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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 23.1

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 92%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
31461437
WisconsinWisconsin
070815

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-107-177-207-2315-37
WisconsinMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINPUNT423ydMISS1361ydFG1065ydPUNT831ydPUNT30ydTO613ydTD959ydTD32ydTD876ydUncategorized00ydDOWNS731ydFG851ydTO636ydFG931ydPUNT36ydMISS1555ydTO23ydTD123ydTO20ydTD629ydTD775ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Wisconsin
StatisticMinnesotaWisconsin
Passing9-1622-33
Pass Yards124189
Rush Yards201170
Total Yards325359
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-144-11
Penalties2-206-54
Possession35:0624:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
9/16, 124 YDS
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
26 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Johnson
4 REC, 76 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
22/33, 189 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
19 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Danny Davis III
10 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 23 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mohamed Ibrahim, broken up by Zack Baun

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Minn 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Minn 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Rafael Gaglianone 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 16 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Andrew Van Ginkel

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 12 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 17 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 23

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 2 yds to the Wisc 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.72

Emmit Carpenter 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 13 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 7 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor, broken up by Chris Williamson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 39 yds, downed at the Minn 5

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Esezi Otomewo for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 44 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 7

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 5 TEAM fumbled,

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Rachad Wildgoose

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 49 yds , Jack Dunn returns for no gain to the Minn 5 MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Blake Cashman) to the Minn 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Aron Cruickshank run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Taylor, Jonathan rush for 1 yard to the MINN22 (Huff, Jacob), PENALTY WIS holding (Biadasz, Tyler) 10 yards to the MINN33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Minn 26

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -3.35

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Coney Durr return for 25 yds to the Minn 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.82

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 28 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tanner Morgan run for 6 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 27

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 22

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 18

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Wisc 11

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.97

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Taylor, Jonathan rush for 11 yards to the WIS42 (Moore, Gary;Barber, Thomas), PENALTY WIS holding (Taylor, A.J.) 10 yards to the WIS21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 6 yds to the Wisc 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 8Punt+69 yds

Connor Allen punt for 42 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 69 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds Danny Davis III fumbled, forced by Kiondre Thomas, recovered by Wisc Jake Ferguson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 12 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Jacob Huff

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.85

Garrett Groshek run for 15 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Alex Hornibrook run for no gain to the 50 yard line WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal forward pass (Alex Hornibrook) to the Wisc 45

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Aron Cruickshank for 11 yds to the Minn 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 18 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 6Penalty+14 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY WIS pass interference (Wildgoose, Rachad) 14 yards to the WIS11, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Daniel Faalele) to the Wisc 16

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Green run for 6 yds to the Wisc 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.99

Emmit Carpenter 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 20 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Taiwan Deal for no gain to the Wisc 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III, broken up by Terell Smith

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.86

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Julian Huff return for no gain to the Minn 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 8 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.73

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Rachad Wildgoose

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -0.20

Emmit Carpenter 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Wisc 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 36

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 5 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Wisc 15

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Wisc 11

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Emmit Carpenter 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.20

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Carter Coughlin and Gary Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 23 Alex Hornibrook fumbled, recovered by Minn Thomas Barber , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Bryce Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Tyler Johnson return for no gain to the Wisc 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Wisc 24

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23

4th & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.22

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Wisc 16

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.72

Bryce Williams run for 16 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Garrett Groshek run for 21 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 6 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Hornibrook pass to Adam Krumholz for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 43

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 44

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
31 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play