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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2018Week 10

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 8.7

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 26%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
70141031
NorthwesternNorthwestern
0701421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-147-2114-2421-31
NorthwesternNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNORNDNORNDNORNDNORNDNORNORNDNORNDNORNDNORNDNORNDNORNDTO49ydMISS614ydTD1479ydPUNT32ydMISS1031ydTD1873ydPUNT59ydPUNT735ydPUNT39ydDOWNS40ydPUNT820ydTD1180ydPUNT513ydTD698ydPUNT3-1ydFG529ydTD670ydPUNT57ydTD517ydTD1089ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Northwestern
StatisticNotre DameNorthwestern
Passing22-3416-29
Pass Yards343141
Rush Yards121108
Total Yards464249
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-145-15
Penalties8-580-0
Possession29:3630:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
22/34, 343 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dexter Williams
19 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Claypool
8 REC, 130 YDS
defense
Te'von Coney
2 TFL, 1 PD
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
16/29, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaiah Bowser
23 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Cameron Green
3 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 26

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Dexter Williams run for 11 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.26

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 9 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the NDame 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Charlie Kuhbander 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris Finke

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.87

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 16 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 40

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Sam Mustipher) to the NDame 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.11

Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Dexter Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 49

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Ian Book run for 9 yds to the Nwest 42

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.31

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 7 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Jafar Armstrong run for 10 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 17 yds to the Nwest 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dexter Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

4th & 8Punt+19 yds

Jake Collins punt for 50 yds , Chris Finke returns for 19 yds to the NDame 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 19 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Nwest 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ian Book run for 6 yds to the Nwest 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.24

Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 24 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the Nwest 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Miles Boykin) to the Nwest 25

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

3rd & 25Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 27

4th & 27Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Justin Yoon 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Solomon Vault run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Berkeley Holman

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 10 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Nwest 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.57

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the NDame 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Clayton Thorson pass complete to James Prather for 9 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the NDame 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Chad Hanaoka run for 3 yds to the NDame 21

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 7 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 4 yds to the NDame 10

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the NDame 10

3rd & 6Penalty+8 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Elliott) to the NDame 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the NDame 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 9 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Dexter Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 21

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 14 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 11 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley Lees

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 2 yds to the NDame 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NDame 17

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ian Book pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt+12 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 40 yds , Riley Lees returns for 12 yds to the NDame 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Clayton Thorson run for 5 yds to the NDame 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Solomon Vault for 1 yd to the NDame 40

4th & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.64

Clayton Thorson sacked by Daelin Hayes for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 46

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 6 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 15 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Flynn Nagel run for 2 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.75

Clayton Thorson sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 45

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Jake Collins punt for 36 yds , Chris Finke returns for 1 yd to the NDame 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 13 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Ian Book pass complete to Dexter Williams for 13 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.07

Dexter Williams run for 8 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Sam Mustipher) to the Nwest 42

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for 13 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the Nwest 29

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 4 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 5 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.11

Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 20 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Clayton Thorson sacked by Te'von Coney for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 50 yds, downed at the NDame 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael Young

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.80

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 31 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.54

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 14 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for 47 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 25

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Clayton Thorson sacked by Te'von Coney for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24

4th & 11Punt+15 yds

Jake Collins punt for 46 yds , Chris Finke returns for 15 yds to the NDame 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 26 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jafar Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jafar Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Nwest 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 26

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.39

Justin Yoon 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.68

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 11 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Isaiah Bowser run for 20 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Kyric McGowan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 9 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.00

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 27 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 7 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Dexter Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 34

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ian Book run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ian Book pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

4th & 13Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Cameron Ruiz

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 13 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Riley Lees run for 1 yd to the NDame 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the NDame 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.24

Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 21 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Ian Book run for 9 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.42

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Ian Book run for 1 yd to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Dexter Williams run for 19 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the Nwest 39

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Aaron Banks) to the Nwest 44

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.23

Ian Book pass complete to Miles Boykin for 15 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the Nwest 23

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.14

Ian Book run for 23 yds for a TD (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 5 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.26

Clayton Thorson sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 22 Clayton Thorson fumbled, recovered by Nwest

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Solomon Vault run for 10 yds to the Nwest 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 2 yds to the Nwest 34

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 37

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 40

3rd & 16Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 45

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 10

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
42%
12 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays