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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 32.4

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 97%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
00303
WisconsinWisconsin
7173734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-027-334-3
WisconsinWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISWKWISWKWISWKWISWKWISWKWISWKWISWKWKWISWKWISWKWISWKWISWKPUNT1143ydPUNT33ydTD147ydPUNT827ydPUNT57ydPUNT31ydPUNT425ydPUNT33ydFG514ydPUNT36ydTD765ydPUNT515ydTD1175ydEND1-1ydFG667ydFG742ydTO1065ydTO525ydDOWNS44ydTD786ydTO1556ydPUNT947ydEND441yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Wisconsin
StatisticWestern KentuckyWisconsin
Passing17-3017-31
Pass Yards181257
Rush Yards124234
Total Yards305491
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-167-13
Penalties6-658-70
Possession25:5734:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Drew Eckels
15/26, 167 YDS
rushing
Drew Eckels
9 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Jacquez Sloan
1 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
17/29, 257 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
18 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
A.J. Taylor
5 REC, 85 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.49

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Taiwan Deal for 10 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 41

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Garrett Groshek

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 16

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the WKent 16

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew Eckels sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 11

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 47

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Jonathan Taylor run for 47 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 6 yds to the WKent 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew Eckels run for 3 yds to the WKent 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Eckels run for 5 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Drew Eckels run for 12 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Jernighan, Quin pass incomplete to Eckels, Drew, PENALTY WESTERNKY personal foul (Meredith, Jordan) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY42, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for no gain to the WKent 42

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by Scott Nelson

3rd & 25Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Drew Eckels run for 15 yds to the Wisc 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 7 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.23

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Masai Whyte for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 20

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (David Edwards) to the Wisc 15

3rd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 16

4th & 18Punt-2 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds , Roger Cray returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jacquez Sloan run for 1 yd to the WKent 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Eckels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 22 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the WKent 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the WKent 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Joshua Samuel run for 6 yds to the WKent 16

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Jahcour Pearson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan

4th & 7Punt+22 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the 50 yard line WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Ta'Corian Darden) to the WKent 35

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Kendric Pryor run for 19 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Antwon Kincade

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the WKent 15

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.64

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 21

4th & 15Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.83

Rafael Gaglianone 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Drew Eckels pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 1 yd to the WKent 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.17

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 20 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Jonathan Taylor run for 30 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 8 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Garland LaFrance run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Drew Eckels run for 1 yd to the WKent 40

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Eckels, Drew pass complete to Deane, Mik'Quan for 7 yards to the WESTERNKY47, PENALTY WESTERNKY holding (Joest, Seth) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Scott Nelson

3rd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Drew Eckels pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 10 yds to the WKent 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Hornibrook run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Tyler Biadasz) to the Wisc 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.48

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 25 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Ben Holt for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 43

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.04

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jack Dunn for 20 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 21 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Drew Eckels pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 18 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.04

Drew Eckels pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 48 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Caesar Williams

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Drew Eckels run for 6 yds to the Wisc 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Nuss 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Taylor, Jonathan rush for loss of 1 yard to the WISCONSIN41, PENALTY WESTERNKY personal foul (Sayner, Evan) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor, broken up by Ben Holt

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the WKent 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.01

Rafael Gaglianone 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Drew Eckels pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 14 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Drew Eckels run for 1 yd to the WKent 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Drew Eckels pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+32 yds

Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 17 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Chris Orr) to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Garland LaFrance run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 19

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Drew Eckels pass complete to Xavier Lane for 9 yds to the Wisc 10

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.28

Quin Jernighan pass intercepted Faion Hicks return for no gain to the Wisc 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 6

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 12

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.27

Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.42

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 18 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Ta'Corian Darden, recovered by WKent Drell Greene , return for 10 yds to the Wisc 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.55

Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.05

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 17 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Taiwan Deal run for 10 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris James run for 3 yds to the WKent 39

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Cruickshank, Aron rush for 7 yards to the WESTERNKY32, PENALTY WISCONSIN illegal block (Lloyd, Gabe) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 11 yds to the WKent 43

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +5.47

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 43 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Drew Eckels pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 5 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Cole Spencer) to the Wisc 44

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Drew Eckels run for no gain to the Wisc 44

4th & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.28

Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Davis Shanley run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wisc 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 2 yds to the Wisc 14

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -4.07

Davis Shanley run for 13 yds to the Wisc 1 Davis Shanley fumbled, forced by Eric Burrell, recovered by Wisc Chris Orr

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Wisc 5

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Alec Ingold run for 9 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Taiwan Deal run for 16 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Chris James run for 7 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Aron Cruickshank

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Alex Hornibrook run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Adam Krumholz for 5 yds to the WKent 47

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 10

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 8 yds to the WKent 18

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.61

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shanley, Davis pass pass intercepted by Burrell, Eric at the WISCONSIN47, Burrell, Eric return 16 yards to the WESTERNKY37, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Burton, Donte) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Davis Shanley run for 14 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play