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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 8.5

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 27%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
7601124
MinnesotaMinnesota
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-137-2114-24
MinnesotaNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINPUNT520ydPUNT39ydTO430ydPUNT737ydTO312ydTD445ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydDOWNS523ydDOWNS1035ydTD1162ydTD355ydDOWNS626ydDOWNS941ydMISS946ydPUNT512ydPUNT632ydTD792ydTO2-12ydFG46ydTD960ydPUNT35ydDOWNS42ydPUNT3-6ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Minnesota
StatisticNorthwesternMinnesota
Passing15-2119-32
Pass Yards230197
Rush Yards95109
Total Yards325306
Turnovers03
3rd Down4-135-12
Penalties2-203-34
Possession29:2630:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
15/21, 230 YDS
rushing
Isaiah Bowser
29 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
JJ Jefferson
1 REC, 68 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
19/32, 197 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
20 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Johnson
8 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Blake Cashman
2.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 6 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 2 yds to the Nwest 34

4th & 1Punt+19 yds

Jake Collins punt for 42 yds , Demetrius Douglas returns for 19 yds to the Minn 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 14 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 16 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.26

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Nate Hall return for no gain to the Nwest 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Isaiah Bowser run for 15 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Solomon Vault for 2 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 9 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Solomon Vault run for 7 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Minn 47

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Minn 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.50

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.48

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Nate Hall return for no gain to the Minn 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Berkeley Holman run for 10 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.38

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 22 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

Thorson, C. pass incomplete to Pugh, Trey, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Martin, Kamal) 9 yards to the MINN2, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Luckenbaugh KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Earnest Brown IV

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 5

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Nwest 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 14 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.28

Seth Green run for no gain to the Nwest 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 11 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 12 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Minn 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 4 yds to the Minn 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Chris Williamson

4th & 6Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.89

Clayton Thorson sacked by Blake Cashman for a loss of 14 yards to the Minn 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 7 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

3rd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 29 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Nwest 2 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Mohamed Ibrahim

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.41

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 23 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.33

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 19 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Clayton Thorson run for 13 yds for a TD (Drew Luckenbaugh PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 15 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 44

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.18

Tanner Morgan sacked by Trent Goens for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 49

3rd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jonathan Femi-Cole for 12 yds to the Nwest 39

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.49

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Travis Whillock

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 21 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete, broken up by Blake Cashman

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Minn 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 1 yd to the Minn 34

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.72

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman, broken up by Coney Durr

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Autman-Bell, C, PENALTY NU pass interference (Ruiz, Cameron) 15 yards to the MINN49, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 7 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 7 yds to the Nwest 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Nwest 19

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 20

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Emmit Carpenter 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 8 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.75

Clayton Thorson sacked by Chris Williamson for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 24

2nd & 19Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 23

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Chad Hanaoka run for 9 yds to the Nwest 32

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 50 yds, downed at the Minn 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 2 yds to the Minn 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 10 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 17 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 47

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 12

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 10

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.33

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 17 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Berkeley Holman

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Nwest 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+68 ydsPPA +5.66

Clayton Thorson pass complete to JJ Jefferson for 68 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds for a TD (Clayton Thorson pass to Cameron Green for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Tanner Morgan sacked by Paddy Fisher for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 34 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Minn Tanner Morgan , return for 0 yards

2nd & 13Sack+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Tanner Morgan sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 17 Tanner Morgan fumbled, recovered by Nwest Joe Gaziano , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the Minn 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Minn 11

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Minn 11

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Minn 11

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.81

Jake Collins 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.71

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 23 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.46

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 14 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass complete to Johnson, Tyler for 10 yards to the NU0, clock 05:37, PENALTY MINN personal foul (Ibrahim, M) 15 yards to the NU25, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 21Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Tanner Morgan run for 10 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, personal foul (Nate Hall) to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Travis Whillock

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demetrius Douglas at the Minn 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman, broken up by Cameron Ruiz

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Seth Green

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Tanner Morgan run for 7 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Tanner Morgan sacked by Earnest Brown IV for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 37

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 40

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 41

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 43

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jake Collins punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass complete to Ibrahim, M for 10 yards to the MINN37 (O'Rourke, Devin), PENALTY MINN holding (Olson, Conner) 10 yards to the MINN17, NO PLAY.

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
38%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play