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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2018Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Florida by 22.7

Home Win Probability

South Florida 92%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
733013
South FloridaSouth Florida
670720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-713-713-1013-1320-13
South FloridaEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFECSFTD982ydPUNT30ydPUNT67ydTD968ydPUNT936ydTD381ydDOWNS730ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydFG1669ydTO215ydFG933ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT636ydPUNT828ydPUNT839ydTD395ydDOWNS1047ydPUNT31ydPUNT836ydPUNT39ydTO10ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and South Florida
StatisticEast CarolinaSouth Florida
Passing22-5012-20
Pass Yards256181
Rush Yards156115
Total Yards412296
Turnovers11
3rd Down10-243-13
Penalties2-103-33
Possession38:1021:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Reid Herring
21/48, 253 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Holton Ahlers
12 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trevon Brown
6 REC, 99 YDS
defense
South Florida
passing
Blake Barnett
12/20, 181 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Cronkrite
15 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darnell Salomon
2 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 13 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Terrell Green

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.13

Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 13 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 3 yds to the ECaro 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Holton Ahlers run for 4 yds to the SFla 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.75

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 47 yds to the SFla 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 23

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Blake Barnett sacked by Alex Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to DeAngelo Antoine

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 52 yds , Trevon Brown returns for no gain to the ECaro 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the ECaro 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the ECaro 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Reid Herring run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 32

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Blake Barnett run for 2 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 8 yds to the SFla 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.79

Blake Barnett pass complete to Johnny Ford for 39 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the ECaro 13

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the ECaro 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the ECaro 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HERRING, Reid pass incomplete to BROWN, Trevon (HAMPTON, Mike), PENALTY USF pass interference (HAMPTON, Mike) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Pinnix run for 5 yds to the SFla 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the SFla 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the SFla 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Deondre Farrier run for no gain to the SFla 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Reid Herring pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 10 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Blake Barnett pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 66 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the ECaro 48

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ECaro 49

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Holton Ahlers run for 12 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 4 yds to the SFla 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier

4th & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -1.87

Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 5 yds to the SFla 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 7 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 39

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 24 , Trevon Brown returns for 9 yds to the ECaro 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the ECaro 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Mike Hampton

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 42 yds, downed at the SFla 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 3 yds to the SFla 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.93

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon, broken up by Michael Witherspoon

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 41 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 13 yds to the ECaro 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Darius Pinnix run for 6 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the SFla 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tyre McCants at the SFla 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jordan Cronkrite, broken up by Kendall Futrell

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Blake Barnett sacked by Jalen Price and Alex Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 9 yds to the SFla 28 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 72 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Darius Pinnix run for 6 yds to the ECaro 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Watley for 10 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 32

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.55

Anthony Scott run for 13 yds to the ECaro 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.94

Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 20 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 12 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier

3rd & 10Penalty+3 yds

HERRING, Reid pass incomplete to HOWE, Hussein, PENALTY USF pass interference (SAWTELLE, Nico) 3 yards to the USF15, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Trevon Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 7 yds to the SFla 10

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.96

Reid Herring run for 5 yds to the SFla 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Holton Ahlers sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 11

2nd & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -1.14

Jake Verity 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Tyre McCants, broken up by Corey Seargent

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Barnett pass complete to DeAngelo Antoine for 13 yds DeAngelo Antoine fumbled, forced by Davondre Robinson, recovered by ECaro Michael Witherspoon , return for no gain to the SFla 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the SFla 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 9 yds to the SFla 31

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 5 yds to the SFla 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.29

Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Holton Ahlers run for 15 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (D'Ante Smith) to the SFla 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the SFla 19

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.90

Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 13 yds to the SFla 7

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Verity 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Blake Barnett pass incomplete, broken up by Kendall Futrell

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Blake Barnett sacked by Devon Sutton for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the ECaro 40

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the SFla 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Stanley Clerveaux

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.79

Blake Barnett sacked by Cannon Gibbs for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 33

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 67 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Hussein Howe run for 20 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Holton Ahlers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 49

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Holton Ahlers run for 6 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the SFla 45

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the SFla 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 14 yds, downed at the SFla 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Blake Barnett run for 8 yds to the SFla 38

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Jordan Cronkrite run for 14 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Barnett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Barnett pass complete to Tyre McCants for 2 yds to the ECaro 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.49

Blake Barnett pass complete to Darnell Salomon for 13 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Darnell Salomon

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.62

Blake Barnett sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 42

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Anthony Watley for 3 yds to the ECaro 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 25

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

YOUNG, Jonn punt 42 yards to the USF33, McCANTS, Tyre return to the USF33 (CHARLES, Daniel), PENALTY USF roughing the kicker (ANTOINE, Deange) 15 yards to the ECU40, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Nick Roberts

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the SFla 45

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the SFla 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Reid Herring pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Verity punt for 40 yds, downed at the SFla 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.43

Blake Barnett pass complete to DeAngelo Antoine for 13 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Barnett run for 2 yds to the SFla 20

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.82

Jordan Cronkrite run for 80 yds for a TD (Coby Weiss KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Terrell Green

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 9 yds to the ECaro 27

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.63

Darius Pinnix run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Mike Hampton

3rd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.83

Reid Herring pass complete to Leroy Henley for 31 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the SFla 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the SFla 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Anthony Scott

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.13

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Terrell Green, broken up by Mazzi Wilkins

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 40

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Blake Barnett sacked by Bruce Bivens for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 6 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 18 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Hussein Howe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.87

Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 6 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Leroy Henley, broken up by Mike Hampton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 22

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 48 yds, downed at the ECaro 23

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.79

Reid Herring pass intercepted Nick Roberts return for no gain to the ECaro 44

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 47

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 49

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 48

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
35%
17 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th