Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 27, 2018Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 31%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
730717
NorthwesternNorthwestern
7710731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-1021-1024-1031-1031-17
NorthwesternWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORPUNT619ydTO34ydTD529ydTD1575ydPUNT414ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT37ydDOWNS760ydTO514ydTD615ydFG950ydTO22ydMISS529ydDOWNS848ydPUNT33ydTD1070ydTO224ydFG734ydMISS520ydPUNT34ydTO1-4ydTD413ydDOWNS846ydTO10ydTD529ydPUNT38ydDOWNS719ydEND822yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Northwestern
StatisticWisconsinNorthwestern
Passing20-3317-30
Pass Yards158167
Rush Yards165182
Total Yards323349
Turnovers33
3rd Down4-128-17
Penalties5-543-20
Possession26:2233:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Jack Coan
20/31, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Garrett Groshek
7 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Danny Davis III
5 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
17/30, 167 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Isaiah Bowser
34 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ben Skowronek
4 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Taiwan Deal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.09

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Evan Bondoc return for no gain to the Nwest 29

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Kendric Pryor run for 15 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Nwest 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jack Coan pass complete to Alec Ingold for 9 yds to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Alec Ingold run for no gain to the Nwest 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Alec Ingold run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 5 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chad Hanaoka run for 6 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.68

Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 12 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 7 yds to the Wisc 18

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 4 yds to the Wisc 8

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Wisc 3

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.53

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Jack Coan pass complete to Jack Coan for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 24

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Connor Allen punt for 39 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for 6 yds to the Nwest 43

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Clayton Thorson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 37

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to JJ Jefferson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wisc 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Aron Cruickshank, broken up by Montre Hartage

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.79

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 32 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.69

Kyric McGowan run for 21 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Wisc 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Riley Lees run for 2 yds to the Wisc 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Wisc 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Clayton Thorson run for no gain to the Wisc 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Wisc 5

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Wisc 9

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 15

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 15 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, recovered by Nwest Trae Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 3 yds to the Wisc 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 5 yds to the Wisc 7

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Wisc 7

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Thorson, C. pass incomplete to Fessler, C., PENALTY WIS pass interference (Hicks, Faion) 5 yards to the WIS2, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Penalty-10 yds

Bowser, Isaiah rush for 2 yards to the WIS0, clock 04:55, PENALTY NU holding (Butler, J.B.) 10 yards to the WIS12, NO PLAY.

1st & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Wisc 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 3 yds to the Wisc 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Clayton Thorson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Coan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 18 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 8 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Garrett Groshek

4th & 4Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.49

Rafael Gaglianone 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.47

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Madison Cone return for no gain to the Wisc 27

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Garrett Groshek run for 16 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.21

Garrett Groshek run for 13 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+62 yds

Zach Hintze 62 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 10 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.07

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 27 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chad Hanaoka run for 4 yds to the Wisc 27

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.09

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis III, broken up by Montre Hartage

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.63

Kendric Pryor run for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 19

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the Wisc 30

4th & 7Punt+39 yds

Connor Allen punt for 39 yds , Riley Lees returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Clayton Thorson pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 6 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

Collins, Jake punt 41 yards to the WIS23, Dunn, Jack return to the WIS22 (Thorson, C.), PENALTY WIS roughing the kicker (Sanborn, Jack) 15 yards to the WIS49, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.16

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 8 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 8 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Wisc 24

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 24 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) WISCONSIN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Danny Davis III run for 19 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.95

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Paddy Fisher, recovered by Nwest Montre Hartage

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.62

Clayton Thorson run for 27 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Berkeley Holman run for 5 yds to the Wisc 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Wisc 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Kuhbander 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 15 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Nwest 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 4 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Rafael Gaglianone 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Cameron Green

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

4th & 6Punt+55 yds

Jake Collins punt for 46 yds WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the Wisc 8

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Coan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 13 Jack Coan fumbled, forced by Jordan Thompson, recovered by Nwest Nate Hall

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 3 yds to the Wisc 10

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 7 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 17 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 4 yds to the Nwest 36

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Groshek, G. rush for 1 yard to the NU35 (Thompson, J.), PENALTY WIS personal foul (Dietzen, Jon) 15 yards to the WIS49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 7 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 12 yds to the Nwest 32

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.67

Jack Coan pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Alex Miller

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -1.48

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Zack Baun return for 7 yds to the Nwest 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Nwest 21

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Coan pass complete to Alec Ingold for 3 yds to the Nwest 10

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.94

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 10 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 5 yds to the Nwest 33

4th & 2Punt+11 yds

Jake Collins punt for 42 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 11 yds to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Jack Coan sacked by Earnest Brown IV for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 31

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

3rd & 15Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.39

Garrett Groshek run for 20 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jack Coan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis III, broken up by Montre Hartage

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Nwest 45

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis III, broken up by Montre Hartage

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Wisc 43

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Wisc 42

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.29

Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 32

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 33

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
16 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play