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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2018Week 2
LibertyLiberty
14
-Final
38
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 7.7

Home Win Probability

Army 67%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
0014014
ArmyArmy
14371438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-024-724-1431-1438-14
ArmyLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMLIBARMTO432ydPUNT95ydPUNT735ydTD881ydPUNT37ydTD231ydPUNT531ydPUNT712ydPUNT735ydPUNT421ydDOWNS621ydFG1219ydTD375ydTD278ydPUNT825ydTD1385ydPUNT527ydPUNT536ydTD1080ydTO10ydTD951ydPUNT4-2ydPUNT33ydTO379ydUncategorized27yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Army
StatisticLibertyArmy
Passing19-372-8
Pass Yards30761
Rush Yards110444
Total Yards417505
Turnovers30
3rd Down5-125-13
Penalties6-277-100
Possession18:3039:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Stephen Calvert
19/37, 307 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kentory Matthews
9 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Damian King
8 REC, 172 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Army
passing
Kelvin Hopkins Jr.
2/7, 61 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Darnell Woolfolk
17 CAR, 98 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Christian Hayes
1 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kentory Matthews run for 6 yds to the Liber 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Kentory Matthews run for 7 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Fidel Ogbeifun for 13 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.24

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Fidel Ogbeifun for 5 yds Fidel Ogbeifun fumbled, forced by Jaylon McClinton, recovered by Army Jaylon McClinton

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Army 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Darnell Woolfolk run for 10 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Liber 47

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -3.25

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 38 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Army 47

1st & 22Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 46

2nd & 23Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 48

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Zach Potter punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Peytton Pickett run for 10 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Liber 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 13 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Army 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Elijah Riley

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Chandler Ramirez

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Fred Cooper run for 3 yds to the Army 22

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Darnell Woolfolk run for 11 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Liber 48

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Fred Cooper run for 18 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Calen Holt run for 25 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the Liber 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Elijah Riley

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Damian King

4th & 3Punt+22 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 37 yds for a 1ST down , Mike Reynolds returns for 22 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, targeting (15 Yards) to the Liber 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kell Walker run for 5 yds to the Liber 26

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Darnell Woolfolk run for 26 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 18 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Damian King run for 3 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (James Nachtigal) to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Stephen Calvert sacked by James Gibson for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aaron Peart punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Mike Reynolds at the Army 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Fred Cooper run for 4 yds to the Army 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 21

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.94

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Fred Cooper run for no gain to the Army 26

2nd & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -0.63

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 29 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Army 14

2nd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 21

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the Army 27 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Schrage punt for 50 yds, downed at the Liber 23

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.13

Kevin Shaa run for a loss of 12 yards to the Liber 11

2nd & 22Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Peytton Pickett run for 12 yds to the Liber 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 14 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kentory Matthews run for no gain to the Liber 37

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALVERT, S. pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Riley, Elijah) 15 yards to the ARMY48, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kentory Matthews run for 6 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden LIBERTY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aaron Peart punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 27

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Fred Cooper run for 14 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Calen Holt run for 2 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 46

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 48

4th & 3Punt+5 yds

Nick Schrage punt for 35 yds , B.J. Farrow returns for 5 yds to the Liber 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 7 yds to the Liber 29

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Kentory Matthews run for 5 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Elijah Riley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kentory Matthews run for 6 yds to the Liber 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 3 yds to the Liber 43

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 43

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -3.25

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 40 ARMY Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Army 45

1st & 22Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Fred Cooper run for 15 yds to the Liber 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Fred Cooper run for 4 yds to the Liber 36

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Calen Holt run for 6 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Liber 26

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Liber 21

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.01

Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the Liber 14 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 24

1st & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Kell Walker

3rd & 17Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.36

Landon Salyers 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Calen Holt run for 22 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Fred Cooper run for 9 yds to the Liber 44

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +2.92

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Christian Hayes for 44 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.51

Kentory Matthews run for 50 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 28 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Army 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Army 40

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Calen Holt run for 9 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Zach Potter punt for 35 yds, downed at the Liber 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kentory Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Damian King

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kentory Matthews for 12 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Damian King run for 3 yds to the Liber 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.85

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 8 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.48

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 21 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Army 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kentory Matthews for 9 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 28 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Aaron Peart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Connor Slomka run for 16 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Liber 48

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the Liber 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Zach Potter punt for 28 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 18 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 21 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Mike Reynolds

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Damian King) to the Army 46

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Damian King

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Kentory Matthews run for 2 yds to the Army 44

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aaron Peart punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 18 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kell Walker run for 8 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Artice Hobbs IV run for 1 yd to the Liber 49

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Kell Walker run for 7 yds to the Liber 42

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.20

Connor Slomka run for 8 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Connor Slomka run for 22 yds to the Liber 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Slomka run for no gain to the Liber 12

2nd & 10Rush+6 yds

Calen Holt run for 8 yds to the Liber 4 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, targeting (-2 Yards) to the Liber 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Jaylon McClinton return for no gain to the Army 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 17 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Liber 32

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.71

Fred Cooper run for 15 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Fred Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 18

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Artice Hobbs IV run for 6 yds to the Liber 12

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Liber 8

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.87

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Liber 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Liber 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Slomka run for 2 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 19 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Kenneth Brinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.49

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 38

3rd & 16Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.36

Stephen Calvert sacked by Raymond Wright for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 28

4th & 26Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Liber 23

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Aaron Peart punt for 31 yds, downed at the Army 46

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Luke Langdon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 43

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Artice Hobbs IV run for 6 yds to the Army 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Luke Langdon pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zach Potter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 9 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+62 ydsPPA -0.92

Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 62 yds Damian King fumbled, forced by Chris Skyers, recovered by Army Cameron Jones , return for 33 yds to the Army 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 49

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
34 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays