27 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.92

Malcolm Perry run for 20 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 6 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Garret Lewis pass incomplete to Tre Walker

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

LEWIS, Garret rush for no gain to the AF25 (JOHNSON, Kyle), PENALTY NAVY personal foul (HIGGINS, Ford) 15 yards to the AF40, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Garret Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+57 yds

Bennett Moehring 57 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 35

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.08

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 31 Kadin Remsberg fumbled, recovered by AFA Kadin Remsberg

2nd & 19Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 29

0th & 19End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 13 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Joseph Saucier for 15 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.74

Taven Birdow run for 27 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Navy 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nelson Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 25 Nelson Smith fumbled, forced by Micah Capra, recovered by Navy Malcolm Perry , return for 5 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper NAVY Penalty, intentional grounding (Malcolm Perry) to the Navy 20

4th & 15Punt+41 yds

Owen White punt for 53 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 41 yds to the AIRFORCE 39 AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Navy 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cole Fagan run for no gain to the Navy 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Andrew Smith, broken up by Jackson Pittman

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Donald Hammond III run for no gain to the Navy 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the Navy 19

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Garret Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 17

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Garret Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 19 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cole Fagan run for 6 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 4Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the AFA 46 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-12 Yards) to the AFA 42

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Joseph Saucier run for 12 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.34

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 23 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the Navy 15

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Donald Hammond III run for 10 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Navy 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Joseph Saucier run for 2 yds to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tre Walker run for 1 yd to the Navy 36

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Anthony Gargiulo run for 5 yds to the Navy 41

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the Navy 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 11 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole Fagan run for 8 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Cole Fagan run for 11 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the Navy 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the Navy 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Garret Lewis pass complete to Taylor Jackson for 13 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Garret Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Garret Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mike Martin for 9 yds to the Navy 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mike Martin run for no gain to the Navy 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Navy 38

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.70

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Donald Hammond III run for 7 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nolan Eriksen run for 1 yd to the Navy 25

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Donald Hammond III run for no gain to the Navy 23

4th & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.87

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the Navy 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Gargiulo run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Myles Fells run for 9 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Tre Walker run for 12 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Mike Martin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mike Martin run for 5 yds to the AFA 45

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
30%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play